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| 1 | UNITED STATES FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION
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| 2 | and
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| 3 | UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE
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| 4 |
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| 5 |
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| 6 |
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| 7 | SHERMAN ACT SECTION 2 JOINT HEARING
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| 8 | UNDERSTANDING SINGLE-FIRM BEHAVIOR:
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| 9 | TYING SESSION
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| 10 | WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 2006
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| 11 |
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| 12 |
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| 13 |
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| 14 |
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| 15 | HELD AT:
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| 16 | UNITED STATES FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION
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| 17 | HEADQUARTERS BUILDING, ROOM 432
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| 18 | 600 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W.
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| 19 | WASHINGTON, D.C.
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| 20 | 9:00 A.M. TO 1:00 P.M.
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| 21 |
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| 22 |
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| 23 |
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| 24 | Reported and transcribed by:
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| 25 | Susanne Bergling, RMR-CLR |
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| 1 | MODERATORS:
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| 2 | MICHAEL SALINGER
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| 3 | Director, Bureau of Economics
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| 4 | Federal Trade Commission
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| 5 | and
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| 6 | JUNE LEE
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| 7 | Economist
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| 8 | Antitrust Division, U.S. Department of Justice
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| 9 |
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| 10 | PANELISTS:
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| 11 |
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| 12 | David Evans
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| 13 | Robin Cooper Feldman
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| 14 | Mark Popofsky
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| 15 | Donald J. Russell
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| 16 | Michael Waldman
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| 17 | Robert D. Willig
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| 18 |
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| 19 |
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| 20 |
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| 21 |
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| 22 |
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| 23 |
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| 24 |
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| 25 | |
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| 1 | P R O C E E D I N G S
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| 2 | - - - - -
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| 3 | MR. SALINGER: Good morning. I am Michael
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| 4 | Salinger. I am one of the moderators of this session.
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| 5 | My co-moderator is June Lee from the Antitrust Division
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| 6 | at DOJ.
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| 7 | Before we start, I have a few housekeeping
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| 8 | matters. First, please turn off your cell phones,
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| 9 | BlackBerries and any other devices that might ring in
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| 10 | the middle.
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| 11 | Second, the men's room is immediately to the
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| 12 | left through the double doors you just came through.
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| 13 | The women's room is on the left on the far side of the
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| 14 | elevator banks.
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| 15 | Third, one safety tip, particularly for
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| 16 | visitors. In the unlikely event the building alarms go
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| 17 | off, please proceed calmly and quickly as instructed.
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| 18 | If we must leave the building, take the stairway, which
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| 19 | is to the right on the Pennsylvania Avenue side. After
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| 20 | leaving the building, please follow the stream of FTC
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| 21 | people, we have practiced this many times, and we will
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| 22 | all go to the Sculpture Garden, which is across the
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| 23 | intersection of Constitution Avenue and Seventh Street
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| 24 | at the other end of the building.
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| 25 | DR. WILLIG: And have lunch? |
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| 1 | MR. SALINGER: It is a very nice place to have a
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| 2 | fire drill on a day like today.
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| 3 | Finally, we request that you not make comments
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| 4 | or ask questions during the session. Thank you.
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| 5 | We are honored to have assembled a distinguished
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| 6 | panel of practitioners and professors who are well
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| 7 | versed in the issue we will tackle today involving tying
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| 8 | and product design. Our panelists this morning are
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| 9 | Michael Waldman, the Charles H. Dyson Professor of
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| 10 | Management and Professor of Economics at Cornell; David
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| 11 | Evans, who is the managing director of LECG's Global
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| 12 | Competition Policy Practice and is Chairman of
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| 13 | eSapience; Donald Russell, a partner at Robbins,
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| 14 | Russell, Englert, Orseck & Untereiner; Mark Popofsky, an
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| 15 | Adjunct Professor at Georgetown University Law Center
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| 16 | and a partner at Kaye Scholer; Robin Cooper Feldman, an
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| 17 | Associate Professor of Law at the Hastings College of
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| 18 | Law at the University of California; and Robert Willig,
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| 19 | Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at the Woodrow
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| 20 | Wilson School at Princeton, Director of Competition
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| 21 | Policy Associates, and a former Deputy Assistant
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| 22 | Attorney General in DOJ's Antitrust Division.
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| 23 | In Jefferson Parish, the Court argues, "It is
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| 24 | far too late in the history of our antitrust
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| 25 | jurisprudence to question the proposition that certain |
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| 1 | tying arrangements pose an unacceptable risk of stifling
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| 2 | competition, and therefore, are unreasonable per se."
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| 3 | That was in 1984. We are now even later in the
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| 4 | history of our antitrust jurisprudence, and yet we find
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| 5 | ourselves reconsidering that question. We are doing so
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| 6 | I think because the tying doctrine has turned out to be
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| 7 | such a central issue in many of the most important
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| 8 | antitrust cases of recent years.
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| 9 | I suspect, although I probably should not make
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| 10 | forecasts of this sort, that the easy part of today will
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| 11 | be to get agreement on the proposition that per se
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| 12 | treatment is inappropriate. Indeed, I read the passage
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| 13 | I just quoted as, in fact, an admission that if we were
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| 14 | to start over, that the Court would not choose per se
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| 15 | treatment.
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| 16 | The harder task is to figure out how, if the
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| 17 | Court moves to a rule of reason, as many people think it
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| 18 | might, how to go about deciding whether a tie is
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| 19 | reasonable; how, in principle, you distinguish a
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| 20 | competitive from an anticompetitive tie; and what sort
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| 21 | of evidence you need. Do you rely on company documents
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| 22 | about the rationale behind a tie, or if you are
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| 23 | skeptical of the ability to use company documents to
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| 24 | determine intent, what objective factors would you look
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| 25 | to? |
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| 1 | We have a really distinguished panel today to
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| 2 | help us sort through those issues, and so I would like
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| 3 | to thank them now, and I will probably do it again, but
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| 4 | I wanted to take the time to do that.
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| 5 | Now I will turn the microphone over to June to
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| 6 | make some introductory remarks of her own and to give a
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| 7 | more complete introduction of the speakers.
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| 8 | MS. LEE: Welcome to the tying panel, part of an
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| 9 | ongoing series of hearings into single-firm conduct.
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| 10 | The Department of Justice's Antitrust Division and the
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| 11 | Federal Trade Commission are jointly sponsoring these
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| 12 | hearings to help the advancement of the development of
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| 13 | the law of Section 2 of the Sherman Act. Transcripts
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| 14 | and other materials from previous sessions can be found
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| 15 | on the Department of Justice and Federal Trade
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| 16 | Commission web sites. Upcoming panels include exclusive
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| 17 | dealing on November 15th and bundled loyalty discounts
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| 18 | on November 29th, so mark your calendars.
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| 19 | Today's session concerns the law and economics
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| 20 | of tying. As Michael has noted, the treatment of tying
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| 21 | under the antitrust laws has shifted significantly over
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| 22 | time. Courts are far less likely to condemn ties today
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| 23 | than 50 years ago when Justice Felix Frankfurter stated
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| 24 | in Standard Stations that tying arrangements serve
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| 25 | hardly any purpose beyond the suppression of |
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| 1 | competition. While economists, some of whom are on this
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| 2 | panel today, have identified situations where ties pose
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| 3 | a threat to competition and situations where ties result
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| 4 | in efficiencies, assessing likely competitive effects in
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| 5 | a given situation remains a challenge.
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| 6 | I look forward to learning more about this
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| 7 | complex topic today. I would like to thank my
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| 8 | colleagues at the FTC and DOJ for organizing this
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| 9 | hearing. In particular, I thank Don O'Brien and Joe
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| 10 | Matelis, and I again reiterate Michael's thanks to the
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| 11 | panelists for participating in today's panel.
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| 12 | The organization of the panel is as follows:
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| 13 | The first four panelists will speak. We will then have
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| 14 | a short break, followed by the final two panelists.
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| 15 | Those speakers will then have an opportunity to respond
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| 16 | to each other's presentations, and this will be followed
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| 17 | by a moderated discussion.
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| 18 | Let me now introduce the first speaker. More
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| 19 | complete biographical descriptions can be found in the
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| 20 | handout and also can be found on the Antitrust Division
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| 21 | and FTC's web sites.
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| 22 | Our first speaker is Michael Waldman, who holds
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| 23 | the Charles H. Dyson Chair in Management and is a
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| 24 | Professor of Economics at the Johnson Graduate School of
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| 25 | Management at Cornell University. Professor Waldman's |
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| 1 | main research area is applied microeconomic theory, and
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| 2 | his main fields of interest are industrial organization
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| 3 | and organizational economics. In these areas, he is
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| 4 | best known for his work on learning and signaling in
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| 5 | labor markets, the operation of durable goods markets,
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| 6 | and the strategic use of tying and bundling in product
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| 7 | markets.
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| 8 | Professor Waldman's work has been published in
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| 9 | many of the top journals in economics, and he is
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| 10 | currently a co-editor at the Journal of Economic
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| 11 | Perspectives and an associate editor at the quarterly
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| 12 | Journal of Economics.
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| 13 | Michael?
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| 14 | DR. WALDMAN: Thank you.
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| 15 | Sorry, I am used to using overheads, and they
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| 16 | are not set up for that.
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| 17 | So, I want to start just by saying that a lot of
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| 18 | my work on or a lot of my thinking on tying comes out of
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| 19 | discussions with Dennis Carlton, so although Dennis is
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| 20 | not responsible for any mistakes I make in the
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| 21 | discussion, he is responsible for lots of the smart
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| 22 | things I say during the discussion.
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| 23 | Okay, so basically tying behavior has become a
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| 24 | lot more focused in the economic theory literature over
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| 25 | the last, say, 10 or 15 years, and the rationale for |
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| 1 | that is that with the Microsoft case, there has been a
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| 2 | lot more attention to it, and what has happened since
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| 3 | the Microsoft case is there has been a lot of
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| 4 | theoretical contributions trying to focus on getting a
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| 5 | better understanding of tying. So, you know, as of 15
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| 6 | years ago, there was this sort of Chicago School
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| 7 | argument sitting out there, and then Mike Whinston came
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| 8 | along and sort of tried to sort of get a better sense of
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| 9 | the Chicago School argument, and then when the Microsoft
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| 10 | case came out, there has been lots of theory, some by me
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| 11 | and Dennis, Choi and Stefanides, Barry Nalebuff, to try
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| 12 | and get a better understanding of the theory associated
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| 13 | with tying behavior, and there has been a lot of
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| 14 | progress in terms of that issue, in terms of getting a
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| 15 | better understanding of tying.
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| 16 | But in terms of antitrust, it is not so
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| 17 | clear-cut. So, there is lots of progress on the theory
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| 18 | side, less progress or less consensus, I should say, in
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| 19 | terms of what the progress on the theory side tells us
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| 20 | for what the right policies concerning antitrust should
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| 21 | be given our advances in terms of the theory.
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| 22 | So, what I am going to try to do in this
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| 23 | presentation is use theory and to some extent the old
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| 24 | theory and the new theory to use as a guide to think
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| 25 | about, okay, now, if we want to think about |
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| 1 | reformulating optimal antitrust policy, which is what
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| 2 | the panel is about, what does the theory tell us about
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| 3 | that?
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| 4 | So, in the talk, what I am going to do is I am
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| 5 | going to review various theories concerning sort of
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| 6 | theoretical perspectives concerning tying, efficiency,
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| 7 | price discrimination, exclusionary motivations and other
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| 8 | strategic motivations, and then use the lessons of the
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| 9 | various theories to talk about what that means in terms
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| 10 | of optimal antitrust policy, and basically kind of jump
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| 11 | to the conclusion.
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| 12 | Although Dennis and I have been involved in
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| 13 | writing a number of papers talking about how tying can
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| 14 | be used for exclusionary or other types of behaviors
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| 15 | that lower social welfare, my sense is that, in general,
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| 16 | one should be very hesitant in terms of intervening in
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| 17 | terms of tying policies. Although there certainly are
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| 18 | cases -- and my view is the Microsoft case would be a
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| 19 | good example -- where tying was used in an
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| 20 | anticompetitive way that lowered social welfare, it is
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| 21 | very difficult, given the frequency with which ties
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| 22 | either have a positive social welfare effect, say
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| 23 | through efficiency rationales or ambiguous social
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| 24 | welfare effect through price discrimination rationales,
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| 25 | it is very hard to kind of have -- I think it is wrong |
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| 1 | to have a very interventionist policy, because on net,
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| 2 | given the difficulty the courts have in trying to
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| 3 | identify the relevant motivations, very aggressive
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| 4 | interventionist policy is likely to lower social welfare
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| 5 | more often than raise it.
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| 6 | So, here is what I will go through. I will talk
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| 7 | briefly about efficiency rationales, price
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| 8 | discrimination rationales. I think everyone is pretty
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| 9 | familiar with those. I will not spend too much time
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| 10 | talking about them. Then I will talk some about where
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| 11 | most of the new literature has appeared, which is the
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| 12 | exclusionary tying, start with the Chicago School
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| 13 | argument and then talk about some of the more recent
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| 14 | literature which talks about, you know, sort of how
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| 15 | robust or in some sense when doesn't the Chicago School
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| 16 | argument hold, both in terms of monopolies and tying,
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| 17 | the tied market, and monopolizing the tying market. I
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| 18 | will talk about a few other strategic rationales
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| 19 | associated with tying and then get back to kind of
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| 20 | antitrust perspectives, which I just very briefly
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| 21 | mentioned.
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| 22 | One of the reasons that it is hard to think
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| 23 | about antitrust intervention in terms of tying is
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| 24 | because there are so many efficiency reasons associated
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| 25 | with tying. So, if I just think about it from a |
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| 1 | transactions costs standpoint, there are very many
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| 2 | reasons to tie goods. So, you would have right shoes
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| 3 | and left shoes. People do not want to go shopping for a
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| 4 | right shoe and then go to a different box for a left
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| 5 | shoe. You know, cars and radios, people typically want
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| 6 | to have the radio put directly into the car. So, there
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| 7 | are lots of efficiency rationales for tying, and in some
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| 8 | sense, almost any good you can find, defined in some
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| 9 | sense, is a tying of various goods. So, when I bought
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| 10 | this shirt, clearly the buttons were in some sense tied
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| 11 | on, both figuratively and literally, okay?
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| 12 | So, other efficiency rationales are search and
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| 13 | sorting, which goes back to the old Kenney and Klein
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| 14 | argument, and then you have variable proportion. So,
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| 15 | the variable proportions arguments says that, well,
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| 16 | suppose you have two goods, one that is someone with
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| 17 | power and one without, if the goods are not tied, then
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| 18 | there is going to be this inefficient substitution that
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| 19 | consumers are going to do trying to substitute away from
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| 20 | the product with market power which has an above
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| 21 | marginal cost price.
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| 22 | There has been a fair amount of research on that
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| 23 | idea, Malella and Nahata has an early paper talking
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| 24 | about it, Tirole talks about that, in terms of extending
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| 25 | to after-market monopolization, and I have a paper with |
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| 1 | Dennis and a paper with a Dr. Morita showing how you can
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| 2 | sort of take that same idea and extend it to
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| 3 | after-market monopolization by competitive selling.
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| 4 | I am going to skip over the details of
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| 5 | after-market monopolization and go straight to price
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| 6 | discrimination. So, another important reason that one
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| 7 | might tie is for price discrimination reasons. So,
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| 8 | there are sort of basically two arguments there. The
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| 9 | initial argument goes back to a paper by George Stigler,
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| 10 | 1968, which talks about negative correlations of values,
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| 11 | and in Stigler -- so, there is just a simple example.
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| 12 | Suppose you have an individual one who has a valuation
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| 13 | on product A of 10 and product B of 6, and individual
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| 14 | two has the reverse, product A of six and product B of
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| 15 | ten, well, if you try to sell just product A or if you
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| 16 | try to sell just product B, you have these heterogenous
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| 17 | valuations, and so you cannot extract all the consumer
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| 18 | surplus. By tying them together, creating a bundle, you
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| 19 | have homogenized the valuations, you are able to extract
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| 20 | all the surplus.
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| 21 | Since that initial paper, it has been pointed
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| 22 | out by a number of authors, in particular McAfee,
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| 23 | McMillan and Whinston, that, in fact, this negative
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| 24 | correlation of values is not required to get their
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| 25 | argument to go through, and so there, I just give an |
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| 1 | example where the valuations are actually independent of
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| 2 | each other, equal probabilities, and if you worked out
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| 3 | the profits associated with it, you will see the same
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| 4 | basic result that Stigler found even though there is no
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| 5 | negative correlation of values.
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| 6 | The second price discrimination story is the
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| 7 | classic metered sales story that goes back to the old
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| 8 | IBM punch card case kind of concerning -- actually,
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| 9 | before computers, concerning -- oh, what is the term --
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| 10 | well, anyway, and basically the idea that you have punch
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| 11 | cards and you have, let's say, computers -- it was not
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| 12 | computers -- and what you are doing is you are trying to
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| 13 | price discriminate. You are trying to give the higher
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| 14 | price to the individuals who use the good more
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| 15 | intensively. If the individuals who use the good more
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| 16 | intensively use the variable commodity, in this case the
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| 17 | punch cards, at a higher rate, what you do is then you
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| 18 | can charge a higher price for the variable commodity,
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| 19 | the punch cards, a lower price on the machine, and that
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| 20 | allows you to price discriminate.
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| 21 | Clearly there are social welfare implications.
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| 22 | It is well known that price discrimination has ambiguous
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| 23 | social welfare implications, so from the standpoint of
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| 24 | tying behavior in terms of antitrust, it is not clear
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| 25 | why you would want to eliminate the ability to use tying |
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| 1 | for price discrimination and allow price discrimination
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| 2 | in lots of other types of activities. That is likely to
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| 3 | cause distortions in terms of people trying to price
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| 4 | discriminate in other ways and might create additional
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| 5 | distortions.
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| 6 | Okay, the more recent literature is focused on
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| 7 | exclusionary tying, and it starts with the Chicago
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| 8 | School arguments. So, the Chicago School argument says
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| 9 | you would never tie to extend your market power from
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| 10 | market A to market B if you are already a monopolist in
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| 11 | market A, and the standard example that is given is
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| 12 | think about right shoes and left shoes, and there I just
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| 13 | work through a little example of suppose P equals A
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| 14 | minus bX as demand for pairs of shoes and there is a
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| 15 | constant marginal cost for shoes, then by basically
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| 16 | being a monopolist on right shoes, you can extract all
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| 17 | the monopoly power into left shoes as being sold
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| 18 | competitively.
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| 19 | Mike Whinston, in a very important paper, shows
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| 20 | that that argument is correct in some settings but is
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| 21 | not completely robust. What he shows is that in a
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| 22 | one-period setting, if the monopolist's primary good is
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| 23 | essential, then that argument goes through, but if
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| 24 | you -- for various reasons or in various ways, if you
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| 25 | move away from that basic one-period essential setting, |
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| 1 | the argument breaks down. So, in Mike's initial paper,
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| 2 | he says, well, suppose that the primary good is not
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| 3 | essential, and so there are some uses for the
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| 4 | complementary good that do not use the primary good,
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| 5 | then in some cases, what you can do is you can tie, you
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| 6 | can drive out the competitors in the complementary
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| 7 | market, and that allows you to monopolize this part of
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| 8 | the market that does not use the primary good.
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| 9 | He and Barry Nalebuff also have arguments where
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| 10 | the goods are independent and show that tying can
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| 11 | sometimes be used to get the monopolist to become a more
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| 12 | aggressive competitor, and that can cause exit, which
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| 13 | again, is similar to his original argument, and then
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| 14 | improve profitability.
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| 15 | Dennis and I have a working paper where we move
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| 16 | away from the one-period setting, and you still have
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| 17 | this essential nature of the good, but by moving away
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| 18 | from the one-period setting as we specifically do in
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| 19 | terms of durable goods, we show that tying can be used
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| 20 | to capture later profits given upgrades and switching
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| 21 | costs, which are common in durable goods markets.
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| 22 | So, just a very quick summary in terms of tied
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| 23 | good markets. If it is a one-period setting and the
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| 24 | product is essential, then tying cannot be used to
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| 25 | improve profitability, to monopolize this other market. |
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| 1 | It is not going to be a profitable thing to do, but
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| 2 | there are various reasons that that old Chicago result,
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| 3 | classic Chicago result is going to go away as you move
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| 4 | away. It is not as robust a finding as people have
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| 5 | thought.
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| 6 | Another basic argument is monopolizing the tying
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| 7 | market, and there are a number of papers looking at
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| 8 | that. So, the arguments that I just talked about with
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| 9 | saying I am going to use tying to take a monopoly in
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| 10 | product A and in some sense move it to product B and
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| 11 | increase my profitability this way, there are a number
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| 12 | of papers. Whinston in his initial paper has an
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| 13 | argument along these lines. Dennis and I have an
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| 14 | argument in a Rand paper of 2002 basically saying that
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| 15 | what you can sometimes use tying to do is increase or
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| 16 | preserve your market power in that initial monopolized
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| 17 | market. In some sense, the paper that Dennis and I have
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| 18 | formalized the Justice Department argument in the
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| 19 | Microsoft NetScape browser case, and Choi and Stefanides
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| 20 | also has an article along those lines.
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| 21 | There are other strategic rationales I will talk
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| 22 | about somewhat briefly. There are a pair of nice papers
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| 23 | by Carbajo, De Meza, Seidman and Chen in 1977, and they
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| 24 | basically show how tying can sometimes be used as a
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| 25 | product differentiation device, and the basic idea is if |
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| 1 | you have this alternative product where, say, Bertrand
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| 2 | competition with identical products, then you know there
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| 3 | is going to be zero profits in that market, and what
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| 4 | they show is that by tying, you get away from that
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| 5 | Bertrand competition/zero profit result, and that can
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| 6 | actually improve profitability.
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| 7 | The other one which I will just mention very
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| 8 | briefly is Dennis and I, along with Joshua Gans from the
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| 9 | University of Melbourne, are looking at an argument
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| 10 | where tying is used to shift rents from an alternative
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| 11 | producer to the monopolist. The sort of novel part of
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| 12 | that argument is that what happens is actually you tie,
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| 13 | and the consumers still use the alternative producer's
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| 14 | product, but that you have changed the nature of the
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| 15 | pricing game, and it moves some of the profits from the
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| 16 | alternative producer to the monopolist, and that turns
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| 17 | out to be, in general, not a good thing for social
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| 18 | welfare, because the monopolist is spending resources
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| 19 | producing this alternative product, in which stuff winds
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| 20 | up not getting used. We are hoping to have a finished
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| 21 | product in just a month or two.
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| 22 | So, just in terms of summary, there are a number
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| 23 | of different rationales for tying, and they have
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| 24 | different social welfare implications. Efficiency
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| 25 | rationales tend to increase social welfare when there is |
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| 1 | tying. Price discrimination results tend to be
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| 2 | ambiguous. Exclusionary tying, social welfare tends to
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| 3 | fall if you go through the details of these analyses,
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| 4 | though it is not always guaranteed to do so, and the
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| 5 | other strategic rationales, the product differentiation
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| 6 | argument tends to have ambiguous welfare consequences,
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| 7 | while the rent-shifting argument tends to lower social
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| 8 | welfare.
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| 9 | So, now let's turn to what this means in terms
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| 10 | of antitrust policy. So, I think what it means in terms
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| 11 | of antitrust policy is that for various types of tying,
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| 12 | the tying should basically be allowed. So, if it looks
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| 13 | like efficiency, then clearly there is no reason to
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| 14 | intervene. If it looks like price discrimination,
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| 15 | again, price discrimination could hurt, but it could
|
| 16 | also help. Price discrimination has ambiguous social
|
| 17 | welfare consequences, and generally, given that price
|
| 18 | discrimination is allowed in lots and lots of other
|
| 19 | types of activities, it seems odd and probably decreases
|
| 20 | social welfare to just rule this particular type of
|
| 21 | price discrimination illegal.
|
| 22 | Product differentiation, again, if you go
|
| 23 | through the details of those analyses, it tends to be
|
| 24 | ambiguous social welfare effects, and finally, our sense
|
| 25 | or my sense is if the motivation is unclear but the |
21
| 1 | primary market is competitive, like in the 1992
|
| 2 | U.S.-Kodak case, it basically makes sense to allow the
|
| 3 | tying, because we know that competitive markets tend to
|
| 4 | maximize social welfare, and in particular, in that
|
| 5 | case, I think that the courts made a mistake, because
|
| 6 | sort of the theory for what was going on there had not
|
| 7 | been spelled out, and they went with some very
|
| 8 | speculative theories. I think the right theory was
|
| 9 | actually one where they were using it to increase
|
| 10 | profits.
|
| 11 | When might courts think about intervening?
|
| 12 | Well, they might think about intervening in cases of
|
| 13 | exclusion or rent shifting, although I think the
|
| 14 | rent-shifting argument, which Dennis and Joshua and I
|
| 15 | are working on, is one that is very difficult, because
|
| 16 | the details of that argument say that that only works
|
| 17 | when, in fact, there is an efficiency associated with
|
| 18 | the tie if the tie had actually been used. So, I think
|
| 19 | it is very hard in that case to sort of say that there
|
| 20 | was not an efficiency possibility in that.
|
| 21 | So, evidentiary hurdles should be high in these
|
| 22 | cases. Why should the evidentiary hurdle be high? They
|
| 23 | should be high because it is very difficult to judge
|
| 24 | motivation, and as I was just saying earlier on, in the
|
| 25 | absence of being able to judge motivation, if you try to |
22
| 1 | intervene aggressively, you are going to wind up hurting
|
| 2 | social welfare more often than helping social welfare.
|
| 3 | I do believe that it makes more sense to intervene on
|
| 4 | contractual ties rather than product design ties,
|
| 5 | because in product design ties, you are getting into the
|
| 6 | kind of internal workings of the firm, and it is a very
|
| 7 | dangerous thing for firms to be doing.
|
| 8 | So, I know we do not have any time, so just to
|
| 9 | give a 15-second conclusion, there has been a lot of
|
| 10 | recent progress in terms of the theory of tying sort of
|
| 11 | going beyond the old Chicago School argument. Although
|
| 12 | we have identified various reasons for why tying could
|
| 13 | make sense from an exclusionary standpoint and we have a
|
| 14 | much better sense of that than before, I think at the
|
| 15 | end of the day, even with those extra things in the
|
| 16 | literature by Barry Melba (ph), myself, Mike Whinston,
|
| 17 | given the difficulty courts have in terms of judging
|
| 18 | motivation, there still should be a very high hurdle
|
| 19 | before intervening in a tying case.
|
| 20 | Okay, thank you very much.
|
| 21 | (Applause.)
|
| 22 | MS. LEE: Thank you.
|
| 23 | Our next speaker is David Evans, who is the
|
| 24 | Managing Director of LECG's Global Competition Policy
|
| 25 | Practice and Chairman of eSapience. The author of four |
23
| 1 | books and over 70 journal articles, he is an authority
|
| 2 | on the economics of high technology and patent-based
|
| 3 | businesses, primarily as it relates to competition
|
| 4 | policy and intellectual property, both in the U.S. and
|
| 5 | the EU.
|
| 6 | He has served as an expert and testified before
|
| 7 | courts, arbitrators, regulatory authorities, and
|
| 8 | legislatures in the U.S. and Europe. In addition to his
|
| 9 | consulting practice, David is an Executive Director of
|
| 10 | the Institute for Competition Law and Economics at the
|
| 11 | University College, London, where he is a visiting
|
| 12 | professor.
|
| 13 | David?
|
| 14 | DR. EVANS: Thanks a lot. I have to say that I
|
| 15 | loved Mike's talk, and I agree with most of it, so I
|
| 16 | could probably just start with a "ditto" and sit down,
|
| 17 | but since I have 15 minutes, I will talk.
|
| 18 | So, I would like to make two points today.
|
| 19 | First, the enforcement agencies really should take a
|
| 20 | leadership position in ending per se liability for
|
| 21 | tying, and they should abandon any form of per se
|
| 22 | analysis themselves, and they should advocate change in
|
| 23 | both Congress and the Supreme Court.
|
| 24 | My second point is that tying is a routine
|
| 25 | competitive practice, as you have heard, and the courts |
24
| 1 | and competition authorities should presume that tying is
|
| 2 | efficient or at least benign in the absence of
|
| 3 | significant contrary evidence.
|
| 4 | So, what I would like to do is to turn to my
|
| 5 | first point. So, under Jefferson Parish versus Hyde, at
|
| 6 | least as it is widely understood, a firm that has market
|
| 7 | power in product A is liable under Section 1 of the
|
| 8 | Sherman Act for requiring consumers to take product B.
|
| 9 | Now, hardly anyone in the antitrust profession
|
| 10 | supports what we might call a conditional per se
|
| 11 | analysis. There are lots of articles on tying, many of
|
| 12 | which Michael has surveyed, but you are more likely to
|
| 13 | be hit by lightning than to find a paper by an economist
|
| 14 | that comes close to supporting the Jefferson Parish test
|
| 15 | or anything really like it. Hardly any legal scholars
|
| 16 | advocate that test either. There is just no significant
|
| 17 | economic or judicial learning that supports the view
|
| 18 | that tying should be an especially pernicious business
|
| 19 | practice for which there ought to be an especially high
|
| 20 | level of judicial scrutiny.
|
| 21 | Now, despite that consensus, per se tying cases
|
| 22 | keep on trucking. More than 30 private antitrust cases
|
| 23 | with a per se tying claim have been filed in the last
|
| 24 | five years. Recent ones, just taking a quick look,
|
| 25 | include Jenson versus Oldcastle, importantly, Broadcom |
25
| 1 | versus Qualcom, which is a case not only in the U.S. but
|
| 2 | is pretty much worldwide, Munford versus GMNC
|
| 3 | Franchising, and so forth.
|
| 4 | Now, you might also recall that the biggest
|
| 5 | settlement in antitrust history came just three years
|
| 6 | ago after a District Court judge found that MasterCard
|
| 7 | and Visa failed the major elements of the Jefferson
|
| 8 | Parish test as a matter of law on summary judgment. He
|
| 9 | noted, the District Court judge noted, the possibility
|
| 10 | that the courts might require a showing of competitive
|
| 11 | harm, and he left that issue and essentially that issue
|
| 12 | alone for a jury trial. Not surprisingly, MasterCard
|
| 13 | and Visa settled very soon after that.
|
| 14 | Now, some commentators have suggested that
|
| 15 | Independent Ink shows that the Supreme Court has backed
|
| 16 | away from Jefferson Parish. I think there is a recent
|
| 17 | Seventh Circuit decision that suggests just that. Now,
|
| 18 | I really wish it were true in the sense that matters for
|
| 19 | lower courts and businesses, but Justice Stevens appears
|
| 20 | to have been quite careful, at least in my reading, in
|
| 21 | saying nothing whatsoever in his decision in Independent
|
| 22 | Ink that repudiates his decision in Jefferson Parish.
|
| 23 | We continue to have conditional per se liability for
|
| 24 | tying that follows really all too easily from having
|
| 25 | market power in the tying product. |
26
| 1 | There are good vibes from Independent Ink, and
|
| 2 | like many, I am optimistic that the Court will
|
| 3 | eventually conclude that tying is a relic of a bygone
|
| 4 | era in antitrust when populist hostility toward business
|
| 5 | practices prevailed and economics had not pointed the
|
| 6 | way, but the U.S. Department of Justice and the Federal
|
| 7 | Trade Commission should not in my view just sit still
|
| 8 | and wait another five years or ten years or whatever for
|
| 9 | that to happen. So, I have, if you will, four
|
| 10 | recommendations for the agencies.
|
| 11 | First, the Justice Department should adopt a
|
| 12 | policy that it will not file claims that companies have
|
| 13 | committed a per se violation of Section 1 of the Sherman
|
| 14 | Act as a result of engaging in tying. Now, I am not
|
| 15 | suggesting that DOJ has, in fact, been trigger-happy.
|
| 16 | In fact, as far as I can tell, the Department has not
|
| 17 | filed any Section 1 tying cases in the last five years,
|
| 18 | although I also do not believe that it has filed any
|
| 19 | significant single-firm conduct cases of any strength in
|
| 20 | the last five years. Maybe I have not counted properly.
|
| 21 | Second, at the next opportunity, DOJ and the FTC
|
| 22 | should encourage the Supreme Court to overrule Jefferson
|
| 23 | Parish. Unfortunately, as far as I can tell, there is
|
| 24 | not anything in the pipeline -- again, at least as far
|
| 25 | as I know -- that would allow the Supreme Court to do |
27
| 1 | that.
|
| 2 | The two enforcement agencies should also
|
| 3 | encourage Congress to modify or kill Section 3 of the
|
| 4 | Clayton Act. By the way, and maybe I am just not on top
|
| 5 | of what is going on, it is unfathomable to me that the
|
| 6 | Antitrust Modernization Commission has not considered
|
| 7 | tying as part of its agenda for reform. It seems to me
|
| 8 | that the antitrust laws for the 21st Century should not
|
| 9 | target tying as an especially pernicious practice, and I
|
| 10 | think from what we have heard thus far from Michael, I
|
| 11 | think there is a consensus in the profession on this.
|
| 12 | My third point for the agencies is there is a
|
| 13 | bill in Congress now to repeal certain exemptions that
|
| 14 | the insurance industry has from the antitrust laws.
|
| 15 | This is the McCarran-Ferguson Act. Now, that is a
|
| 16 | debate that I sure do not want to wade into today, but
|
| 17 | HR-2401 perpetuates the mistake of treating tying as a
|
| 18 | separate and presumably especially harmful antitrust
|
| 19 | offense, and in my view, the enforcement agencies should
|
| 20 | oppose that provision of the bill.
|
| 21 | Fourth, the Justice Department should embark on
|
| 22 | a global recall of American tying law, perhaps prodded
|
| 23 | by the FTC's Bureau of Consumer Protection. Following
|
| 24 | our lead, the courts and competition authorities in many
|
| 25 | jurisdictions have subjected tying to some form of per |
28
| 1 | se or conditional per se liability. We should let them
|
| 2 | know, and the Justice Department talks to the agencies
|
| 3 | around the world all the time, that there is no sound
|
| 4 | support for that approach.
|
| 5 | Of course, saying farewell to per se liability,
|
| 6 | on which I think we have a consensus, leaves open, as
|
| 7 | Michael suggested earlier, the question of what approach
|
| 8 | we should welcome in its place. That brings me to my
|
| 9 | second proposition. The antitrust laws should set a
|
| 10 | high bar for finding that tying is anticompetitive and
|
| 11 | proscribe a structure to guide that analysis. To
|
| 12 | explain why, let me take a brief detour.
|
| 13 | I hazard to say this, and I have been advised
|
| 14 | not to, but most of us I think are Bayesian at heart;
|
| 15 | that is, to make decisions, we combine prior experience
|
| 16 | with the knowledge at hand, we recognize that given the
|
| 17 | inherent uncertainty, we will surely make mistakes, and
|
| 18 | we consider the likelihood and costs of making the wrong
|
| 19 | decision, and the courts have adopted precisely that
|
| 20 | kind of reasoning implicitly. It really underlies the
|
| 21 | whole distinction between per se and the rule of reason.
|
| 22 | Moreover, the courts have adopted that kind of
|
| 23 | reasoning more or less explicitly. Brooke Group is the
|
| 24 | leading example in antitrust, and there are other recent
|
| 25 | cases in criminal law where the courts adopt more or |
29
| 1 | less this kind of Bayesian or error cost kind of
|
| 2 | analysis.
|
| 3 | When it comes to single-firm conduct, I think it
|
| 4 | is helpful then to think about what prior information
|
| 5 | tells us, what the likelihood of error is, and the cost
|
| 6 | of those errors, and with that I have three general
|
| 7 | observations on analyzing single-firm conduct.
|
| 8 | First and perhaps most importantly, when
|
| 9 | practices are common in pretty competitive markets, we
|
| 10 | have prior information that these practices are
|
| 11 | efficient. That does not mean that they could not be
|
| 12 | used to harm competition, but it does mean that there
|
| 13 | should be a presumption that these practices are
|
| 14 | procompetitive. They really could not survive otherwise
|
| 15 | in competitive markets. Will Baumol and Dan Swanson
|
| 16 | have made this point in their article on price
|
| 17 | discrimination, and the Supreme Court recognized it,
|
| 18 | precisely that point, in Independent Ink, citing their
|
| 19 | paper.
|
| 20 | Second, juries have a lot of trouble deciding
|
| 21 | complex cases. I have testified before a lot of juries,
|
| 22 | and I have a great respect for the jury system, but
|
| 23 | let's face it, the single-firm cases require complex
|
| 24 | assessment of facts and legal nuances. The DOJ and FTC
|
| 25 | have had trouble agreeing on how to treat bundled |
30
| 1 | rebates. Asking 12 average citizens to do so, to
|
| 2 | analyze single-firm conduct cases, I think really
|
| 3 | invites error, and this is a particular problem, of
|
| 4 | course, in private litigation and especially in treble
|
| 5 | damage class action litigation involving single-firm
|
| 6 | conduct.
|
| 7 | My third point, and I think I am in complete
|
| 8 | agreement with Michael Waldman, modern industrial
|
| 9 | organization economics, at least insofar as he has
|
| 10 | discussed it with respect to tying, really I think
|
| 11 | emphasizes the need for caution. We can define in the
|
| 12 | industrial organization literature that businesses have
|
| 13 | the incentive and ability to engage in anticompetitive
|
| 14 | conduct in fairly limited circumstances, and there is
|
| 15 | not a lot of empirical evidence that these circumstances
|
| 16 | hold in practice and not a lot of guidance on how to
|
| 17 | figure them out, and, of course, that varies between
|
| 18 | different practices. I want to be careful in not
|
| 19 | generalizing too much, but I generally think that the
|
| 20 | thrust of the IO literature really does need to suggest
|
| 21 | caution.
|
| 22 | Now, I am absolutely, positively not arguing for
|
| 23 | the repeal of Section 2 or for gutting Section 2 in
|
| 24 | practice. It plays a very important role in
|
| 25 | disciplining businesses with significant market power. |
31
| 1 | I also believe, as Michael pointed out, that as economic
|
| 2 | learning progresses, we may find that it is easier to
|
| 3 | separate bad business practices from good ones, but for
|
| 4 | now, we ought to be pretty cautious about letting the
|
| 5 | courts and ultimately jurors in private litigation
|
| 6 | embark on a rule of reason inquiry without some
|
| 7 | structure, some discipline on it, to reduce the
|
| 8 | likelihood and cost of errors.
|
| 9 | So, let me apply those considerations to tying,
|
| 10 | and at the risk of restating what everyone knows and
|
| 11 | what the courts have acknowledged in Fortner, Jefferson
|
| 12 | Parish and Independent Ink, tying is ubiquitous, it is
|
| 13 | utterly common. Firms make decisions all the time on
|
| 14 | how to design their products and what product lines to
|
| 15 | offer. They take into account consumer demand for
|
| 16 | different options. That demand depends, as Michael
|
| 17 | pointed out, on transactions costs and information
|
| 18 | costs, and those have critical implications for what
|
| 19 | consumers want and what firms ought to offer them to
|
| 20 | maximize profits, and firms take into account their own
|
| 21 | costs of offering different product offerings. As a
|
| 22 | practical matter, that results in product offerings that
|
| 23 | could be characterized as tying pretty much all over the
|
| 24 | place.
|
| 25 | Mike and I, as I think many of you, have a |
32
| 1 | series of papers that go into many of these
|
| 2 | considerations. Perhaps the most important observation
|
| 3 | from that line of papers is that there are fixed costs
|
| 4 | of offering different product combinations, and that
|
| 5 | necessarily limits the variants offered by firms and can
|
| 6 | result in pure bundling or tying.
|
| 7 | Now, the case law sometimes talks about tying
|
| 8 | denying consumers' choice. The fact of the matter is
|
| 9 | that a lot of times, consumers do not want choice. They
|
| 10 | want producers to make decisions for them, because the
|
| 11 | producers are in a better position to really do that,
|
| 12 | and consumer choice is not costless. It can raise
|
| 13 | prices for all consumers as the market gets fragmented.
|
| 14 | So, our prior explication, when we see tying, is
|
| 15 | it is probably efficient and as a result of market
|
| 16 | forces. As the D.C. Circuit noted in its unanimous
|
| 17 | decision in Microsoft, "Bundling by all competitive
|
| 18 | firms implies strong net efficiencies."
|
| 19 | Now, that does not end the analysis. One might
|
| 20 | imagine that economists have spent the last 20 years
|
| 21 | researching the subject of tying and concluded that, as
|
| 22 | a matter of theory, it was a highly plausible,
|
| 23 | anticompetitive strategy for firms with significant
|
| 24 | market power, and you might imagine that economists had
|
| 25 | actually discovered empirical evidence that supported |
33
| 1 | those theories, but you would, indeed, be imagining
|
| 2 | this, as Michael's presentation really emphasizes. We
|
| 3 | have lots of insights, but it is very clear from the
|
| 4 | literature that lots of assumptions need to be true in
|
| 5 | order for us to find anticompetitive tying.
|
| 6 | So, how, then, should we analyze tying going
|
| 7 | forward? Well, I agree with Michael, where tying is
|
| 8 | simply a device to engage in price discrimination, I
|
| 9 | would make it per se unlawful. There is no strong
|
| 10 | economic basis, you can have price discrimination in
|
| 11 | common and competitive markets. Michael went through
|
| 12 | whether social welfare increases or decreases, but I
|
| 13 | think what he left out, I think many of us have strong
|
| 14 | priors that in a lot of cases, price discrimination is
|
| 15 | probably beneficial.
|
| 16 | Now, the law of patent misuse could still
|
| 17 | address whether we should limit the returns from
|
| 18 | intellectual property rights by prohibiting tying, but I
|
| 19 | do not think there is any basis a priori for allowing
|
| 20 | patent holders to engage in price discrimination in a
|
| 21 | primary market but not through mechanisms that involve a
|
| 22 | secondary market.
|
| 23 | Otherwise, we should leave open the possibility
|
| 24 | that under the rule of reason, tying practices could be
|
| 25 | found unlawful; however, there again, I agree with |
34
| 1 | Michael that plaintiffs should have a high hurdle, and
|
| 2 | if I could have perhaps one extra minute, I will tell
|
| 3 | you what I think that hurdle should be.
|
| 4 | First, plaintiffs should, of course, as a
|
| 5 | starting matter have to show that the defendant has
|
| 6 | significant market power in the tying product that the
|
| 7 | plaintiff has posited, and that, in itself, is a
|
| 8 | movement away from Jefferson Parish, merely inserting
|
| 9 | the words "significant market power" or "monopoly
|
| 10 | power."
|
| 11 | Second, plaintiffs should have to show that the
|
| 12 | tying practice has the likely effect of excluding a
|
| 13 | significant amount of competition from the market for
|
| 14 | the tied product. Such exclusion, at least as I
|
| 15 | understand the literature, is really the source of
|
| 16 | competitive harm in really all the economic work or much
|
| 17 | of the economic work in this area.
|
| 18 | Third, plaintiffs should have to raise
|
| 19 | significant doubts that the tying practice is not just
|
| 20 | normal competitive practice that is explained by
|
| 21 | efficiencies for consumers or firms. That means
|
| 22 | plaintiffs should have to show that there are two
|
| 23 | separate products and that in the absence of an
|
| 24 | anticompetitive, exclusionary strategy, we would expect
|
| 25 | that consumers would be offered the tied product without |
35
| 1 | the tying product. So, I would put that burden onto the
|
| 2 | plaintiff in the first instance.
|
| 3 | And fourth, plaintiffs should have to show by
|
| 4 | way of economic theory and empirical evidence that the
|
| 5 | defendant has, in fact, embarked on a plausible
|
| 6 | anticompetitive strategy, and we can leave for the
|
| 7 | discussion what that actually requires.
|
| 8 | Ultimately, of course, plaintiffs need to be
|
| 9 | able to demonstrate persuasively that tying will cause a
|
| 10 | net reduction in consumer welfare. I do not think that
|
| 11 | these are impossible hurdles by any means. Plaintiffs
|
| 12 | ought to be able to find evidence to support each of
|
| 13 | these tests if, in fact, a firm has engaged in tying to
|
| 14 | acquire a monopoly in a secondary market or maintain a
|
| 15 | monopoly in a primary market, as might be suggested by
|
| 16 | some of the Carlton/Waldman works.
|
| 17 | So, that is where I end up, all in all pretty
|
| 18 | consistent with Michael. Thank you very much.
|
| 19 | MS. LEE: Thank you.
|
| 20 | (Applause.)
|
| 21 | MS. LEE: Our next speaker is Don Russell, who
|
| 22 | is a partner at Robbins, Russell, Englert, Orseck &
|
| 23 | Untereiner. In 1977, he joined the Antitrust Division
|
| 24 | of the U.S. Department of Justice, where he served for
|
| 25 | 24 years. He was Assistant Chief of the Communications |
36
| 1 | and Finance Section from 1986 to 1992, lead attorney in
|
| 2 | the Division's 1994 monopolization case against
|
| 3 | Microsoft, and Chief of the Telecommunications Task
|
| 4 | Force from 1995 to 2001. He is a founding partner of
|
| 5 | his law firm, where he maintains an active antitrust
|
| 6 | practice.
|
| 7 | Don?
|
| 8 | MR. RUSSELL: Thank you. I am happy to be here
|
| 9 | this morning with five very smart panelists who are
|
| 10 | going to answer the hard questions, and I am going to
|
| 11 | address the easy one, to a large extent repeating and
|
| 12 | emphasizing, again, what you just heard from David
|
| 13 | Evans, with very small areas of disagreement.
|
| 14 | My basic proposition this morning -- the two
|
| 15 | basic propositions I want to assert are, number one, the
|
| 16 | single most important thing that the FTC and the
|
| 17 | Antitrust Division can do and the easiest thing for them
|
| 18 | to do in this area is to say publicly, clearly,
|
| 19 | frequently and to the Supreme Court, as soon as they get
|
| 20 | a chance to do so, get rid of the per se rule for tying,
|
| 21 | whatever is left of it. We all recognize that it is not
|
| 22 | a true per se rule, but as David explained, it is enough
|
| 23 | of a per se rule that it still causes substantial harm
|
| 24 | and confusion and harm to consumer welfare. So, we
|
| 25 | ought to get rid of it. |
37
| 1 | The second point I want to make, and the one
|
| 2 | that I want to spend most of my time on, is the point
|
| 3 | that I think the Supreme Court has indicated very, very
|
| 4 | clearly they are ready to take this step. Certainly
|
| 5 | lower courts have recognized that it would be an
|
| 6 | appropriate step, and many other people have as well,
|
| 7 | and this is the area where I might have a slight
|
| 8 | disagreement with David's reading of the Independent Ink
|
| 9 | decision, which I will get to in a few minutes.
|
| 10 | Let's start with the Jefferson Parish decision
|
| 11 | in 1984. I think you are all probably familiar with the
|
| 12 | basic facts there. I will point out the holding of that
|
| 13 | case, which is that there was no violation of the
|
| 14 | antitrust laws, no tying violation, when the defendant
|
| 15 | did not have market power. That is the holding. Now,
|
| 16 | there are many other things that were said in the case
|
| 17 | that I would describe as dicta, the most famous part of
|
| 18 | that being the one that is up on the slide now and the
|
| 19 | one that Mike Salinger referred to earlier.
|
| 20 | In the opinion, the majority opinion by Justice
|
| 21 | Stevens, he said, "It is far too late in the history of
|
| 22 | our antitrust jurisprudence to question the proposition
|
| 23 | that certain tying arrangements pose an unacceptable
|
| 24 | risk of stifling competition and therefore are
|
| 25 | unreasonable per se." A couple of things I want to |
38
| 1 | point out about this sentence, first, as you heard
|
| 2 | earlier, one very easy way to read this sentence is that
|
| 3 | Justice Stevens is saying, well, we really are not sure
|
| 4 | that this is right, but it is far too late to do
|
| 5 | anything about it.
|
| 6 | The second thing I want to point out, going to
|
| 7 | the underlined language on the screen, is the sentence
|
| 8 | is really fundamentally inconsistent with virtually
|
| 9 | everything else that the Supreme Court has said about
|
| 10 | per se rules, the proposition that certain tying
|
| 11 | arrangements, but not necessarily all, pose an
|
| 12 | unacceptable risk to competition. In every other
|
| 13 | context the Supreme Court has said the fact that certain
|
| 14 | do does not mean that you need to have a per se rule
|
| 15 | that encompasses all of them. Per se treatment is
|
| 16 | reserved only for those situations in which it is
|
| 17 | virtually always the case that there is harm to
|
| 18 | competition and virtually never the case that there is a
|
| 19 | substantial efficiency rationale. Therefore, just
|
| 20 | reading this sentence in that context, it makes no
|
| 21 | sense.
|
| 22 | Going to one of the concurring opinions in
|
| 23 | Jefferson Parish signed by two of the justices, they,
|
| 24 | again, make this point very clearly, that whatever merit
|
| 25 | the policy arguments against the per se rule might have, |
39
| 1 | Congress has not done anything about it, and again, this
|
| 2 | seems to me to be pretty clear even back then that these
|
| 3 | two Justices had substantial doubts that the rule made
|
| 4 | any sense, but for other reasons, they did not think it
|
| 5 | was appropriate at that time to do anything about it.
|
| 6 | There were four Justices in that case who, as
|
| 7 | you know, came out and said very plainly and
|
| 8 | straightforwardly, tying should not be regarded as per
|
| 9 | se illegal in any sense, it should be evaluated under
|
| 10 | the rule of reason, and the reason that they said that
|
| 11 | was stated very clearly. It incurs the cost of a rule
|
| 12 | of reason approach without achieving its benefits.
|
| 13 | The second quote there, "The legality of
|
| 14 | petitioners' conduct depends on its competitive
|
| 15 | consequences, not whether it can be labeled 'tying.' If
|
| 16 | the competitive consequences are not those to which the
|
| 17 | per se rule is addressed, then it should not be
|
| 18 | condemned irrespective of its label."
|
| 19 | Now, there may be a few people in the audience
|
| 20 | who have studied all of this history very carefully who
|
| 21 | will realize that what I have done here is played a late
|
| 22 | Halloween trick on you. The second quote there is
|
| 23 | actually from the majority opinion. It is in a footnote
|
| 24 | in Justice Stevens' opinion for the majority. So, even
|
| 25 | then, as he is saying this is per se illegal if the |
40
| 1 | defendant has market power, he is saying in almost the
|
| 2 | same breath, well, of course, you really have to look at
|
| 3 | the competitive consequences, not labels, which sounds
|
| 4 | to me an awful lot like rule of reason.
|
| 5 | Looking more specifically at what Justice
|
| 6 | Stevens said were the competitive concerns with tying,
|
| 7 | he identified two. The first is that it would insulate
|
| 8 | the tied product from competitive pressures, and the
|
| 9 | second is that it might increase the social costs of
|
| 10 | market power by facilitating price discrimination, and
|
| 11 | those were the reasons that he advanced for the Court's
|
| 12 | historical hostility towards tying.
|
| 13 | So, let's fast forward to the case that the
|
| 14 | Supreme Court decided earlier this term, the Independent
|
| 15 | Ink case, and again, the basic pattern in the
|
| 16 | proceedings below were quite similar to what had
|
| 17 | happened in Jefferson Parish. The District Court had
|
| 18 | the good sense to rule in favor of the defendant. The
|
| 19 | Court of Appeals, thinking that it was bound by old
|
| 20 | Supreme Court precedence, said no, you cannot rule in
|
| 21 | favor of the defendant here. In Independent Ink, it was
|
| 22 | because of the statement that Justice Stevens had made
|
| 23 | in Jefferson Parish and that the Court had made in other
|
| 24 | cases, if the Government has granted the seller a
|
| 25 | patent, it is fair to presume that the inability to buy |
41
| 1 | the product elsewhere gives the seller market power.
|
| 2 | So, when the Supreme Court got this case, which
|
| 3 | had been decided below based on what Justice Stevens had
|
| 4 | said in Jefferson Parish, the Supreme Court unanimously
|
| 5 | reversed in an opinion written by Justice Stevens,
|
| 6 | ironically enough. Why does it change here between what
|
| 7 | Stevens said in Jefferson Parish and what Stevens said
|
| 8 | in Independent Ink?
|
| 9 | The one area where I think I may disagree with
|
| 10 | David Evans is he looks at the Independent Ink decision
|
| 11 | and says Justice Stevens was very careful not to say
|
| 12 | anything that would undermine what he had said about per
|
| 13 | se illegality in Jefferson Parish. I think that is
|
| 14 | factually true. There is nothing that is flatly
|
| 15 | inconsistent between the two decisions, but as I read
|
| 16 | the Independent Ink decision, it is written the way that
|
| 17 | it is precisely because Justice Stevens and the rest of
|
| 18 | the unanimous Court are inviting a re-examination of
|
| 19 | this per se rule and signaling very clearly that they no
|
| 20 | longer believe that it makes any sense.
|
| 21 | Let me go through specifically the reasons why I
|
| 22 | believe that. First, if you look at the actual issue
|
| 23 | that was presented in Independent Ink, it was a very
|
| 24 | simple and very narrow issue. Should you presume market
|
| 25 | power from the fact that there is a patent? The issue |
42
| 1 | that was presented in the case had absolutely nothing to
|
| 2 | do with assuming that there is market power, what is the
|
| 3 | appropriate mode of analysis of the antitrust issues?
|
| 4 | But when you look at the Independent Ink decision, the
|
| 5 | Court spends a great deal of time and devotes a great
|
| 6 | deal of attention to precisely that second issue which
|
| 7 | was not raised in this case, and I think it is
|
| 8 | significant that they did so.
|
| 9 | For those of you who are particularly fascinated
|
| 10 | by these issues, I will recommend to you an article that
|
| 11 | was written by Kevin MacDonald, "There's No Tying in
|
| 12 | Baseball," in which I think Kevin does a very, very good
|
| 13 | job of explaining why if you want to look at the narrow
|
| 14 | issue that was presented in Independent Ink, there are
|
| 15 | many, many, many ways the Court could have come out, as
|
| 16 | it did, addressing only the fact that all of its old
|
| 17 | precedence about patents and copyrights and presumptions
|
| 18 | were really being misread. People were relying on
|
| 19 | dicta, and the Court very easily could have
|
| 20 | distinguished those cases and said, you know, that is
|
| 21 | just wrong. When we look at this narrow issue, it has
|
| 22 | to come out the other way. But they went well beyond
|
| 23 | that.
|
| 24 | The first reason they gave for the way they came
|
| 25 | out was the presumption that a patent confers market |
43
| 1 | power is a vestige of the Court's historical distrust of
|
| 2 | tying arrangements, which seems to me a very odd thing
|
| 3 | to say. It was not saying, you know, the Court's
|
| 4 | historical belief that patents confer market power. It
|
| 5 | was an historical distrust of tying arrangements
|
| 6 | generally, and they emphasized that is what we are
|
| 7 | addressing today. There are some specific quotes here.
|
| 8 | Over the years, this Court's strong disapproval
|
| 9 | of tying arrangements has substantially diminished. The
|
| 10 | dissenters' view in Fortner that tying arrangements may
|
| 11 | well be procompetitive ultimately prevailed. The
|
| 12 | assumption that tying arrangements serve hardly any
|
| 13 | purpose beyond the suppression of competition has not
|
| 14 | been endorsed in any opinion since. That seems to me to
|
| 15 | be very strong language supporting the rule of reason
|
| 16 | analysis.
|
| 17 | When you look at the specific concern that
|
| 18 | Justice Stevens had articulated as a rule in favor of a
|
| 19 | per se prohibition of tying, price discrimination, what
|
| 20 | the Court said in Independent Ink is, "While price
|
| 21 | discrimination may provide evidence of market power...it
|
| 22 | is generally recognized that it also occurs in fully
|
| 23 | competitive markets."
|
| 24 | The Court in Independent Ink gave a second
|
| 25 | reason for why they were coming out differently today |
44
| 1 | than they had in the past. They emphasized over and
|
| 2 | over again that there was a very, very solid consensus
|
| 3 | among economists and legal scholars that the old rule
|
| 4 | made no sense, and I think what we have heard from this
|
| 5 | morning and what we probably all knew before we came in
|
| 6 | this morning is as to the per se rule against tying,
|
| 7 | there is a very substantial, very solid, very
|
| 8 | long-standing scholarly consensus that that rule makes
|
| 9 | no sense. In Independent Ink, the Supreme Court is
|
| 10 | saying that kind of a consensus is a very important
|
| 11 | consideration when we are deciding these cases.
|
| 12 | The third rule, which is particularly
|
| 13 | interesting, I think, is the Supreme Court talked about
|
| 14 | congressional action that kind of ratified this view
|
| 15 | that maybe tying arrangements are not so bad after all.
|
| 16 | Now, if you look at the legislation they were pointing
|
| 17 | to, they were actually pointing to legislation about,
|
| 18 | you know, this presumption of market power, but look
|
| 19 | again at the way Justice Stevens described this concept.
|
| 20 | "At the same time that our antitrust jurisprudence
|
| 21 | continued to rely on the assumption" -- not about market
|
| 22 | power -- "the assumption that tying arrangements
|
| 23 | generally serve no legitimate purpose, Congress began
|
| 24 | chipping away at the assumption."
|
| 25 | So, again, I think this opinion in a way is |
45
| 1 | misleading and misstating what actually happened but in
|
| 2 | a way that suggests to me that the Court is paving the
|
| 3 | way to get rid of the last vestige of the per se rule.
|
| 4 | And, of course, as to congressional action, they again
|
| 5 | emphasized in Independent Ink, as they have said in
|
| 6 | other recent cases, you know, even this assumption that
|
| 7 | we normally would take congressional acquiescence as
|
| 8 | some sign in favor of keeping our old precedents intact,
|
| 9 | in the antitrust area, it is different, because Congress
|
| 10 | has basically delegated to the courts this common law
|
| 11 | authority to change doctrine over time, and they
|
| 12 | repeated that observation in Independent Ink and
|
| 13 | emphasized it again. So, even if congressional action
|
| 14 | would be helpful to persuade them that they should
|
| 15 | overrule prior cases, they do not regard it as necessary
|
| 16 | in the antitrust arena.
|
| 17 | Reason number four is I think the most important
|
| 18 | reason for today's discussion. The Supreme Court said,
|
| 19 | well, the other thing that has changed is the
|
| 20 | Government's position, the position of the enforcement
|
| 21 | agencies, and again, they walked through a history,
|
| 22 | which some, including Kevin MacDonald, is kind of a
|
| 23 | creative rereading or rewriting of history, to say what
|
| 24 | we did in the past was because the Government was
|
| 25 | telling us to do it in the past. The Government today |
46
| 1 | is telling us something very different, and we are going
|
| 2 | to follow the Government's advice, suggesting, again, to
|
| 3 | me that it would be very, very important for the
|
| 4 | Division, for the FTC, to offer that advice to the Court
|
| 5 | and that there is a very high likelihood that the Court
|
| 6 | will accept that advice.
|
| 7 | So, if you want to sum up what the Supreme Court
|
| 8 | said in Independent Ink to explain their decision there,
|
| 9 | almost the last sentence of the opinion says, "Congress,
|
| 10 | the antitrust enforcement agencies, and most economists
|
| 11 | have all reached this conclusion. Today, we reach the
|
| 12 | same conclusion."
|
| 13 | I think that is a very clear indication, you
|
| 14 | know, here is the road map, here are the things we will
|
| 15 | look at if this remaining per se rule comes before us,
|
| 16 | and I think when you look at the record, it is pretty
|
| 17 | clear how they would come out on that.
|
| 18 | Now, I will admit that I may be reading too much
|
| 19 | into this, and I will certainly agree with David,
|
| 20 | virtually every quotation I have put on the screen
|
| 21 | there, you can read it in a different context and you
|
| 22 | can say, well, it is not really inconsistent with the
|
| 23 | per se rule, it is not really inconsistent with
|
| 24 | Jefferson Parish, and they were really just talking
|
| 25 | about this narrow issue about patents and presumptions, |
47
| 1 | but I do not really think that that is right, and one of
|
| 2 | the reasons that I do not think it is right, in addition
|
| 3 | to the things that the opinion itself says, are the
|
| 4 | questions and the comments that various Justices made
|
| 5 | during the argument in Independent Ink.
|
| 6 | Justice Stevens was the most active questioner
|
| 7 | and the most active participant in this argument, and
|
| 8 | time after time after time, the issue he focused on is,
|
| 9 | does this per se rule make sense? And if you want to
|
| 10 | get to what seems to be his tentative conclusion, the
|
| 11 | last quote on this screen, "It doesn't seem to me it
|
| 12 | makes any difference whether General Motors has a
|
| 13 | monopoly or not," that is, whether they have market
|
| 14 | power or not, "when it wants to sell two components as
|
| 15 | part of the same package." What he seems to be saying
|
| 16 | here, the question that he keeps asking is, you know,
|
| 17 | why shouldn't that be okay?
|
| 18 | Justice Roberts had an even stronger statement.
|
| 19 | "Much of the economic literature sort of sweeps away
|
| 20 | this question because it rejects the notion of tying as
|
| 21 | a problem in the first place."
|
| 22 | Justice Breyer, again, had many questions all
|
| 23 | devoted to the same point, and, among other things,
|
| 24 | focusing specifically on price discrimination, in which
|
| 25 | he says, "I think most economists, in fact, everyone I |
48
| 1 | have read agrees with the notion that price
|
| 2 | discrimination is sometimes good and sometimes bad. The
|
| 3 | scholarly consensus that you see later on when the
|
| 4 | opinion comes out.
|
| 5 | And Justice Scalia, again, in a provocative way
|
| 6 | says, is there anything to this notion of tying as an
|
| 7 | anticompetitive practice at all?
|
| 8 | So, to focus here, I think the Supreme Court in
|
| 9 | the Independent Ink decision has laid out very clearly
|
| 10 | what arguments it needs to hear with respect to the
|
| 11 | remaining per se rule, and they have indicated, I think
|
| 12 | pretty clearly, how they will come out on that question
|
| 13 | if and when it is put in front of them. The first
|
| 14 | point, they point to the Supreme Court's prior
|
| 15 | recognition that tying is often a procompetitive
|
| 16 | practice, which is the way they are now reading that
|
| 17 | history.
|
| 18 | Second, they point to a scholarly consensus,
|
| 19 | which I think we will hear today and we have heard
|
| 20 | elsewhere is clearly in place with regard to the per se
|
| 21 | treatment of tying.
|
| 22 | Third, congressional action, the Supreme Court
|
| 23 | has already identified congressional action that they
|
| 24 | think is an indication that maybe tying is not so bad
|
| 25 | all the time anyway. |
49
| 1 | The thing that is missing at the moment and the
|
| 2 | thing that I think is critical, which is why I focused
|
| 3 | my remarks this morning on this, is support for a change
|
| 4 | in the rule from the antitrust agencies. There was an
|
| 5 | opportunity for the Government to do this in the
|
| 6 | Independent Ink case. The question was asked very
|
| 7 | clearly, what is your position on this? And the
|
| 8 | Government's lawyer said, well, Justice O'Connor, who
|
| 9 | argued for rule of reason treatment, made persuasive
|
| 10 | points, but we have not taken a position on that
|
| 11 | question.
|
| 12 | I want to make it clear I am not criticizing
|
| 13 | that answer. I think it was perfectly appropriate in
|
| 14 | the context of that case, but I also think it is very
|
| 15 | important, very critical, that the next time the
|
| 16 | question comes up that the Government does take a
|
| 17 | position, which is the per se rule makes no sense. This
|
| 18 | should be a rule of reason analysis.
|
| 19 | (Applause.)
|
| 20 | MS. LEE: Thank you.
|
| 21 | Our final speaker before we take a short break
|
| 22 | is Mark Popofsky, who has been a partner at Kaye Scholer
|
| 23 | since leaving the Antitrust Division of the Department
|
| 24 | of Justice in 1999, where he was senior counsel to the
|
| 25 | Assistant Attorney General. Mark works in the |
50
| 1 | antitrust, intellectual property and technology practice
|
| 2 | groups at Kaye Scholer and chairs the firm's technology
|
| 3 | and competition practices.
|
| 4 | Mark is an Adjunct Professor at Georgetown
|
| 5 | University Law Center where for several years he has
|
| 6 | taught the Advanced Antitrust Law and Economics Seminar.
|
| 7 | Mark?
|
| 8 | MR. POPOFSKY: Thanks, June. It is a pleasure
|
| 9 | to be here today. I would like to thank both
|
| 10 | enforcement agencies for holding these hearings and for
|
| 11 | inviting me to participate in them, and it is nice to
|
| 12 | see so many familiar and well-respected faces here in
|
| 13 | this room, both in the audience and on the panel today.
|
| 14 | I approach this topic like Don Russell as a simple
|
| 15 | country practitioner, a formal federal enforcer, and a
|
| 16 | veteran of several rounds in the Microsoft jungle, a
|
| 17 | veteran of those wars.
|
| 18 | I think it is fair to say, to start with the
|
| 19 | issue that Don talked about and David Evans touched on,
|
| 20 | that if the Supreme Court today were hearing a case
|
| 21 | about whether Jefferson Parish should be overruled,
|
| 22 | there is no doubt in my mind there is a majority on the
|
| 23 | Court right now to overrule Jefferson Parish. I think
|
| 24 | it is notable in my view that Justice Stevens is not
|
| 25 | among them, and my slight disagreement with Don will be |
51
| 1 | I see the opinion in Independent Ink as very craftily
|
| 2 | written by Justice Stevens, who has had a 40-year agenda
|
| 3 | in this area, to say, well, what we are talking about
|
| 4 | today is not Jefferson Parish at all but a special per
|
| 5 | se rule that was applicable to intellectual property and
|
| 6 | perhaps even only to patent ties, and I am here today,
|
| 7 | Justice Stevens, writing for the Court, to address only
|
| 8 | the viability of that per se rule.
|
| 9 | To be sure, much in the decision and especially
|
| 10 | in his reasoning probably was prompted by many of his
|
| 11 | colleagues to get them all on board, and this suggests
|
| 12 | exactly what I said a few minutes ago, there is a
|
| 13 | majority out there to overrule Jefferson Parish, but I
|
| 14 | think it would indeed need a swift kick in the Supreme
|
| 15 | Court's rear by the enforcement agencies, among others,
|
| 16 | to get them to take that next step. I do not think it
|
| 17 | is inevitable.
|
| 18 | But why I think we are here today is to not talk
|
| 19 | about that next step, which may not be inevitable but
|
| 20 | perhaps is upon us soon, but to talk about what happens
|
| 21 | after that. After all, we are here in the Section 2
|
| 22 | single-firm conduct hearings. Whether or not Jefferson
|
| 23 | Parish remains or falls, tying will remain unlawful
|
| 24 | under Section 1 either under the strange presumptive per
|
| 25 | se rule of illegality, which is rebuttable in some |
52
| 1 | senses, as Jefferson Parish articulated, or under a full
|
| 2 | or truncated rule of reason. Why are we here, in other
|
| 3 | words, to talk about tying under Section 2 of the
|
| 4 | Sherman Act? What does it accomplish?
|
| 5 | In my view, that question depends on answering
|
| 6 | two questions. The first is the conduct subject to
|
| 7 | Section 2 from a legal perspective. I am not one of
|
| 8 | these fancy guys with a Ph.D. or fancy gals with a Ph.D.
|
| 9 | In a legal sense, does Section 2 reach a broader range
|
| 10 | of conduct that can be labeled tying in Section 1? And
|
| 11 | two, and perhaps most importantly, regardless of the
|
| 12 | answer to that first question, should we have different
|
| 13 | rules of liability for Section 2 for tying-like conduct
|
| 14 | than Section 1? I will address each of these briefly in
|
| 15 | turn.
|
| 16 | I believe it is fairly clear that Section 2 does
|
| 17 | reach a broader array of tying-like conduct than Section
|
| 18 | 1. Let me give you three examples. A conditioned
|
| 19 | refusal to deal, which is set up like a good old
|
| 20 | fashioned Colgate policy. The monopolist says to its
|
| 21 | customers, I will not deal with you in the future unless
|
| 22 | you take this tied good with the tying good. The
|
| 23 | customer acquiesces.
|
| 24 | Suppose, like in a Colgate situation, we do not
|
| 25 | have enough of a basis to infer a Section 1 vertical |
53
| 1 | agreement and all we have is, technically, unilateral
|
| 2 | conduct. That is something that Section 2 and, indeed,
|
| 3 | perhaps even Clayton Act Section 3 would reach that
|
| 4 | Sherman Act Section 1 does not, the conditional refusal
|
| 5 | to deal, which could, of course, ripen into an agreement
|
| 6 | but need not.
|
| 7 | The second and more intriguing and important
|
| 8 | example, which I gather we will discuss after the break,
|
| 9 | is technological tying and product design. Now, it is
|
| 10 | notable that the Microsoft case, which I lived, did
|
| 11 | treat technological tying and product design as conduct
|
| 12 | subject to both Section 1 and Section 2, but I think the
|
| 13 | Court really glossed over the issue there. If all you
|
| 14 | have is a monopolist or would-be monopolist designing a
|
| 15 | product, it is not clear to me that every court is going
|
| 16 | to reach the conclusion that that is the functional
|
| 17 | equivalent of an agreement or a contractual tie. I
|
| 18 | think it is an issue of great dispute in the case law,
|
| 19 | and that might be yet a second area where a Section 2
|
| 20 | liability rule used for tying makes a substantial
|
| 21 | difference.
|
| 22 | The third and presently very hot area brought to
|
| 23 | us by one of Don Russell's partners in the LePage's
|
| 24 | cases is bundled discounts, which, of course, is a
|
| 25 | category of conduct that can achieve similar results to |
54
| 1 | tying and exclusive dealing. Indeed, tying and
|
| 2 | exclusive dealing, of which there is, of course, going
|
| 3 | to be another forum and of which tying is but a form,
|
| 4 | are just extreme forms of bundled discount. There is a
|
| 5 | discrete rule here. There is law dating back at least
|
| 6 | to the Way and Means case in the Northern District of
|
| 7 | California as to when a bundled discount should be
|
| 8 | treated as an outright tie depending on what percentage
|
| 9 | of the tied item is purchased outside of the bundle, but
|
| 10 | that rule, as I just mentioned, is discreet. It would
|
| 11 | only capture some forms of bundled discounting under
|
| 12 | Section 1, and there will be a large number of bundled
|
| 13 | discounts reached only under Section 2 and not Section
|
| 14 | 1.
|
| 15 | Bottom line, in my view, there very much is a
|
| 16 | difference between the coverage of the two provisions,
|
| 17 | Section 1 and Section 2, with respect to tying and
|
| 18 | tying-like conduct, and I think it is largely settled
|
| 19 | that there is a difference and it will remain.
|
| 20 | The second issue I wish to address today, the
|
| 21 | appropriate legal standard, is, by contrast, extremely
|
| 22 | unsettled. The issue, put brightly, is whether Section
|
| 23 | 2's legal test for liability for tying is different than
|
| 24 | Section 1's, even assuming here we have the Don Russell,
|
| 25 | David Evans, post-Jefferson Parish, halcion world of |
55
| 1 | being under the full rule of reason. So, what I am
|
| 2 | about to say assumes that Don Russell and David Evans
|
| 3 | have, perhaps rightly, won the battle and we are
|
| 4 | confronted with a Section 1 rule of reason rule for
|
| 5 | tying, and the question is, what should we do under
|
| 6 | Section 2?
|
| 7 | Now, stepping back for a minute, I think it is
|
| 8 | critical that the answer to that question we observe to
|
| 9 | turn on what sort of conduct we are talking about. So,
|
| 10 | let me start with the brightest beacon in this area in
|
| 11 | the last ten years, and that is the Microsoft case, for
|
| 12 | that is an intriguing case I think for tying, despite
|
| 13 | the fact that the Government, of course, brought a per
|
| 14 | se claim, and I was in the room when that decision was
|
| 15 | made.
|
| 16 | There was, of course, a holding by the Court of
|
| 17 | Appeals that the tie-in in this case involving not just
|
| 18 | a technological tie-in but related conduct should be
|
| 19 | evaluated under the rule of reason, not the per se rule,
|
| 20 | number one, and two and more importantly, and I am sure
|
| 21 | the economists will start jumping up and down, the
|
| 22 | Microsoft Court held there is a difference in what you
|
| 23 | do depending on what market you are looking at.
|
| 24 | And what did the Microsoft Court hold? The
|
| 25 | Microsoft Court held that Section 1 tying law, under the |
56
| 1 | rule of reason -- so this is presumably the
|
| 2 | post-Jefferson Parish world come a little sooner because
|
| 3 | the Microsoft Court created an exception to Jefferson
|
| 4 | Parish -- the Court said Section 1 is concerned
|
| 5 | exclusively with harms to competition in the tied
|
| 6 | product market. Look only to harms in the browser
|
| 7 | market, the Court said, ignore this monopoly of
|
| 8 | maintenance in the tying product market, operating
|
| 9 | systems. The Court said, we are, in other words,
|
| 10 | concerned only with how the tied market can be affected.
|
| 11 | Strikingly, the Court also said the standard of
|
| 12 | liability here is higher in some sense under Section 1
|
| 13 | when you are looking at a tied product market than
|
| 14 | Section 2, which, of course, the Court said had to do
|
| 15 | with in that case the tying product market. The Court
|
| 16 | said for a Section 1 rule of reason tying claim, we need
|
| 17 | actual harm to competition in the tied product market.
|
| 18 | The Government must define that market with precision,
|
| 19 | they must show a substantial likelihood of
|
| 20 | anticompetitive effects. Government, you have not even
|
| 21 | gotten past go on that issue, you are likely to lose.
|
| 22 | We are not willing to do what we did in the Section 2
|
| 23 | side of the case -- where the Court said the concern
|
| 24 | about tying under Section 2 requires looking at the
|
| 25 | upstream tying product market -- where the Court was |
57
| 1 | willing to infer causation of anticompetitive harm
|
| 2 | merely from the fact that Microsoft engaged in a
|
| 3 | category of conduct which the Court said was likely to
|
| 4 | cause anticompetitive effects.
|
| 5 | So, just to step back and summarize, we have a
|
| 6 | clear difference, the Court of Appeals says, for Section
|
| 7 | 2 tying and Section 1 tying. Section 1, give me actual
|
| 8 | effects in the tied product market. Section 2 tying,
|
| 9 | give me a reasonable likelihood that we have conduct
|
| 10 | likely to cause upstream monopolization for Section 2
|
| 11 | tying. The liability standard in a very discrete way is
|
| 12 | lower, ironically, under Section 2 after the Microsoft
|
| 13 | decision than Section 1, at least in terms of what is
|
| 14 | the nuance and the measure and the strength of the story
|
| 15 | you have to have as a plaintiff to infer competitive or
|
| 16 | show competitive harm.
|
| 17 | I think this was no accident in this unanimous
|
| 18 | per curiam en banc opinion. Tying, as we have heard, is
|
| 19 | ubiquitous in competitive markets. If you have a legal
|
| 20 | rule that it is very easy to show anticompetitive
|
| 21 | effects that satisfy the rule of reason under Section 1,
|
| 22 | you are potentially going to be condemning under Section
|
| 23 | 1 a broad swath of otherwise benign conduct. It is very
|
| 24 | easy to get to those jurors David Evans mentioned if you
|
| 25 | can have a Section 1 tying rule that says, basically, |
58
| 1 | have any story of plausible anticompetitive effects and
|
| 2 | have a story of some market power. Differentiated
|
| 3 | products, we all know, is very easy to show some market
|
| 4 | power over.
|
| 5 | So, the Court is saying, higher standard for
|
| 6 | liability, at least under some categories of cases under
|
| 7 | Section 1, there -- technological tying. Perhaps a
|
| 8 | break to the plaintiff under Section 2, provided the
|
| 9 | plaintiff has a clear story of how the tie-in can
|
| 10 | actually lead to monopolization of the tying market, and
|
| 11 | it was a story of how NetScape's distribution of
|
| 12 | browsers would enable Microsoft to prevent NetScape from
|
| 13 | reaching certain economies of scale to grow into a
|
| 14 | threat for Microsoft.
|
| 15 | So, whether or not one agrees with what the
|
| 16 | Microsoft Court said about the concern of each provision
|
| 17 | of the Sherman Act, exclusively downstream for Section
|
| 18 | 1, exclusively upstream for Section 2, you have a court
|
| 19 | saying the rules are different depending on what you are
|
| 20 | looking at for tying, and this leads to my final major
|
| 21 | point.
|
| 22 | This says something more general, I think, about
|
| 23 | Section 2 tying, where we are going in this area, and
|
| 24 | importantly, what the enforcement agencies can
|
| 25 | contribute. As I have written recently in an Antitrust |
59
| 1 | Law Journal article, there is a holy war raging over the
|
| 2 | appropriate liability standard under Section 2
|
| 3 | generally. Everything, at least almost everything, save
|
| 4 | perhaps very discrete areas like charging a monopoly
|
| 5 | price and after-Trinko refusals to deal, are up for
|
| 6 | grabs.
|
| 7 | In fact, I think this revolution in Section 2 is
|
| 8 | inherent in Trinko, where Trinko itself, often read as a
|
| 9 | very pro-defendant decision, says in designing Section 2
|
| 10 | legal standards, we should be Bayesians, as David Evans
|
| 11 | said. We should look at the risk of type one errors,
|
| 12 | the risk of false positives, type two errors, the risk
|
| 13 | of false negatives, the relative likelihood and the
|
| 14 | magnitude of the likely effects of each, and enforcement
|
| 15 | costs, and under that process, in a very common law
|
| 16 | fashion, courts will arrive at the appropriate Section 2
|
| 17 | doctrine or legal rule for the conduct at issue.
|
| 18 | I think that is where we really are with Section
|
| 19 | 2 law and tying. Much is up for grabs despite what
|
| 20 | Microsoft said about the difference and focus between
|
| 21 | Section 1 and Section 2, and I think what is yet to be
|
| 22 | written in the next ten years I think will show us is
|
| 23 | where the courts go applying many of the principles that
|
| 24 | Dr. Waldman, Dr. Evans, and I am sure Ms. Feldman will
|
| 25 | enlighten us of about the economic learning and |
60
| 1 | translating that into concrete legal tests for discrete
|
| 2 | situations.
|
| 3 | Now, there is no time today for me to lay out
|
| 4 | plausible stories of where this will take us and
|
| 5 | specific examples of what legal rules might emerge for
|
| 6 | Section 2 law in tying, but let me give you sort of
|
| 7 | three rules of thumb as I see it.
|
| 8 | First, I think as Dr. Waldman said, condemning
|
| 9 | tying through contracts likely poses fewer risks of
|
| 10 | false positives than condemning unilateral tying, true
|
| 11 | unilateral tying, like product design. This suggests
|
| 12 | that some forms of "unilateral tying" reached only under
|
| 13 | Section 2 might have applied to them a more lenient
|
| 14 | legal test for the defendant than Section 1. We might
|
| 15 | indeed have the courts leading to a higher standard of
|
| 16 | what the plaintiff has to show.
|
| 17 | Now, there have been some cases which have gone
|
| 18 | the other way recently. The Teva-Abbott decision, which
|
| 19 | some of you may be aware of, held that a monopolist
|
| 20 | product design decision should be analyzed under the
|
| 21 | rule of reason, did not really get into what that means.
|
| 22 | The next step will be deciding what that rule of reason
|
| 23 | entails under Section 2, whether it is a different
|
| 24 | standard than under Section 1 or the same, and there is
|
| 25 | a good argument it should be different. |
61
| 1 | That said, how tying should be treated under
|
| 2 | Section 2 really should not depend on a game of
|
| 3 | formalisms, is it unilateral, is it contractual,
|
| 4 | although that can inform, as I just said, the analysis.
|
| 5 | What is important in this area is that related forms of
|
| 6 | conduct, related from an economic perspective, be
|
| 7 | treated similarly under the antitrust laws. The last
|
| 8 | thing we want is courts all over the country coming up
|
| 9 | with different legal rules that create incentives for
|
| 10 | firms to inefficiently substitute to different conduct
|
| 11 | to avoid the most plaintiff friendly doctrine, and let
|
| 12 | me give you an example of that.
|
| 13 | Suppose courts come out with a rule that
|
| 14 | exclusive dealing, if you have a contract, is under the
|
| 15 | full rule of reason, but exclusive dealing done in the
|
| 16 | form of a conditional refusal to deal, I will only deal
|
| 17 | with you if you deal with me exclusively or I will deal
|
| 18 | with you with bundled discounts and induce you to
|
| 19 | exclusivity, is determined under some different test.
|
| 20 | Courts should think very carefully before taking that
|
| 21 | step. The last thing we want is to induce firms to
|
| 22 | inefficiently substitute to perhaps less efficient
|
| 23 | conduct to avoid what they perceive as the most
|
| 24 | restrictive doctrine.
|
| 25 | The third factor I will mention is that some |
62
| 1 | forms of tying present strong or unusual cases for
|
| 2 | efficiencies. Certain bundles of IP rights, for
|
| 3 | example, may provide an insurance function that other
|
| 4 | tying arrangements lack. There may be special
|
| 5 | efficiencies for certain forms of bundled discounting or
|
| 6 | volume discounts, and those situations might argue for
|
| 7 | differently restructured analyses than the traditional
|
| 8 | general rule of reason, taking into account, as I said,
|
| 9 | you want to treat what the economists demonstrate to be
|
| 10 | economically similar arrangements similarly.
|
| 11 | Backing up in my final point, what does this
|
| 12 | suggest about the role of the enforcement agencies in
|
| 13 | this area? Putting aside the issue of whether the
|
| 14 | agencies should jump on the next opportunity to overrule
|
| 15 | Jefferson Parish v. Hyde, I think through their closing
|
| 16 | statements at the end of investigations, the Section 2
|
| 17 | cases they elect to bring, importantly, the amicus
|
| 18 | briefs they elect to file (a lot of the actions are
|
| 19 | private), the business review letters they issue, and
|
| 20 | the competition advocacy in which the agencies engage,
|
| 21 | particularly as regimes overseas decide what their
|
| 22 | Section 2-like rules of the road are going to be, the
|
| 23 | agencies can play an important role in shaping what
|
| 24 | Section 2's rule of reason looks like as applied to
|
| 25 | tying arrangements in the years to come. |
63
| 1 | As I said, much is up for grabs, and this is the
|
| 2 | moment when the agencies should seize the initiative and
|
| 3 | set forth what their views should be of where these
|
| 4 | arrangements should and should not cross the line.
|
| 5 | Thank you very much.
|
| 6 | (Applause.)
|
| 7 | MS. LEE: We will now take a short break and
|
| 8 | reconvene at five after 11:00.
|
| 9 | (A brief recess was taken.)
|
| 10 | MR. SALINGER: Welcome back. Our next speaker
|
| 11 | is Robin Cooper Feldman. Professor Feldman is an
|
| 12 | Associate Professor of Law at the University of
|
| 13 | California, Hastings College of the Law. She
|
| 14 | specializes in law and bioscience and is Director of
|
| 15 | Hastings' Law and Bioscience Project. Professor Feldman
|
| 16 | also serves on the Executive Committee of the Antitrust
|
| 17 | Section of the American Association of Law Schools.
|
| 18 | Professor Feldman has produced many publications
|
| 19 | in the intellectual property, antitrust, biotechnology
|
| 20 | areas. She received her JD from Stanford, where she
|
| 21 | served in the Articles Department of the Stanford Law
|
| 22 | Review. After graduating from law school, Professor
|
| 23 | Feldman clerked for The Honorable Joseph Sneed at the
|
| 24 | U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit.
|
| 25 | Also, I understand that Professor Feldman is |
64
| 1 | going to have to leave the session a little bit before
|
| 2 | we end, so I will take the opportunity now to thank you
|
| 3 | in advance for taking the time to be with us today. So,
|
| 4 | Professor Feldman.
|
| 5 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: Thank you.
|
| 6 | I agree with our moderators who said that you
|
| 7 | will probably find considerable consensus about moving
|
| 8 | away from a per se rule for tying, the notion that all
|
| 9 | tying is bad and it should be enough to just point out
|
| 10 | the behavior of tying, and maybe with a little more
|
| 11 | information, we can condemn it. I am a little bit word
|
| 12 | worried that in our rush to move away from that old
|
| 13 | position we are going to swing all the way in the other
|
| 14 | direction and end up saying, nothing to see here, folks,
|
| 15 | just move right along, all tying is good. I think there
|
| 16 | is a consensus in the legal, academic and the economic
|
| 17 | literature that all tying is not bad, but it is not true
|
| 18 | that the legal and economic literature believes that all
|
| 19 | tying is good. So, the question is, how do we find out
|
| 20 | how do we identify what it is that we are concerned
|
| 21 | about if we continue to acknowledge that there is
|
| 22 | something of concern?
|
| 23 | I want to talk about Section 2 as it relates to
|
| 24 | technology markets, both high-tech and biotech, and in
|
| 25 | particular, I want to highlight the fact that in my |
65
| 1 | view, pharma and biotech are the next frontiers for
|
| 2 | antitrust enforcement in general and for Section 2 in
|
| 3 | particular, and I have chosen some of my examples with
|
| 4 | that in mind.
|
| 5 | I also want to frame my comments in terms of
|
| 6 | what is different about technology markets and what is
|
| 7 | not different about technology markets. In terms of
|
| 8 | what is different about technology markets, I want to
|
| 9 | talk about a particular kind of leveraging, and that is
|
| 10 | what I call defensive leveraging. For almost a century
|
| 11 | legal scholars and economists have struggled to
|
| 12 | understand leveraged behavior and determine when it is
|
| 13 | harmful. Most of that debate has centered on what I
|
| 14 | would call traditional leverage, in which a monopolist
|
| 15 | in one product tries to leverage its power in a
|
| 16 | complementary product. You can imagine an ice cream
|
| 17 | monopolist who bundles and says I will not sell my ice
|
| 18 | cream unless you buy cones as well. With the more
|
| 19 | traditional form of leverage, the economic debate
|
| 20 | concerns whether monopolists can get any profit out of
|
| 21 | that or cause any harm that. But there is another form
|
| 22 | of leveraging, and in this form of leveraging, the
|
| 23 | monopolist is not trying to reach into another market
|
| 24 | and grab more monopoly profits. The monopolist is
|
| 25 | trying to protect its original monopoly from the next |
66
| 1 | generation of products that could serve as substitutes.
|
| 2 | It is using the power of multiple markets to maintain
|
| 3 | its original monopoly, and I call this defensive
|
| 4 | leveraging.
|
| 5 | Now, technology markets are ripe for this form
|
| 6 | of leveraging, among other reasons, because of their
|
| 7 | tendencies towards network effects. That is, they tend
|
| 8 | to be industries in which there are advantages in doing
|
| 9 | what everyone else is doing. Where there are network
|
| 10 | effects, a monopolist who has the bulk of the customers
|
| 11 | can use its existing base to project into the market for
|
| 12 | new technologies that are threatening to erode its
|
| 13 | original monopoly. So, tech markets are different
|
| 14 | because of their strong potential for defensive
|
| 15 | leveraging.
|
| 16 | They are also different because of product
|
| 17 | design challenges, and here, let me offer you a pharma
|
| 18 | example. A few years ago the FTC brought a successful
|
| 19 | enforcement case against a pharmaceutical house that
|
| 20 | sought to tie its dominant drug to a new monitoring
|
| 21 | product. Now, this monitoring product could have been
|
| 22 | used just as easily with all the competitors' drugs, but
|
| 23 | the pharmaceutical company wanted to say we will only
|
| 24 | sell our monitoring product if you will also buy our
|
| 25 | version of the drug. The concern was that the pharma |
67
| 1 | house was trying to use its new monitoring product to
|
| 2 | protect its power in the drug market as its power
|
| 3 | started to wane.
|
| 4 | Now, if we would not allow a company in these
|
| 5 | circumstances to tie a drug together with a product that
|
| 6 | monitors the drug, why would we allow a product designed
|
| 7 | to do both, that is, to administer the drug and monitor
|
| 8 | it at the same time? Or from another perspective,
|
| 9 | should we allow two products to be bio-engineered so
|
| 10 | that they work only in combination with each other?
|
| 11 | That is an issue in agri-biotech. If we are not careful
|
| 12 | in the area of product design, what we are doing is
|
| 13 | simply inviting parties to design around the patent laws
|
| 14 | and the antitrust laws, and then the question of whether
|
| 15 | behavior violates the antitrust laws becomes a
|
| 16 | scientific question rather than an economic one, the
|
| 17 | question being, "Is it feasible to combine products
|
| 18 | technologically?" If so, you have no problem with
|
| 19 | enforcement agencies. It should not be that our legal
|
| 20 | decisions turn on questions like that.
|
| 21 | There are tremendous challenges in the areas of
|
| 22 | product design, but whatever benchmarks we develop in
|
| 23 | the law, I believe it is critically important not to be
|
| 24 | dazzled by the wonderful science involved in product
|
| 25 | design. Technology and biodesign are increasingly |
68
| 1 | offering avenues for avoiding the appearance of tying
|
| 2 | and bundling simply by manipulating the product. These
|
| 3 | are wonderful products, and it is so easy to be swayed
|
| 4 | by how wonderful they look without asking what is
|
| 5 | happening behind the science. We still have to
|
| 6 | delineate, even if you are talking about biodesign and
|
| 7 | product design, what is reasonable and what is not
|
| 8 | reasonable.
|
| 9 | And finally, technology markets are different
|
| 10 | because of patent groupings. Patents tend to travel in
|
| 11 | packs. Companies build or acquire portfolios, and they
|
| 12 | typically engage in defensive patenting; that is, trying
|
| 13 | to file patents for all of the space surrounding their
|
| 14 | key patent so nobody else can develop any substitutes to
|
| 15 | compete. And most importantly, tech products have
|
| 16 | multiple patents within them, which creates
|
| 17 | patent-groupings.
|
| 18 | Now, patent-groupings can be and often are
|
| 19 | perfectly procompetitive or they can create
|
| 20 | opportunities for strategic anticompetitive behavior.
|
| 21 | The key is, how are we going to find the difference
|
| 22 | between these?
|
| 23 | I talked a little bit about the fact that I
|
| 24 | think there are differences with technology markets.
|
| 25 | They operate differently from what we are accustomed to |
69
| 1 | seeing in traditional markets, and they present
|
| 2 | interesting challenges for analyzing behavior. While
|
| 3 | technology markets are different, they are not sacred,
|
| 4 | and I am very concerned by language in some recent court
|
| 5 | decisions which suggest that markets that relate to
|
| 6 | intellectual property should be treated more gently
|
| 7 | under antitrust laws. It is an eerie throw-back to
|
| 8 | language in the early 1900s when courts were struggling
|
| 9 | with the question of whether antitrust laws could even
|
| 10 | be applied to patents or to other intellectual property
|
| 11 | rights.
|
| 12 | Intellectual property rights are not sacred
|
| 13 | monopolies. They are not even monopolies at all, at
|
| 14 | least not in the antitrust sense of the word. They may
|
| 15 | be downright worthless, and I can discuss some of this
|
| 16 | in the question period. They are not even an exclusive
|
| 17 | right, again, not in the way that antitrust thinks about
|
| 18 | it. There are certainly challenges in understanding
|
| 19 | these rights, but they need to receive the same reasoned
|
| 20 | consideration as other types of products. I use the
|
| 21 | term "reasoned" carefully and also intentionally. It is
|
| 22 | certainly true, as all of the panelists have pointed
|
| 23 | out, that we have moved away from a strict per se rule
|
| 24 | in tying cases, and that we appear poised to move even
|
| 25 | closer to a rule of reason approach, if not completely |
70
| 1 | to a rule of reason approach. I am going to jump to a
|
| 2 | world in which we have moved very close or completely to
|
| 3 | the rule of reason. I think the important part of this
|
| 4 | shift will be figuring out how to react when companies
|
| 5 | that engage in tying behavior claim to have very good,
|
| 6 | procompetitive reasons for the tie.
|
| 7 | How do we analyze what is a legitimate
|
| 8 | procompetitive reason and what is not? To do this, I
|
| 9 | want to suggest that we borrow from the experience of
|
| 10 | regulators at other agencies in different contexts, and
|
| 11 | I think there is a perfect example from Patent and
|
| 12 | Trademark Office experience. The PTO requires that
|
| 13 | parties who want to make certain types of claims must
|
| 14 | show that those claims are substantial, and credible.
|
| 15 | I would like to spin out how it works there and how I
|
| 16 | think it would work here.
|
| 17 | A few years back, researchers began fishing out
|
| 18 | little pieces of genes, not the whole gene, but some
|
| 19 | little pieces from a soup of genetic material, and they
|
| 20 | wanted to get a patent on that little piece that they
|
| 21 | found. Now, in order to get a patent, you have to tell
|
| 22 | the PTO how you can use the thing that you are
|
| 23 | patenting. When they fish this little piece out of the
|
| 24 | genetic soup, researchers had no idea what it was. They
|
| 25 | did not know what gene it came from, they did not know |
71
| 1 | whether it promoted disease or whether it helped fight
|
| 2 | against disease. They just had a little snippet, and
|
| 3 | they did not have a use for it.
|
| 4 | They began to file patents using very general
|
| 5 | uses. They said, "These little snippets can also be
|
| 6 | used for fishing out other snippets or for doing
|
| 7 | research." This is when the PTO developed its test:
|
| 8 | Specific, substantial and credible. Don't just tell us
|
| 9 | something general that can be true of any of the
|
| 10 | category of things that you are talking about. Tell us
|
| 11 | something specific to what it is that you have found and
|
| 12 | what it is that you are doing.
|
| 13 | I think a test like that, specific, substantial
|
| 14 | and credible, is the essence of what courts and
|
| 15 | regulators are going to have to ask about procompetitive
|
| 16 | defenses offered in tying cases. Don't just give us
|
| 17 | general reasons that would apply to any tie or that
|
| 18 | would apply to any tie in your industry. Give us
|
| 19 | something that is specific to your product and to your
|
| 20 | tie.
|
| 21 | So, in computers, for example, anyone can say it
|
| 22 | is easier for consumers if you put things together in an
|
| 23 | operating system. When different applications are
|
| 24 | together in an operating system, Ma and Pa do not have
|
| 25 | to worry about loading things together, they do not have |
72
| 1 | to worry about interoperability. There are always
|
| 2 | consumer advantages when things are put together in
|
| 3 | computers, but it cannot be that any tie in the computer
|
| 4 | industry is always okay. You must tell us something
|
| 5 | about what it is that you are doing and why we should
|
| 6 | see this as procompetitive.
|
| 7 | If you think outside of computers to products in
|
| 8 | general, any company can say, "We can control quality
|
| 9 | better if we control all the parts you use with our
|
| 10 | equipment or all the pieces that might integrate
|
| 11 | together. Our customers do not suffer through people
|
| 12 | finger-pointing about which part is wrong. They only
|
| 13 | have to call one person when they need a repair." But
|
| 14 | again, that is true of any combination of things. If
|
| 15 | you want to claim a procompetitive benefit, I would say
|
| 16 | tell us something that is specific to your product and
|
| 17 | to your tie.
|
| 18 | I want to point out, again, the reason I am
|
| 19 | concerned is that there has been a swing in the
|
| 20 | pendulum. We needed to talk about what was
|
| 21 | procompetitive about tying in order to move away from
|
| 22 | the notion that all tying is bad. We want to be
|
| 23 | careful, once we have talked about ways in which ties
|
| 24 | can be good, that that does not blind us, and that now
|
| 25 | all we ever talk about are the good things in tying. |
73
| 1 | Let me give you an example of something that I
|
| 2 | think would qualify as a specific, procompetitive
|
| 3 | defense for a tie. There was a pharmaceutical house
|
| 4 | that recently received a lot of criticism when it sought
|
| 5 | regulatory approval to combine its existing cholesterol
|
| 6 | drug, that was losing market share, with a new
|
| 7 | blockbuster heart drug and to sell them only as a single
|
| 8 | pill formation. They had a product that was losing
|
| 9 | market share, and they were going to combine it with a
|
| 10 | new kind of blockbuster as the only way consumers were
|
| 11 | going to be able to get it. The company only agreed to
|
| 12 | sell the two separately after a lot of public criticism.
|
| 13 | Imagine, instead, that the company's drug is
|
| 14 | about to be pulled from the market for dangerous side
|
| 15 | effects. You can fill in the name of a number of recent
|
| 16 | drugs that have gotten into trouble. Now, suppose the
|
| 17 | company sought regulatory approval to produce only a
|
| 18 | combined pill including another substance that would
|
| 19 | mitigate the dangerous side effects. That is a
|
| 20 | legitimate and specific procompetitive benefit for
|
| 21 | bundling a product. In other words, tell me something
|
| 22 | about your product and your tie that helps us understand
|
| 23 | why this is a good thing that you are doing.
|
| 24 | I suggested asking whether the claim is
|
| 25 | specific, substantial and credible, and in evaluating |
74
| 1 | credibility, I would borrow a page from another agency,
|
| 2 | the SEC. The SEC looks very closely at stock
|
| 3 | transactions that occurred right before big news. They
|
| 4 | find these highly suspect. In the same vein, I believe
|
| 5 | we should look at the market timing of a company's
|
| 6 | decision to tie in order to test the credibility of its
|
| 7 | claims of procompetitive benefits.
|
| 8 | For example, I would be very wary when a company
|
| 9 | seems to find all kinds of procompetitive reasons for
|
| 10 | tying just before the patent on its blockbuster drug is
|
| 11 | about to expire or just when a fundamental market shift
|
| 12 | is taking place. Under those circumstances, one might
|
| 13 | have reason to doubt the sincerity of the company's
|
| 14 | procompetitive fervor.
|
| 15 | In short, what I want to say today is that
|
| 16 | markets related to high-tech and biotech present
|
| 17 | significant pressures and opportunities for
|
| 18 | anticompetitive behavior. We should be aware of those
|
| 19 | as we move forward in the new sets of tests. The
|
| 20 | challenge for law makers and for regulators is to be as
|
| 21 | intellectually creative as the emerging markets
|
| 22 | themselves in order to preserve competition without
|
| 23 | hampering the innovation that we have come to expect in
|
| 24 | technology, both biotech and high-tech.
|
| 25 | Thank you very much. |
75
| 1 | (Applause.)
|
| 2 | MR. SALINGER: Our final speaker today before we
|
| 3 | begin our round table discussion is Robert Willig,
|
| 4 | Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton
|
| 5 | University, where he teaches in the Economics Department
|
| 6 | and also in the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and
|
| 7 | International Affairs, where he serves as the Faculty
|
| 8 | Chair of the Masters of Public Affairs Program.
|
| 9 | He served as Deputy Assistant Attorney General
|
| 10 | at the Department of Justice, Antitrust Division, from
|
| 11 | 1989 to 1991. Before joining the Princeton faculty in
|
| 12 | 1978, he was a supervisor in the Economics Research
|
| 13 | Department, Bell Laboratories. He received his Ph.D. in
|
| 14 | economics from Stanford University in 1973, an MS in
|
| 15 | Operations Research from Stanford in 1968, and an AB
|
| 16 | from Harvard in 1967.
|
| 17 | Bobby has written, lectured --
|
| 18 | DR. WILLIG: Have I been around that long?
|
| 19 | MR. SALINGER: Apparently.
|
| 20 | DR. WILLIG: Only in the eyes of some beholders.
|
| 21 | MR. SALINGER: It seems shorter because we have
|
| 22 | been having such a good time with you.
|
| 23 | DR. WILLIG: Okay.
|
| 24 | MR. SALINGER: Bobby has written, lectured and
|
| 25 | consulted widely on the subjects of industrial |
76
| 1 | organization, the relationships between government and
|
| 2 | business and domestic and international microeconomic
|
| 3 | policy. He has served as a consultant and advisor for
|
| 4 | the FTC and DOJ on antitrust policy, for OE CD, the
|
| 5 | Inter-American Development Bank, and the World Bank on
|
| 6 | global trade, competition, regulatory and privatization
|
| 7 | policy, and for governments of several nations on
|
| 8 | microeconomic reforms, and so with no further
|
| 9 | introduction, Bobby.
|
| 10 | DR. WILLIG: I am going to tie my conception of
|
| 11 | my time slot to that which we have already experienced
|
| 12 | from some of the previous speakers, not the last one,
|
| 13 | but particularly the first one. Nice, long, lazy, but
|
| 14 | hopefully very illuminating.
|
| 15 | I have been asked to speak today, challenging
|
| 16 | subject, and that is not only to make it unanimous, I,
|
| 17 | too, am against per se treatment of tying under the
|
| 18 | antitrust laws. I, too, think there is no business or
|
| 19 | economic or indeed any logical justification for such a
|
| 20 | treatment by the courts. I, too, would have the
|
| 21 | agencies articulate that at every possible forum,
|
| 22 | including the high courts of the land. Okay, let's get
|
| 23 | down to the hard work.
|
| 24 | To really advance that position -- I am not sure
|
| 25 | how courts actually work, Don is obviously all over |
77
| 1 | this -- but Don, do you think they will go ahead and do
|
| 2 | that without some clear idea about how to go forward
|
| 3 | under a rule of reason?
|
| 4 | MR. RUSSELL: We are going to give it to them.
|
| 5 | DR. WILLIG: So, we have got to work this out
|
| 6 | today, I would say, and we have got a half hour for me
|
| 7 | and then an extra hour and a half to see if we all
|
| 8 | agree, that will be great, but it is particularly
|
| 9 | challenging when it comes to a particular form of tying,
|
| 10 | namely, the kind that kind of underlay the Microsoft
|
| 11 | case, although only, I think, spiritually, and that is
|
| 12 | tying in a technological fashion, not tying by contract,
|
| 13 | not tying in such an obvious way that the weight of
|
| 14 | public opinion and the law would come down on the
|
| 15 | alleged perpetrator, but instead, tying in a much more
|
| 16 | subtle way of the kind Robin was just talking about,
|
| 17 | perhaps, but in other domains as well.
|
| 18 | We can call this tying via product innovation,
|
| 19 | product innovation being blessed in our society, and
|
| 20 | therefore, perhaps, more untouchable than other forms of
|
| 21 | tying, or technological tying, which is a very good pat
|
| 22 | phrase that I do not think I tried to invent, so I use
|
| 23 | it with humility.
|
| 24 | I would like to start with general thoughts
|
| 25 | about monopolization and then move swiftly to general |
78
| 1 | thoughts about tying, and then, after a few minutes,
|
| 2 | specialize down to the subject of tying through
|
| 3 | technological design. In general, we all know that
|
| 4 | there is a problem, a challenge, in issues of
|
| 5 | monopolization, because the very same practices that
|
| 6 | have the potential to harm competition in the antitrust
|
| 7 | sense, frequently those very same practices also may be
|
| 8 | very good for consumers and, indeed, be an intrinsic
|
| 9 | part of competition, even though perhaps, like other
|
| 10 | forms of competition, if the succeeding firm undoes the
|
| 11 | market presence of the losers, then, in fact,
|
| 12 | competition can be weakened by the very process of
|
| 13 | competition, at least in the short run. So, we have
|
| 14 | this conflict between good and bad practices or
|
| 15 | practices that can be good or bad depending upon their
|
| 16 | setting, and so we have a tough decision process and the
|
| 17 | need for an analytic framework.
|
| 18 | I would suggest, and I think experience really
|
| 19 | does endorse this observation, that we do need to be
|
| 20 | especially careful when the practices at issue do affect
|
| 21 | innovation, because after all, innovation we all know is
|
| 22 | particularly valuable to consumer welfare and to the
|
| 23 | course of social welfare. This has been amply studied
|
| 24 | by economists going back to Schumpeter and before, and
|
| 25 | also, the other side of the coin is that innovation is |
79
| 1 | particularly vulnerable in its underlying incentives.
|
| 2 | It is really distressingly easy to stultify the
|
| 3 | incentives for innovation by misuse of antitrust or by
|
| 4 | any other form, a policy that tends to strip off some of
|
| 5 | the rewards to victory, because innovation is so
|
| 6 | intrinsically risky as an economic activity, so we need
|
| 7 | to be really careful with innovation generally.
|
| 8 | Big picture, how do we go about assessing
|
| 9 | monopolization? This is writ very large, but I would
|
| 10 | say there are two basic phases. The first involves
|
| 11 | asking the question whether the challenged practice has
|
| 12 | actually harmed competition, or on the come, is there a
|
| 13 | dangerous probability that it will? That, of course, is
|
| 14 | easy to say. It is not so easy to analyze, and lots and
|
| 15 | lots and lots of mistakes are made in judicial settings,
|
| 16 | and plaintiffs are crazy in terms of their allegations
|
| 17 | frequently.
|
| 18 | This involves causality. It involves
|
| 19 | understanding what is competition. It is not just
|
| 20 | market share, it is not just the number of competitors
|
| 21 | involved in a marketplace, it is something more subtle
|
| 22 | than that. We, in this room, probably all understand
|
| 23 | this very well. I need not preach to you on the
|
| 24 | subject. I will just post it up there as the first of
|
| 25 | the two phases. |
80
| 1 | The second phase is, well, perhaps the
|
| 2 | challenged practice has, indeed, harmed competition.
|
| 3 | Things like that happen. Some competitors are more
|
| 4 | efficient than others, and they exercise their
|
| 5 | efficiency in the marketplace. They win, they knock out
|
| 6 | their less efficient rivals or rivals with less
|
| 7 | efficient products, and now there is only a few or even
|
| 8 | one left in that relevant market, at least for a while.
|
| 9 | What should we do about that? Has the practice been
|
| 10 | monopolizing or has it been successfully competitive?
|
| 11 | What is the framework for that inquiry?
|
| 12 | I list here five different articulations which
|
| 13 | are part of what Mark characterized as the blazing wars
|
| 14 | of Section 2 turf today, various articulations to me.
|
| 15 | For present purposes, I think they are all close enough.
|
| 16 | Is the practice part of competition? I like to
|
| 17 | put it that way. As DOJ says, does the practice make
|
| 18 | economic sense? The difference between those two -- I
|
| 19 | have parsed Greg Werden's writings, and it is tough to
|
| 20 | find them, but his writing is very smart. I am sure
|
| 21 | there is a difference, but for present purposes...
|
| 22 | Is there a sound business rationale? Courts
|
| 23 | used to say that. Is that really any different?
|
| 24 | Grinnell, is the harm to competition willful? Well, I
|
| 25 | am a little nervous about that language, because |
81
| 1 | sometimes it is viewed as a directive for a
|
| 2 | psychological study of subjective intent, reading of
|
| 3 | locker room type business documents and trying to infer
|
| 4 | psychology from them, but as long as we understand
|
| 5 | willfulness to be revealed only by careful economic
|
| 6 | analysis, then I think that, too, is a nearly equivalent
|
| 7 | articulation.
|
| 8 | And then my personal favorite, whether there is
|
| 9 | sacrifice of profit, turns out to be a very nuanced way
|
| 10 | to say it as well. Lots of issues about how to unpack
|
| 11 | that neat phrase, but I think for present purposes, we
|
| 12 | can perhaps all agree -- Mark Popofsky sometimes does
|
| 13 | not agree with this --
|
| 14 | MR. POPOFSKY: We are not to Q&A session here,
|
| 15 | Bob.
|
| 16 | DR. WILLIG: I am just trying to stick a little
|
| 17 | pin in for later, you have got that question in your
|
| 18 | presentation, but yeah, I think we can all agree that
|
| 19 | somewhere among those five articulations lies our
|
| 20 | consensus view.
|
| 21 | Turning to tying instead of monopolization
|
| 22 | generally, how do we see whether there is, indeed, harm
|
| 23 | to competition, the first leg of those two for the
|
| 24 | assessment? I think this is right. Maybe we can agree.
|
| 25 | The first question is whether consumers are really |
82
| 1 | impelled, really strongly forced, to buy the tying good,
|
| 2 | the one that purportedly has this levering power, and
|
| 3 | thus, the tied good, because of the tie, by market power
|
| 4 | that surrounds either the tying good itself or the
|
| 5 | system, the combination of the tied good along with the
|
| 6 | tying good. Are the market forces so strong that,
|
| 7 | indeed, consumers are pushed very hard into that
|
| 8 | behavior? Because if not, where is the tie? It is just
|
| 9 | consumers making a choice. So, that is the first leg,
|
| 10 | at least to an economist, this economist, for labeling
|
| 11 | whether or not the tie has the potential of harming
|
| 12 | competition.
|
| 13 | That is not enough, though. Consumers can be
|
| 14 | impelled to buy the system whether or not there is a
|
| 15 | resulting harm to the ability of rivals in some relevant
|
| 16 | market to compete in view of the fact that consumers are
|
| 17 | being pushed to buy the tying and the tied good
|
| 18 | together. So, does the unavailability of the tied
|
| 19 | sales, that unavailability created by the tie, is that
|
| 20 | harmful to rivals' ability to compete, and are those
|
| 21 | rivals so precious and so unreplaceable to competition
|
| 22 | in some relevant market that competition is truly harmed
|
| 23 | as a result?
|
| 24 | That question can go either way, but I think it
|
| 25 | is the right question, and I have seen a lot of cases |
83
| 1 | where those two reductions of the issues have been
|
| 2 | missed, but I think they are pretty persuasive in terms
|
| 3 | of the underlying logic.
|
| 4 | I probably should not take the time to go
|
| 5 | through this slide, but here is how to think about those
|
| 6 | issues in a more organized way, sensitive to I think
|
| 7 | standard practice, at least among the practitioners in
|
| 8 | this room. We need a relevant market. We need to know
|
| 9 | who the participants are. We need to know whether the
|
| 10 | unavailability of the tied sales weakens rivals who are
|
| 11 | scarce, concentration, and irreplaceable. We need to
|
| 12 | look at potential entry into the relevant market as
|
| 13 | well. We know that loss of share is not enough to claim
|
| 14 | competitive harm.
|
| 15 | We should be looking at whether it is a good
|
| 16 | deal for consumers to buy the tied system. As a result
|
| 17 | of the rivals being purportedly weakened and not just
|
| 18 | harmed, but weakened, have prices gone up? Are things
|
| 19 | worse for consumers as a result? I like the scale
|
| 20 | economies test, the room to dance test myself, getting
|
| 21 | underneath to the underlying opportunities that
|
| 22 | competitors need to be strong.
|
| 23 | Is there enough of the market left, after the
|
| 24 | tied sales have been accounted for, to keep the other
|
| 25 | rivals? Although they are sad to have lost those |
84
| 1 | opportunities, is there still enough room for them to
|
| 2 | function, to do what they need to do effectively to
|
| 3 | remain as important competitors? Does their R&D hold
|
| 4 | up? Do their selling efforts hold up, for example? Can
|
| 5 | they bounce back in due course?
|
| 6 | Maybe those rivals were inefficient anyway and
|
| 7 | weakening anyway and here they are complaining because
|
| 8 | their last best asset is the right to bring an antitrust
|
| 9 | case. These are the usual kinds of issues that come up
|
| 10 | in Section 2, and they are particularly important, I
|
| 11 | think, and to remind ourselves of their importance in
|
| 12 | this context of tying.
|
| 13 | Okay, so suppose there is a tie, suppose it does
|
| 14 | harm competition. That does not mean that we should
|
| 15 | come down on it with antitrust, because there is still
|
| 16 | the second important phase, and that is where the
|
| 17 | challenged tie is truly part of competition, which just
|
| 18 | sometimes happen to weaken competition because the
|
| 19 | successful firm is emerging in a more concentrated form,
|
| 20 | and, of course, I think we can agree that since the
|
| 21 | valid policy goal here is competition itself, business
|
| 22 | conduct which is really part of competition should not
|
| 23 | be condemned, and we should not be deterring competitive
|
| 24 | conduct through the sort of distortion of the use of
|
| 25 | antitrust. |
85
| 1 | In a more particular way, we have a challenged
|
| 2 | tie. Would that challenged tie be profitable without
|
| 3 | taking into account this harm to competition and its
|
| 4 | impact on monopoly power that has been found in the
|
| 5 | first phase? We have found, say, that tying has harmed
|
| 6 | competition. Would the tie have been profitable for the
|
| 7 | perpetrator even without that extra monopoly power? I
|
| 8 | think that is a good organizing question before moving
|
| 9 | on.
|
| 10 | So, let's move on. Here we are now finally in
|
| 11 | the setting of tying via technology, via product design,
|
| 12 | and let me paint what for me is the toughest scenario.
|
| 13 | It is the most interesting scenario, where we actually
|
| 14 | do have a plausible allegation of exclusion through the
|
| 15 | technological tie. So, we have got a new product design
|
| 16 | that has been launched, and it technologically ties two
|
| 17 | components together of a system, of a duo, that could
|
| 18 | conceivably otherwise be open without the technological
|
| 19 | tie.
|
| 20 | If there are two pills tied together chemically,
|
| 21 | that is a great example. It is the old local phone
|
| 22 | system and long distance when the Bell System was in
|
| 23 | charge before antitrust. It is a much more lurid
|
| 24 | example of Microsoft. Imagine if Windows had little
|
| 25 | explosive devices where if you tried to plug NetScape |
86
| 1 | into it, the computer would fry. I mean, some alleged
|
| 2 | that was the case, but usually they forgot to do some
|
| 3 | sequencing keypunches that allow it to happen, depending
|
| 4 | on which side of Microsoft you are on, but that would
|
| 5 | have been a much more telling example of a technological
|
| 6 | tie.
|
| 7 | How about the iPod, which are said to be
|
| 8 | technologically tied to iTunes, through the protocol in
|
| 9 | which the music is encoded and now the video as well?
|
| 10 | That is certainly a technological tie, or at least it is
|
| 11 | alleged to be in some sense.
|
| 12 | In the good old days, remember mainframe
|
| 13 | computers? They had their plugs changed, allegedly, so
|
| 14 | only IBM peripherals could plug into the mainframes.
|
| 15 | That was surely a technological tie. To say nothing of
|
| 16 | the radios in GM cars and so on.
|
| 17 | Okay, so as a result of this product design, the
|
| 18 | two components, one of which at least has real
|
| 19 | potentially competitive marketplace forces bearing on
|
| 20 | it, these two components are tied because of the product
|
| 21 | design. So, what could possibly be anticompetitive
|
| 22 | about that?
|
| 23 | Well, suppose that they are rivals for at least
|
| 24 | one of those components. There is NetScape as a
|
| 25 | browser, there are other web sites where you can go to |
87
| 1 | get music, but that music does not go into the iPod.
|
| 2 | There are other places to go for pills that have some of
|
| 3 | the same therapeutic functions, not exactly the same,
|
| 4 | but surely substitutes. So, these rivals of the other
|
| 5 | competitive entrants into this marketplace are shut out
|
| 6 | of the system by the technological tie.
|
| 7 | Now, there are two lead theories of how that
|
| 8 | might create market power. The sellers of these other
|
| 9 | potentially competitive components have a much reduced
|
| 10 | ability to sell in the bad story. They lose economies
|
| 11 | of scale, they lose the impetus for R&D, and so they
|
| 12 | have a harder time competing for other applications of
|
| 13 | those same kinds of components.
|
| 14 | One of the applications is the kind that is
|
| 15 | subject to the tie, but there are non-coincident
|
| 16 | markets, not implicated directly by the tie, in which
|
| 17 | the NetScape alike has been competitively harmed by the
|
| 18 | inability of NetScape to be appealing to those who are
|
| 19 | running Windows in the Microsoft story.
|
| 20 | The other version of that story is that there is
|
| 21 | the potential for harm to competition in the market for
|
| 22 | the bottleneck, for the tying good. In Microsoft, the
|
| 23 | story, the DOJ economist's story anyway, as I understood
|
| 24 | it, was that with NetScape together with Java could form
|
| 25 | a competitive threat to Windows itself, so that to |
88
| 1 | preserve the power over the bottleneck, Microsoft is
|
| 2 | said to have needed to weaken its potential rival in the
|
| 3 | potentially competitive browser market to preserve its
|
| 4 | power in the market in which it has much of a
|
| 5 | bottleneck. So, there is a competitive threat at both
|
| 6 | levels which might be mitigated, protecting monopoly
|
| 7 | power, by the technological harm.
|
| 8 | Well, that is the bad story, but on the other
|
| 9 | hand, we are talking about product design. We are
|
| 10 | talking about innovation, and, of course, we might well
|
| 11 | have a welfare-increasing innovation in our hands, and
|
| 12 | how are we to sort out whether the innovation is largely
|
| 13 | welfare-enhancing as an innovation or whether, instead,
|
| 14 | it is just a ruse, it is just a business tactic to
|
| 15 | preserve or create monopoly power?
|
| 16 | I have got a theorem or two for you. It is set
|
| 17 | in this picture. This picture has a long heritage in my
|
| 18 | life, but I need not go into that. My introduction was
|
| 19 | embarrassing enough about dates and years. A1 is the
|
| 20 | bottleneck that belongs to firm 1. It is the lever off
|
| 21 | of which the tying might go. A2 is the component that
|
| 22 | serves the ancillary function, the browser as it were,
|
| 23 | made by the same firm. So, firm A has a 1 and a 2.
|
| 24 | B2 is the other firm's substitute for the
|
| 25 | product which is here tied. It is NetScape, it is the |
89
| 1 | other browser. NetScape could work with Windows, if you
|
| 2 | take Windows to be A1, so the horizontal line between
|
| 3 | them shows that they interoperate. They both feed into
|
| 4 | the systems market, which is what consumers want. They
|
| 5 | want systems. They want combinations of the operating
|
| 6 | system and the browser.
|
| 7 | Meanwhile, C1 is lurking up there in the right,
|
| 8 | that is Java. When Java works together with NetScape it
|
| 9 | has the potential for actually performing the same
|
| 10 | functionality or maybe a degraded version, as would
|
| 11 | Windows with Explorer or Windows and NetScape. So, that
|
| 12 | is the story without the tie. Everybody interoperates,
|
| 13 | there may be some degradation of function, there are
|
| 14 | pricing issues, but that is the world without the
|
| 15 | technological tie.
|
| 16 | Now, in the bottom part of the picture, along
|
| 17 | comes a new version of the operating system, A1 prime, a
|
| 18 | new version of the browser, A2 prime, they work
|
| 19 | together, but you know what, there are no APIs at all.
|
| 20 | There is no way that your NetScape can interoperate with
|
| 21 | them. There is a true technological tie here depicted
|
| 22 | on the picture. As the bottleneck holder moves from the
|
| 23 | upper system to the lower one, it implements the perfect
|
| 24 | technological tie, thereby shutting out B2.
|
| 25 | The bad stories are that B2 has to go out of |
90
| 1 | business, it is so weakened by the inability to sell,
|
| 2 | and so if it had any other uses, like on servers, forget
|
| 3 | it, it is going to have to leave the entire space, it
|
| 4 | loses the economies of scale and scope, and then Java,
|
| 5 | C1, has got no partner to play with, so it evolves in an
|
| 6 | entirely different direction. It is no longer a
|
| 7 | candidate for the central part of a desktop operating
|
| 8 | system. It also goes off into server land, and the new
|
| 9 | Windows survives as the undisputed champion, delivered
|
| 10 | into that throne by the technological tie. So, it is
|
| 11 | the same story, but now it is on this picture, where we
|
| 12 | can start putting symbols for pricing and costs and
|
| 13 | things like that.
|
| 14 | I need to define a thought for you, the
|
| 15 | compensatory price. Just imagine that the open design
|
| 16 | bottleneck persisted even when the new system came out.
|
| 17 | The new system comes out. It is technologically tied,
|
| 18 | but imagine that the old open design system is still out
|
| 19 | there. This is just a mental exercise. Imagine it is
|
| 20 | still out there, and it is made available to consumers
|
| 21 | as well as to competitors at a compensatory price. If
|
| 22 | it is just out there and priced at an infinitely high
|
| 23 | level, it is not really a competitive force.
|
| 24 | Some court might rule that it had to be given
|
| 25 | away, but that would not be a marketplace solution. A |
91
| 1 | compensatory price, by definition, puts the same profit
|
| 2 | margin on the use of the open access bottleneck, the
|
| 3 | same profit margin as the new system earns. The new
|
| 4 | system is the one with the tie. So, your perpetrator
|
| 5 | comes out with a tie, charges a lot for it, and that
|
| 6 | margin is now built into a compensatory price for the
|
| 7 | old open design system.
|
| 8 | The theorem is that when the open design
|
| 9 | bottleneck system is still available in the market at
|
| 10 | this high compensatory price that builds in the same
|
| 11 | profit margin, then the technological tie, the new
|
| 12 | system's introduction, eliminates the competitors if and
|
| 13 | only if the new closed system is actually socially
|
| 14 | superior to the open one, and here I wrote, "Ex-post,
|
| 15 | the R&D costs," the next slide -- and I am running out
|
| 16 | of patience and so are you for this -- the next slide
|
| 17 | will also talk about the R&D costs and reach essentially
|
| 18 | the same result.
|
| 19 | So, what does this say? This says that if you
|
| 20 | had a world where the open design system were still
|
| 21 | there, priced in the same high-priced way as the new
|
| 22 | system, then the marketplace would work, that the
|
| 23 | competitors would be knocked out if and only if they
|
| 24 | deserved to be knocked out on grounds of true total
|
| 25 | social welfare, that the new system is worth the R&D |
92
| 1 | costs, it has improved functionality, it has better
|
| 2 | costs perhaps or some balance of all of those elements,
|
| 3 | sufficient to make it better for true social welfare as
|
| 4 | economists measure it than the old system, so that this
|
| 5 | innovation is not just a hokey thing designed just to
|
| 6 | knock out the competitors under the ruse of somehow
|
| 7 | coming out with something new.
|
| 8 | It is not newness for its own sake, it is not
|
| 9 | newness for the sake of monopolization, it is really a
|
| 10 | better system. That is true only if the standard is
|
| 11 | being held that the open system is still available at a
|
| 12 | compensatory price. Without that design of the theorem,
|
| 13 | you can knock out the competitors without having the new
|
| 14 | and better system. You can just technologically tie
|
| 15 | them to death.
|
| 16 | So, here the right standard is what would happen
|
| 17 | in the market if the open design system were there at a
|
| 18 | compensatory price, then market outcomes are telling of
|
| 19 | efficiency. So, it is a very powerful result I think.
|
| 20 | It dates back a long way. I will not even highlight
|
| 21 | that, it is Ord over a long time ago, but it has new
|
| 22 | significance today, I believe.
|
| 23 | What does that mean for antitrust? Well, in
|
| 24 | antitrust, if, indeed, the open system is available, the
|
| 25 | old one, at a compensatory price, and there is a |
93
| 1 | technological tie and the competitors are knocked out,
|
| 2 | the theorem would say, you really should not be coming
|
| 3 | down on that kind of innovation, because according to
|
| 4 | the theorem, that is good innovation, as proven by the
|
| 5 | continued availability of the old system at a fair
|
| 6 | price.
|
| 7 | Now, oftentimes the old system cannot or will
|
| 8 | not be left in place, although this kind of raises the
|
| 9 | question of why not, and maybe if this were part of the
|
| 10 | antitrust standard, that would be an impetus for
|
| 11 | companies to take some pains to keep the old systems
|
| 12 | alive. Maybe not. It does tell us, though, what the
|
| 13 | right standard is for this economic framework. If the
|
| 14 | open system is not preserved, we still have a mental
|
| 15 | standard, a but-for test, which is well adapted to
|
| 16 | technological tying for assessing whether we should
|
| 17 | condemn or smile upon the win in the marketplace by the
|
| 18 | new system.
|
| 19 | That standard is whether the competitors would
|
| 20 | still be going down, still be losing, if, in the but-for
|
| 21 | world, they would not be successful, and here the
|
| 22 | but-for world is the continued availability of the open
|
| 23 | design system, the alternative, at this fairly high
|
| 24 | compensatory price that builds in the full profit margin
|
| 25 | earned by the new system, that if you want to know |
94
| 1 | whether or not we have an offense here or not, ask
|
| 2 | yourself the question, would the competitors have been
|
| 3 | beat anyway even if they had access to an open design
|
| 4 | version at a compensatory price?
|
| 5 | This question was not asked in Microsoft. It is
|
| 6 | not asked in Microsoft today in Europe. I do not know
|
| 7 | what the answer would be, I am not a partisan in those
|
| 8 | debates, but the theorems say that is the right question
|
| 9 | to ask. That is a good standard. Just like marginal
|
| 10 | cost is a good standard for Areeda-Turner, this is a
|
| 11 | good standard when it comes to technological tying in
|
| 12 | the role of exclusion accomplished through that kind of
|
| 13 | a tie.
|
| 14 | There are a bunch of caveats. The first caveat
|
| 15 | is, how do you know whether the R&D costs that were
|
| 16 | expected at the time of the decision by the
|
| 17 | technological tyer, how do you know what those really
|
| 18 | were? If they were very low, then that makes the system
|
| 19 | look better in terms of the standard. If they were
|
| 20 | expected to be higher than the skies, then it goes the
|
| 21 | other way. Part of what the fact-finder needs to do is
|
| 22 | assess the expected R&D costs as we get deep into this
|
| 23 | phase of the antitrust analysis. Obviously a tough task
|
| 24 | for the fact-finder.
|
| 25 | How can the fact-finder do this but-for test? |
95
| 1 | Well, at least it is an organized test, the theorem
|
| 2 | tells you what to look for, but this is not necessarily
|
| 3 | an easy job for a judge and a jury in an antitrust
|
| 4 | court, to do this kind of but-for test. If you do not
|
| 5 | have this kind of a structured standard, how is the
|
| 6 | fact-finder going to in some other way decide whether
|
| 7 | the new system is really good or not? Talk about
|
| 8 | keeping science out of the antitrust case, this is
|
| 9 | science and consumer preference rolled together. How
|
| 10 | good is the innovation? I would not trust a judge to
|
| 11 | make that answer without an economic framework.
|
| 12 | On the economic side, the theorems, which I
|
| 13 | think are really very powerful, they are in a very
|
| 14 | oversimplified setting, as usual, but maybe even more
|
| 15 | than normal. This setting, in which these theorems are
|
| 16 | proved, is a setting in which there are no other issues
|
| 17 | whatsoever for social welfare besides the ones that the
|
| 18 | theorems focus on, namely, the possibility of
|
| 19 | monopolization through the technological tie. All other
|
| 20 | economic imperfections have been ruled out by the design
|
| 21 | of the abstract marketplace. And we know from common
|
| 22 | sense and from economics that in marketplaces where
|
| 23 | innovation is important, there are typically all kinds
|
| 24 | of other things that can go wrong, ambiguous
|
| 25 | externalities, inappropriability of benefits of |
96
| 1 | innovation on the one side of the ledger and negative
|
| 2 | externalities conveyed by the innovator on others who
|
| 3 | are competing with the innovator in the market, lost
|
| 4 | profits to other market participants.
|
| 5 | On the one hand, you get too little innovation
|
| 6 | because of inappropriability issues, or you get too much
|
| 7 | innovation because of negative profit externalities, and
|
| 8 | in most economic models, the ones that I teach in my
|
| 9 | classes, it is thoroughly ambiguous whether innovation
|
| 10 | comes out just right even without antitrust issues, and
|
| 11 | all of those kinds of complications must be ruled out to
|
| 12 | get these neat results that our theorems get. Which way
|
| 13 | that biases the answer is decades away from my students
|
| 14 | and yours being able to figure out, and maybe never is
|
| 15 | the right answer. I mean, in a model you can figure it
|
| 16 | out, but how the model corresponds to reality is far
|
| 17 | beyond the state of the art.
|
| 18 | So, what did we learn from all of this other
|
| 19 | than the fact that you are very kind and patient? One
|
| 20 | additional lesson is that as a matter of economic logic,
|
| 21 | technological tying is real. It is a real possibility
|
| 22 | on the blackboard, in the journals, and there they may
|
| 23 | be very genuine, even strong incentives to do
|
| 24 | technological tying for anticompetitive reasons, but
|
| 25 | also for a long list of procompetitive reasons, the same |
97
| 1 | kinds of reasons we heard about from earlier panelists,
|
| 2 | as well as a host of other ones arising just because it
|
| 3 | is innovation, and so, yeah, you cannot just say, oh, it
|
| 4 | does not happen or it cannot happen as a matter of
|
| 5 | logic. It can happen, it may happen, and on the other
|
| 6 | hand, technological tying may be a very, very good thing
|
| 7 | in many settings.
|
| 8 | The second point, which is newer and I really
|
| 9 | hope that you believe a little bit, is that there are
|
| 10 | logical and intuitive tests and, indeed, standards for
|
| 11 | analysis that would allow us to assess product design
|
| 12 | for monopolization by a tie-in. This is the kind of
|
| 13 | test that I was just talking about, the but-for being
|
| 14 | open standard with compensatory pricing. These are not
|
| 15 | easy to apply. They do organize the mind, but they are
|
| 16 | hard to apply empirically, especially in a litigation
|
| 17 | setting, and so great humility is certainly called for
|
| 18 | in this area.
|
| 19 | Well, if we combine humility, due humility, with
|
| 20 | how delicate and important innovation really is, we
|
| 21 | reach the same policy bottom line that everybody else
|
| 22 | has reached, certainly no per se treatment, my goodness,
|
| 23 | but even more so in the world of rule of reason, we need
|
| 24 | to protect innovation as a process from being stultified
|
| 25 | by litigation with very, very strict and very demanding |
98
| 1 | hurdles in front of litigation which must impose a tough
|
| 2 | discipline on the use of antitrust in this area, both by
|
| 3 | private parties and by the agencies, and that goes
|
| 4 | largely, I think, to the first part of the test, that
|
| 5 | there really has to be demonstrated harm to competition
|
| 6 | in a relevant market through the technological tie. It
|
| 7 | has got to be causal, and taking that part of the test
|
| 8 | very seriously alone would knock down most of the cases
|
| 9 | that I have been exposed to.
|
| 10 | So, that is my plea, and I thank you.
|
| 11 | (Applause.)
|
| 12 | MR. SALINGER: Well, we are now going to give
|
| 13 | each of the panelists a chance to respond to the others.
|
| 14 | I do not know how long Professor Feldman is going to be
|
| 15 | with us, but since there seems to be perhaps some
|
| 16 | disagreement between you and Bobby on your --
|
| 17 | DR. WILLIG: You think?
|
| 18 | MR. SALINGER: -- on your take on how to deal
|
| 19 | with technologically advanced markets, maybe we will
|
| 20 | start with you.
|
| 21 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: Well, let me start with,
|
| 22 | again, what we agree on, which is that we knock out per
|
| 23 | se, and I would not disagree about the importance of the
|
| 24 | harm to competition element. I begin by assuming that
|
| 25 | we are in something like a rule of reason setting in |
99
| 1 | which we have already looked for market power and we
|
| 2 | have already looked for market power and we have already
|
| 3 | looked for harm and then we are trying to analyze what
|
| 4 | the claims are. Given that you are a very big guy and
|
| 5 | given that what you are doing is harmful to competition
|
| 6 | as opposed to competitors, how do we evaluate the things
|
| 7 | that you have said are so good about what it is that you
|
| 8 | are doing? So, I would not disagree there.
|
| 9 | I might disagree on what we talk about in terms
|
| 10 | of the harm to competition, again, remembering that
|
| 11 | particularly for innovation markets, such as high-tech
|
| 12 | and biotech, that these markets evolve so rapidly that
|
| 13 | the harm to competition is happening in the future.
|
| 14 | That can be difficult to measure in an economic analysis
|
| 15 | in a courtroom.
|
| 16 | What we want when you have a monopoly is that
|
| 17 | the natural forces of competition will make that
|
| 18 | monopoly erode and you will get new products that will
|
| 19 | look better and you will not have monopolists. If you
|
| 20 | have settings in which the monopolist can project into a
|
| 21 | new area as soon as new things are discovered, you are
|
| 22 | going to have monopolists who can stay in an entrenched
|
| 23 | base for a while, and that is a problem.
|
| 24 | You will have to tell me whether we disagree
|
| 25 | strongly on technological ties. I suspect there is a |
100
| 1 | fair amount of agreement here. I think technological
|
| 2 | ties can be useful. I am wary of them, and I think we
|
| 3 | have to be careful of them in certain settings that
|
| 4 | already look anticompetitive to begin with.
|
| 5 | DR. WILLIG: How could I disagree?
|
| 6 | We agree on the logical possibility of
|
| 7 | technological tying. We agree on the importance of
|
| 8 | technological advances and competition that drive them.
|
| 9 | I think we agree -- I do not really know much, and you
|
| 10 | obviously know a lot -- that in biotech, there are
|
| 11 | opportunities every bit as lurid as they were in old
|
| 12 | mainframe computer spaces changing the metaphorical plug
|
| 13 | on the mainframe. Here, sprinkling a new coating over a
|
| 14 | pill and bonding it with some other pill, I mean,
|
| 15 | apparently the pharmas can do this all the time, and --
|
| 16 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: Not all the time, but enough
|
| 17 | that I would worry about it.
|
| 18 | DR. WILLIG: But they can, anyway, they can.
|
| 19 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: Yes.
|
| 20 | DR. WILLIG: And that certainly raises the issue
|
| 21 | of whether that kind of "innovation" is genuine,
|
| 22 | socially useful by an economist's measure, or whether it
|
| 23 | is a ruse to extend monopoly power. So, I think we
|
| 24 | really have a bonding here ourselves.
|
| 25 | MR. SALINGER: Well, maybe we can call on some |
101
| 1 | of the attorneys on the panel to see whether they have
|
| 2 | heard enough agreement that they feel confident they can
|
| 3 | go into court with good arguments about how to
|
| 4 | distinguish procompetitive from anticompetitive ties.
|
| 5 | MR. RUSSELL: I would like to jump in with a
|
| 6 | question for Professor Feldman about this concept of
|
| 7 | specificity when it is applied to the procompetitive
|
| 8 | explanation, and I may have misunderstood what you were
|
| 9 | saying, but if I were a lawyer on the other side, the
|
| 10 | way I would characterize your position is the fact that
|
| 11 | a particular kind of efficiency is seen so often in so
|
| 12 | many products and is so powerful, which is the natural
|
| 13 | inference I draw from the fact that it is seen so often
|
| 14 | in so many products, for that reason, you are completely
|
| 15 | disregarding it.
|
| 16 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: I understand your concern
|
| 17 | about that, and maybe I can frame it again by looking at
|
| 18 | the point at which this inquiry comes up. We are
|
| 19 | already at a point where we have a monopolized tying
|
| 20 | product. We already are at a point where we have
|
| 21 | established that there is harm to competition. Now we
|
| 22 | are looking at the reasons for that, and I think that
|
| 23 | the concerns you have can be taken care of in the first
|
| 24 | two.
|
| 25 | What I am concerned about is when we get to this |
102
| 1 | point, there will be boilerplate language in which
|
| 2 | everyone will essentially be saying the same general
|
| 3 | things that can always be said about ties and about the
|
| 4 | right shoe and the left shoe and about why things in
|
| 5 | combination are appealing to consumers. If we credit
|
| 6 | that type of an argument, we will be unable ever to
|
| 7 | target things that are anticompetitive, because those
|
| 8 | defenses are always available.
|
| 9 | MR. SALINGER: David, I find it hard to believe
|
| 10 | that you do not want to chime in here, so...
|
| 11 | MR. EVANS: Well, I am puzzled about a couple of
|
| 12 | things, both with respect to some of the things Bobby
|
| 13 | said and also some of the things Robin said, especially
|
| 14 | in the last statement, so the first thing I have always
|
| 15 | been confused about, and it comes up in Bobby's talk, is
|
| 16 | this term "harm to competition," because maybe I just do
|
| 17 | not know enough economics, but I do not really know what
|
| 18 | that means.
|
| 19 | I know what it means to talk about reducing
|
| 20 | long-run consumer welfare and stuff like that, but I
|
| 21 | guess my experience in these cases is when I start
|
| 22 | hearing phrases like "harm to competition," it leads to
|
| 23 | theological discussions of what competition is or is
|
| 24 | not, and depending upon the market structure and so
|
| 25 | forth, you know, competition means different things, |
103
| 1 | including competition for the market and ultimately
|
| 2 | having a monopoly and having a monopoly despite what you
|
| 3 | said, Robin, that we actually do not want to have its
|
| 4 | power eroded, at least so long as it is efficient.
|
| 5 | The second thing I get confused about and do not
|
| 6 | really understand is this sequence where we talk about
|
| 7 | harm to competition and then say, "Oh, gee, then let's
|
| 8 | take a look and see whether there are efficiency
|
| 9 | benefits that offset that harm to competition." I mean,
|
| 10 | it seems to me that ultimately the inquiry is whether
|
| 11 | there is a harm to long-run consumer welfare, and I do
|
| 12 | not really understand the unbundling of the efficiency
|
| 13 | explanation for the practice and this term "harm to
|
| 14 | competition."
|
| 15 | I mean, if I think about markets, I would think
|
| 16 | that the whole issue of why one engages in a
|
| 17 | technological tie or any other kind of tying practice
|
| 18 | has to be sort of an integrated aspect of the whole
|
| 19 | discussion of whether there is "harm to competition,"
|
| 20 | whatever that means.
|
| 21 | And I guess just the final thing that I will say
|
| 22 | both with respect to Robin's talk and Bobby's talk is
|
| 23 | both of them do kind of lead to this unstructured --
|
| 24 | well, maybe I am being unfair to Bobby -- I am being
|
| 25 | unfair to Bobby. |
104
| 1 | DR. WILLIG: Yes, indeed.
|
| 2 | MR. EVANS: But it does seem to lead to a
|
| 3 | relatively unstructured rule of reason inquiry, and I
|
| 4 | really do think, as I think many of the speakers have
|
| 5 | pointed out, that we need to start with a position on
|
| 6 | where we are in terms of priors concerning where the
|
| 7 | timing is bad and error cost and so forth, and we need
|
| 8 | to start with that, and maybe you disagree that -- that
|
| 9 | anticompetitive tying is uncommon, in which case you can
|
| 10 | state that as a prior and go forward, but it seems to me
|
| 11 | you need to start with a position before we can really
|
| 12 | get into conversations on who ought to bear the purpose
|
| 13 | and stuff like that.
|
| 14 | So, I do not see how at the end of the day we
|
| 15 | can impose the burden of proof on a defendant for
|
| 16 | establishing efficiencies, as Don says, for a practice
|
| 17 | that we know is presumptively efficient. It does not
|
| 18 | make any sense to me.
|
| 19 | MR. SALINGER: Michael, David in his talk talked
|
| 20 | about how he was largely agreeing with you. Is there
|
| 21 | complete agreement among the economists or is there more
|
| 22 | of a wedge there than just --
|
| 23 | DR. WILLIG: Not anymore.
|
| 24 | DR. WALDMAN: Well, listening to David's
|
| 25 | response, I basically agree with almost everything he |
105
| 1 | said. I agree that if I am thinking -- I do not think
|
| 2 | the right thing to think about is harm to competition.
|
| 3 | I think the right thing to think about is social
|
| 4 | welfare. There are lots of examples that one could
|
| 5 | come -- sort of formal models that one can show where
|
| 6 | thinking about tying as eliminating competition is
|
| 7 | actually social welfare improving.
|
| 8 | So, if you wind up focusing too much on the harm
|
| 9 | to competition, you will wind up allowing or eliminating
|
| 10 | tying when, in fact, you really would not want that,
|
| 11 | because in some sense there is sort of a larger
|
| 12 | competition ex ante or something else which says that
|
| 13 | the competitive process, thought of more generally, that
|
| 14 | particular submarket where you are not allowing
|
| 15 | competition is actually a good thing rather than a bad
|
| 16 | thing.
|
| 17 | Also, you know, I am not sure David exactly
|
| 18 | specified this, but, you know, so I think consistent
|
| 19 | with what he is saying, you know, when I think about
|
| 20 | kind of how do I judge these cases, I want to say let's
|
| 21 | think about the different theories in some of these
|
| 22 | situations you can automatically almost rule out as
|
| 23 | saying, well, that looks okay, it is efficiency or it is
|
| 24 | price discrimination, and at least as a first blush, and
|
| 25 | I do not do court cases, but I would have thought that |
106
| 1 | the -- or at least the way I conceptualized it is to
|
| 2 | think about from a rule of reason standpoint, is there
|
| 3 | an exclusionary argument that typically one would think
|
| 4 | of from a theoretical perspective that will lower social
|
| 5 | welfare? Does it fit the facts of the case well? And
|
| 6 | then say, is there no efficiency argument that fits the
|
| 7 | facts of the case well?
|
| 8 | If those two things hold, then you are sort of
|
| 9 | in the ballpark to think that maybe this might be a case
|
| 10 | that you would want to intervene, but if those two
|
| 11 | things do not hold, then that seems like a dangerous
|
| 12 | type of case in which to intervene. Maybe there is some
|
| 13 | general rule that Bobby is talking about that one could
|
| 14 | apply sort of to oversee it, but at least my sense of
|
| 15 | the literature is that these different types of cases
|
| 16 | are sufficiently kind of nuanced and different that I am
|
| 17 | a little skeptical, but I do not know the specifics as
|
| 18 | well, so I am hesitating to say too much there.
|
| 19 | But again, I would want to see more before I
|
| 20 | thought that there was some really general rule that one
|
| 21 | could apply rather than just kind of fitting the facts
|
| 22 | of the case to a specific theory.
|
| 23 | MR. SALINGER: Bobby, before you jump back in, I
|
| 24 | want to give Mark an opportunity to comment on whatever
|
| 25 | it is he has heard that he wants to comment on. |
107
| 1 | MR. POPOFSKY: Well, I want to go back to what
|
| 2 | David Evans was talking about and his observation about
|
| 3 | the debates between Professor Willig and Professor
|
| 4 | Feldman, which is this: Until we have a definition of
|
| 5 | what the target is for harm to competition, we are not
|
| 6 | going to be able to advance the ball a lot here. All
|
| 7 | the action is going to be there. It is to put the
|
| 8 | action -- the debate very precisely, will you for tying
|
| 9 | arrangements under Section 2 require something like a
|
| 10 | profit sacrifice, for the plaintiff to get to the next
|
| 11 | step and put the burden on the defendant to show
|
| 12 | justification? Is that going to be the test for
|
| 13 | identifying a presumptively anticompetitive tie?
|
| 14 | Will that be a universal rule applied across all
|
| 15 | ties, or will we have the other extreme, where we have
|
| 16 | some broad, vague, potentially innovation-deterring, as
|
| 17 | Bobby suggested, rule of reason even for technological
|
| 18 | ties where you are not making unbundled option
|
| 19 | available, to be precise about what a technological tie
|
| 20 | is, or will we be somewhere in the middle, as Michael
|
| 21 | just suggested, perhaps, where we can identify some
|
| 22 | discrete categories of ties, where we say for this
|
| 23 | category of tie, the plausibility of anticompetitive
|
| 24 | effects, i.e., long-run cost to consumers and harm to
|
| 25 | social welfare, is real enough that we are going to give |
108
| 1 | a little leeway in the joints and have the rule of
|
| 2 | reason apply, which is in some sense less of a burden on
|
| 3 | the plaintiff, or is it going to be a category of ties
|
| 4 | where we think intervention potentially carries such
|
| 5 | high costs, and for some that is product design, I think
|
| 6 | there are some arguments there that would require more
|
| 7 | of a showing from the plaintiff to go forward, maybe a
|
| 8 | profit sacrifice, maybe something else, and, indeed,
|
| 9 | taking that to an extreme, might there be categories of
|
| 10 | tie-ins where you really have a safe harbor absent a
|
| 11 | very strong showing for the plaintiff? That seems to me
|
| 12 | the type of thinking that needs to occur.
|
| 13 | MR. SALINGER: Okay, well, now that we have
|
| 14 | found some daylight within us, as we organize these
|
| 15 | hearings, we have tried to see whether or not there are
|
| 16 | agreements on various propositions and disagreements on
|
| 17 | various propositions, and we have a set of these for the
|
| 18 | panelists to comment on, so I will turn the mike over to
|
| 19 | June to lead us in that discussion.
|
| 20 | MS. LEE: Before I start, let me give Bobby a
|
| 21 | chance to respond to some of the comments.
|
| 22 | DR. WILLIG: Oh, thank you.
|
| 23 | Well, first of all, I was only invited to
|
| 24 | comment on Robin, and I had no problem with Robin, but
|
| 25 | these other folks, I just... . |
109
| 1 | MS. LEE: Please.
|
| 2 | DR. WILLIG: Well, first of all, I do not know
|
| 3 | if we can go off the record here or expunge the record,
|
| 4 | but if the Supreme Court ever heard the things that have
|
| 5 | been said in the last ten minutes, there is no way we
|
| 6 | are going to get off the per se standard. I mean, if
|
| 7 | all these learned people cannot figure out rule of
|
| 8 | reason or even what harm to competition is, then I think
|
| 9 | we are going to be stuck with the per se test for
|
| 10 | another generation. So, can we go into private session
|
| 11 | so the Justices cannot hear us? I am just kidding, of
|
| 12 | course. I think we actually know a lot more than the
|
| 13 | last ten minutes has suggested.
|
| 14 | Well, let me pose to Michael and David and I
|
| 15 | guess Mark, too -- and, Robin, you are free of this
|
| 16 | mistake, I would say --
|
| 17 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: It is the only one I am free
|
| 18 | of.
|
| 19 | DR. WILLIG: No, that is okay.
|
| 20 | The hard case, I agree with all of us who have
|
| 21 | said that price discrimination ought to be very, very
|
| 22 | presumptively innocent for a wide variety of deep
|
| 23 | economic reasons as well as just commonplace
|
| 24 | observations that the most competitive of industries are
|
| 25 | full of instances of price discrimination, at least one |
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| 1 | of us has written that it is parador superior (ph) to
|
| 2 | have price discrimination and so forth. Price
|
| 3 | discrimination is basically a good thing. There are
|
| 4 | counter-examples, but we do not know how to spot them.
|
| 5 | So, we certainly ought to be allowing business the
|
| 6 | freedom to do price discrimination. And we all
|
| 7 | understand that a very important function of lots of
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| 8 | tying practices is to permit firms better, more
|
| 9 | effectively, to do price discrimination.
|
| 10 | And so I agree with those who have said if we
|
| 11 | can spot that there is a tie which effectuates price
|
| 12 | discrimination, then we ought not to be overly
|
| 13 | suspicious of it, and there should be a huge burden of
|
| 14 | proof on the part of the enforcers or the plaintiffs to
|
| 15 | overturn the presumption that tying to effectuate price
|
| 16 | discrimination is basically probably a good thing. It
|
| 17 | is only presumptively a fine business practice. I agree
|
| 18 | with all of that.
|
| 19 | On the other hand, it is very easy to imagine a
|
| 20 | circumstance where the tying does effectuate price
|
| 21 | discrimination in a very real way that is important to
|
| 22 | the business, and at the very same time, the important
|
| 23 | rivals are shut out by that same tie. Think about razor
|
| 24 | blades. This is a cartoon version, but Gillette comes
|
| 25 | out with a new overpoweringly good system, gives away |
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| 1 | the razor dirt cheap, charges a fortune for the blades,
|
| 2 | and very neatly ties the two together with patents and
|
| 3 | with interoperating devices that make sure that rival
|
| 4 | blades cannot use the same razor. There have been cases
|
| 5 | like this.
|
| 6 | We all say, oh, that is fine, that is price
|
| 7 | discrimination, that is promotional pricing, that is a
|
| 8 | good thing, if you happen to like the razor, which I did
|
| 9 | for two blades but not for four, but that is another
|
| 10 | subject entirely. Suppose that all the branded rivals
|
| 11 | of Gillette go out of business -- this has not happened
|
| 12 | to my knowledge, but just imagine in the cartoon. We
|
| 13 | have got two things going on. We have got exclusion and
|
| 14 | we have got product innovation inspired by the
|
| 15 | opportunity to do effective price discrimination. They
|
| 16 | are both running in the same case.
|
| 17 | I suggest there is a lot of this in the economy,
|
| 18 | certainly in the antitrust courts. I think it is really
|
| 19 | very overly easy to say, oh, tying for price
|
| 20 | discrimination is fine, tying for exclusion is bad.
|
| 21 | They both tend to run together, and certainly plaintiffs
|
| 22 | will feel that they do if they are an aggrieved
|
| 23 | competitor who has lost out from this innovation.
|
| 24 | I think you have got to address -- and Mark, you
|
| 25 | too, don't look so quiet over there -- what do we do |
112
| 1 | with those cases? Do we say the jury or the judge ought
|
| 2 | to weigh the pluses and the minus and be a meter of
|
| 3 | consumer welfare? Is the innovation permitted and
|
| 4 | motivated by the price discrimination? Together with
|
| 5 | the benefits of price discrimination, together --
|
| 6 | sufficiently a plus that the harm to consumers in the
|
| 7 | longer run from the loss of these important competitors
|
| 8 | does not outweigh it? Do we have a consumer welfare
|
| 9 | meter? Do we know how to do that? Do we trust
|
| 10 | ourselves, no less judges and juries, to do that? That
|
| 11 | is one possibility, quote, "the consumer welfare
|
| 12 | standard," Mark.
|
| 13 | The other possibility is that we say, look,
|
| 14 | there is a legitimate rationale, namely, the price
|
| 15 | discrimination and the innovation. Yeah, you cannot
|
| 16 | make an omelet without breaking eggs, competition has
|
| 17 | losers, successful products do raise some legitimate
|
| 18 | monopoly power for a while, and we have got to let the
|
| 19 | competitive process work. Do we say that?
|
| 20 | That is the big issue of the day. That is what
|
| 21 | the wars are about in the journals, and I do not think
|
| 22 | we can be quiet about that in this forum. So, I put
|
| 23 | that in your laps, gentlemen.
|
| 24 | MR. POPOFSKY: Let me make one comment. I am
|
| 25 | glad to see, Bobby, you actually read my article. |
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| 1 | DR. WILLIG: No, just the first paragraph and
|
| 2 | the like. A hundred pages of footnotes, Mark, I cannot
|
| 3 | do it.
|
| 4 | MR. POPOFSKY: And none of them cited you, I
|
| 5 | think we have pointed out.
|
| 6 | DR. WILLIG: That was the point.
|
| 7 | MR. POPOFSKY: Nothing from 25 years ago. I
|
| 8 | think to try to answer your question, Bobby -- since you
|
| 9 | put the pitch right over the plate, let me see if I can
|
| 10 | hit it over second base.
|
| 11 | As the hypothetical in my article implied, which
|
| 12 | is close to yours, there is a very sympathetic case
|
| 13 | there that the Microsoft Court of Appeals vague rule of
|
| 14 | reason standard is the last thing you want courts and
|
| 15 | juries to be doing in a case like that in some vague
|
| 16 | way, and the way Professor Salop somewhat suggests in
|
| 17 | his articles, reckoning up the social costs today
|
| 18 | against the social benefits tomorrow, you take that
|
| 19 | logic to the extreme, you would have courts regulating
|
| 20 | significant aspects of the economy. That cannot be what
|
| 21 | the rule of reason is all about.
|
| 22 | So, in devising the right legal rule -- and I am
|
| 23 | not sure what it is, to be honest, to answer your
|
| 24 | precise hypothetical -- you want to perhaps take into
|
| 25 | account what would be the detrimental impact of |
114
| 1 | innovation on intervention, and that might mean you
|
| 2 | structure the rule of reason differently, it might mean
|
| 3 | you go to the profit sacrifice test, but you certainly
|
| 4 | do not want what you painted as the boogeyman of juries
|
| 5 | just saying, what is the net contribution to social
|
| 6 | welfare of this conduct? That cannot be what we are
|
| 7 | doing.
|
| 8 | DR. WILLIG: We can quote you on that?
|
| 9 | MR. POPOFSKY: Oh, yeah. It is on the record
|
| 10 | now.
|
| 11 | DR. WILLIG: Okay.
|
| 12 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: May I point out what is one
|
| 13 | other point of agreement among the panelists. In
|
| 14 | addition to the notion that per se is not the way to go,
|
| 15 | an open-ended rule of reason also is not where we should
|
| 16 | go. There must be some type of structure in the rule of
|
| 17 | reason for the benefit of all the parties involved. Are
|
| 18 | we in general agreement with that?
|
| 19 | MR. SALINGER: Yes. Okay, well, we should let
|
| 20 | June get into her areas to nail down points of agreement
|
| 21 | or disagreement.
|
| 22 | MS. LEE: Indeed, just to clarify some of these
|
| 23 | things, let's start with the first one, I do not think
|
| 24 | there will be disagreement with this one, which is
|
| 25 | certain tying arrangements pose an unacceptable risk of |
115
| 1 | stifling competition and therefore are unreasonable per
|
| 2 | se. I do not think anyone on the panel agrees with
|
| 3 | this, but please correct me if I am wrong.
|
| 4 | Okay, so let me flip this question a little bit.
|
| 5 | Does anyone on the panel think that tying should be per
|
| 6 | se legal?
|
| 7 | (No response.)
|
| 8 | Okay. Then let me just -- backing down from
|
| 9 | that a little bit, are there any tying arrangements that
|
| 10 | are always or nearly always procompetitive and thus
|
| 11 | appropriate candidates for a safe harbor?
|
| 12 | Bobby and some others discussed a little bit
|
| 13 | that tying for price discrimination reasons should not
|
| 14 | be illegal.
|
| 15 | MR. EVANS: But then he backed away from that.
|
| 16 | MS. LEE: Yes, so --
|
| 17 | DR. WILLIG: Yeah, because I think typically it
|
| 18 | is hard to separate.
|
| 19 | MS. LEE: Right.
|
| 20 | DR. WILLIG: -- the enabling of price
|
| 21 | discrimination from the exclusion. I penciled on my
|
| 22 | notepad that tying arrangements are nearly always
|
| 23 | procompetitive where there are ample choices available
|
| 24 | to consumers among alternatives, both at the level of
|
| 25 | the tying good and at the level of the entire system of |
116
| 1 | tying tied to the tied good, i.e., if there are other
|
| 2 | operating systems and browsers or other MP3 players and
|
| 3 | MP3 formats, if there are system alternatives available
|
| 4 | in ample supply, then within that framework, I think we
|
| 5 | should have per se legality.
|
| 6 | MS. LEE: Okay. Does anyone else have
|
| 7 | categories for which they would say that tying should be
|
| 8 | per se legal? Don?
|
| 9 | MR. RUSSELL: I just want to ask a follow-up
|
| 10 | question for Bobby. When you say there are
|
| 11 | alternatives, are you saying there is no market power or
|
| 12 | is that different?
|
| 13 | DR. WILLIG: No, ample, ample alternatives.
|
| 14 | MR. RUSSELL: But is it basically a market power
|
| 15 | test that you are advocating there?
|
| 16 | DR. WILLIG: Well, we gave up perfect
|
| 17 | competition a long time ago, but, you know, workably
|
| 18 | competitive set of alternatives, if you will.
|
| 19 | MR. POPOFSKY: No power of antitrust concern,
|
| 20 | Bobby?
|
| 21 | DR. WILLIG: No?
|
| 22 | MR. POPOFSKY: Power of antitrust concern?
|
| 23 | DR. WILLIG: That is in the eye of the beholder,
|
| 24 | Mark, yeah.
|
| 25 | MS. LEE: David, did you have a comment? |
117
| 1 | MR. EVANS: Yeah, well, I think what we have
|
| 2 | just -- I think what Bobby just said is that where there
|
| 3 | is not significant market power, that ought to be per se
|
| 4 | legal. I think that the debate in question, I think
|
| 5 | this is one of the questions you ask later, is what
|
| 6 | exactly does that mean?
|
| 7 | I am not exactly sure what the answer to that is
|
| 8 | from the state of the theory and empirical evidence at
|
| 9 | this point, but keep in mind that the starting point
|
| 10 | with Jefferson Parish I believe is some market power. I
|
| 11 | think the consensus here is it ought to be significant
|
| 12 | market power. Whether that corresponds to a share of 50
|
| 13 | percent or whether it has to be a hell of a lot more I
|
| 14 | think is an interesting question for the initial screen.
|
| 15 | Whether it has to be something that is closer to
|
| 16 | monopoly power given where we are in the theoretical
|
| 17 | literature, I am not sure I know the answer to that.
|
| 18 | MS. LEE: Okay. Let's move on to actual --
|
| 19 | actually let's skip the next proposition and move on to
|
| 20 | the third one. Tie-ins may entail economic benefits as
|
| 21 | well as economic harms. So, I think everyone on the
|
| 22 | panel agrees with this. Let me make sure that everyone
|
| 23 | has -- can opine on their priors, as David Evans
|
| 24 | suggested, which is something that we should do. I
|
| 25 | mean, lots of commentators have observed that most ties |
118
| 1 | are procompetitive. Does everyone agree with that?
|
| 2 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: I would not agree that most
|
| 3 | ties are procompetitive. I would not fall into that,
|
| 4 | certainly not -- not in the industries or areas that I
|
| 5 | have talked about. I certainly believe that there are
|
| 6 | many procompetitive ties, but I would never say most
|
| 7 | ties are procompetitive.
|
| 8 | MR. POPOFSKY: Let me just make a comment. We
|
| 9 | really have to be careful what we are talking about here
|
| 10 | in distinguishing bundling from tying. Most bundles may
|
| 11 | be procompetitive in the sense of offering two things
|
| 12 | to -- two items together.
|
| 13 | What a tie-in is is not offering the consumer
|
| 14 | the choice of taking the tying good without the tied
|
| 15 | good. It is not offering the car without the radio.
|
| 16 | And, you know, and maybe we can think of many, many
|
| 17 | examples throughout the economy where that is
|
| 18 | commonplace, it is plainly efficient, but what I think
|
| 19 | Robin is suggesting is those that come under the
|
| 20 | antitrust microscope, it is not clear what you are going
|
| 21 | to count them up and say you have seen more good ones
|
| 22 | than bad ones.
|
| 23 | Certainly going back to my favorite poster
|
| 24 | child, the Microsoft case was certainly one the
|
| 25 | Department thought and the court agreed, at least under |
119
| 1 | Section 2, was a bad tying arrangement, but there are
|
| 2 | other software ties that are similar which are good, and
|
| 3 | you really have to be careful what you are talking
|
| 4 | about. The problem in Microsoft was in not offering the
|
| 5 | unbundled option, so phrased that way, we might reach a
|
| 6 | different conclusion.
|
| 7 | MS. LEE: Let me give Robin a chance to clarify
|
| 8 | what she said. Would you sign onto what Mark said, that
|
| 9 | what you are talking about is ties that come under
|
| 10 | antitrust scrutiny, most of those are not
|
| 11 | procompetitive, or are you talking more generally?
|
| 12 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: I do not think I would say
|
| 13 | that those ties that come under antitrust scrutiny are
|
| 14 | mostly anti-competitive and those ties that don't come
|
| 15 | under antitrust scrutiny are procompetitive. I would
|
| 16 | agree that if we were talking about a form of tie
|
| 17 | leverage that is not somehow forced, where you can, as
|
| 18 | Mark was just saying, get to the product other than
|
| 19 | through the tie, that is not a problem. I would not,
|
| 20 | however, make the sweeping statement that tying and
|
| 21 | leveraging are almost always acceptable without a lot
|
| 22 | more discussion of what we meant by that.
|
| 23 | MS. LEE: Okay, Bobby?
|
| 24 | DR. WILLIG: Maybe we can all agree on the
|
| 25 | following language that I penned: Most arrangements, |
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| 1 | both technological and contractual, in our economy that
|
| 2 | do impel purchasers to buy two products together are
|
| 3 | procompetitive. So, it is not just antitrust, and it
|
| 4 | is -- it does not comment on whether the tie is
|
| 5 | artificial or not, which some of this discussion has
|
| 6 | suggested, just empirically, looking out at all
|
| 7 | arrangements, both technological, things just put
|
| 8 | together, and contractual, that impel, not force, but do
|
| 9 | result in purchasers actually buying two products
|
| 10 | together, that in that domain we are apt to see
|
| 11 | procompetitive effects rather than anticompetitive ones.
|
| 12 | DR. WALDMAN: I would certainly agree with that.
|
| 13 | MR. RUSSELL: Yes.
|
| 14 | MR. EVANS: Yes.
|
| 15 | MS. LEE: Robin?
|
| 16 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: I'm afraid I will stay as
|
| 17 | the stick in the mud here. I can follow all of that
|
| 18 | language with all of the caveats we put in place as we
|
| 19 | discuss it. I can imagine that language taken out of
|
| 20 | context in which suddenly the conclusion becomes that
|
| 21 | tying is always procompetitive. Then, if tying is a
|
| 22 | good thing, what are the antitrust agencies doing
|
| 23 | looking at tying at all? That is the pendulum swing
|
| 24 | that I am very worried about.
|
| 25 | So, when the economists are all here placing |
121
| 1 | things in context and with caveats, everything is fine.
|
| 2 | The statement taken as general is one I have great
|
| 3 | concerns about, however. If courts hear "Tying is
|
| 4 | generally procompetitive," there will never be another
|
| 5 | successful typing case.
|
| 6 | DR. WILLIG: But that will be misuse of that
|
| 7 | statement.
|
| 8 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: ... and that never happens.
|
| 9 | MS. LEE: What significance, if any, should be
|
| 10 | given to evidence that a challenged tie is similar to a
|
| 11 | tie used in the competitive industry?
|
| 12 | David Evans in his talk suggested that that
|
| 13 | should be evidence of efficiencies. Would the other
|
| 14 | panelists agree with that?
|
| 15 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: This is going to come back
|
| 16 | to me. Yes, I do see that as evidence of efficiencies,
|
| 17 | subject to timing questions. If you have a market in
|
| 18 | which you see a key patent about to expire, and the
|
| 19 | patent holder suddenly finds efficiencies pointing to
|
| 20 | everybody else around, I find that action and that
|
| 21 | timing suspect.
|
| 22 | MS. LEE: Anyone else?
|
| 23 | MR. RUSSELL: And I think there is a great deal
|
| 24 | of ambiguity when you talk about similar arrangements,
|
| 25 | because in my experience, the tying issues that come up |
122
| 1 | often have very unique characteristics that make them
|
| 2 | very different from other arrangements, even at the same
|
| 3 | time that you could look at some aspects of them and say
|
| 4 | they are very similar. So, I think that is a very fuzzy
|
| 5 | concept for me at least.
|
| 6 | MS. LEE: Mike Waldman, do you have anything?
|
| 7 | DR. WALDMAN: Well, I think it is evidence, but
|
| 8 | I think it is not definitive evidence, so it is one
|
| 9 | thing that you could weigh in terms of trying to make a
|
| 10 | decision as to whether it is procompetitive or
|
| 11 | anticompetitive.
|
| 12 | DR. WILLIG: I think it is useful evidence, but
|
| 13 | it needs to be probed for all the elements that might or
|
| 14 | might not make the two circumstances the same or
|
| 15 | different.
|
| 16 | MS. LEE: Okay, let's move on to the next one.
|
| 17 | The time has come to abandon the per se label
|
| 18 | and refocus the inquiry on the adverse economic effects,
|
| 19 | and the potential economic benefits, that the tie may
|
| 20 | have.
|
| 21 | And everyone I believe agrees with this, but
|
| 22 | please let me know if you do not.
|
| 23 | (No response.)
|
| 24 | MS. LEE: Okay, I am going to take that as
|
| 25 | agreement. |
123
| 1 | If we move to a rule of reason analysis on
|
| 2 | tying, does economics give us the tools needed to
|
| 3 | determine whether a tie is reasonable? Let me start
|
| 4 | with you, Mike Waldman?
|
| 5 | DR. WALDMAN: As I was saying before, I mean, I
|
| 6 | do not have as much experience with cases, but the cases
|
| 7 | that I have looked at in detail, there is typically a
|
| 8 | theory of exclusion, and then the question is, how well
|
| 9 | does the theory -- does the facts of the case match the
|
| 10 | theory, and at least my experience in sort of looking at
|
| 11 | these cases is they do not push it hard enough, but I
|
| 12 | think that is the right approach, which is the theories
|
| 13 | are sort of all over the place.
|
| 14 | There is not kind of one general theory that one
|
| 15 | can apply, and one has to say, okay, here is a theory
|
| 16 | that is well founded theory from an economic theory
|
| 17 | standpoint, let's really probe the facts of the case and
|
| 18 | see whether it matches or do the facts of the case say,
|
| 19 | no, there is some alternative efficiency argument that
|
| 20 | is really driving this. That is how I would think about
|
| 21 | proceeding.
|
| 22 | MS. LEE: David?
|
| 23 | MR. EVANS: Yeah, I agree with that. I think we
|
| 24 | understate how much progress the economic literature has
|
| 25 | actually made in understanding tying practices, and I |
124
| 1 | think the literature, including Michael's paper with
|
| 2 | Dennis, for example, you know, it is an example of a
|
| 3 | good theoretical framework that you can employ in cases.
|
| 4 | I have the same problem with the actual cases that
|
| 5 | Michael points to, which is oftentimes you basically get
|
| 6 | lip service regarding the economic literature.
|
| 7 | So, rather than the literature and the economics
|
| 8 | being taken seriously and people actually testing with
|
| 9 | evidence the assumptions of the theory and the
|
| 10 | implications of the theory, you know, too often it is,
|
| 11 | you know, so and so economists wrote a paper that says
|
| 12 | tying can be anticompetitive in these kind of
|
| 13 | circumstances, therefore, this is anticompetitive.
|
| 14 | And what I see lots of times in the cases is
|
| 15 | really not taking the theory seriously, and I think if
|
| 16 | we do go to a rule of reason analysis, we do need to
|
| 17 | take the economics of this a lot more -- a lot more
|
| 18 | seriously with evidence and so forth.
|
| 19 | MS. LEE: Anyone else? Go ahead, Don.
|
| 20 | MR. RUSSELL: I almost always presume that more
|
| 21 | information is better than less, and I think that
|
| 22 | economic analysis, economic theory, economic evidence is
|
| 23 | very, very helpful. It is not perfect. It will not
|
| 24 | give you the right answer all of the time, because of
|
| 25 | inherent limitations, but it is clearly very important |
125
| 1 | and something that we need to use and need to use
|
| 2 | better.
|
| 3 | I would also, though, like to make a pitch,
|
| 4 | which some may disagree with, that it is sometimes
|
| 5 | equally useful to look at intent, not in a sense of,
|
| 6 | well, they wanted to take customers away from a
|
| 7 | competitor, which I think is completely meaningless in
|
| 8 | antitrust terms, but more in the situation, as an
|
| 9 | example that Robin has given, if you look at the timing
|
| 10 | when a tie was first introduced, if you look at the
|
| 11 | documents within the company explaining why they were
|
| 12 | adopting the tie at that point in time, I think that
|
| 13 | will often give you a very useful indicator whether they
|
| 14 | are doing this for beneficial reasons or whether they
|
| 15 | are doing it for anticompetitive reasons.
|
| 16 | MS. LEE: What about the situation in which we
|
| 17 | do not have a preexisting theory that nicely fits the
|
| 18 | facts? Do we have the economic tools necessary to
|
| 19 | determine whether or not a given situation is pro or
|
| 20 | anticompetitive?
|
| 21 | DR. WILLIG: Oh, we could make up new theories
|
| 22 | at the drop of a hat. It is putting them to the facts
|
| 23 | that is trickier.
|
| 24 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: I do not know whether this
|
| 25 | is where the question is going, but there are some |
126
| 1 | suggestions in the legal literature that we have to take
|
| 2 | hands off approach because economics is not clear enough
|
| 3 | or does not give us tools that we can apply in the
|
| 4 | judicial setting. In other words, we should be doing
|
| 5 | nothing here because economics cannot help us, so hands
|
| 6 | off.
|
| 7 | I think economics actually has come a tremendous
|
| 8 | distance in the last decade in terms of analyzing tying,
|
| 9 | understanding what its procompetitive and
|
| 10 | anticompetitive. If economics does not have an answer
|
| 11 | for us, however, that does not mean that the law should
|
| 12 | simply sit on its hands and say we cannot do anything.
|
| 13 | This is not economics. These are legal decisions, and
|
| 14 | we have to act within the legal realm. Sometimes we may
|
| 15 | have to actually translate economics into intuitive
|
| 16 | arguments that others will understand. We cannot always
|
| 17 | just ask if economics already has a theory that fits
|
| 18 | what is in front of us.
|
| 19 | MS. LEE: David?
|
| 20 | MR. EVANS: So, first of all, it seems to me the
|
| 21 | fact that we do not have good theoretical reasons to
|
| 22 | generally think that anticompetitive tying is going to
|
| 23 | exist, that has to be a factor that the courts take into
|
| 24 | account in thinking about legal rules. So, I think one
|
| 25 | of my problems with the last series of questions is it |
127
| 1 | does sort of presuppose that we are in this full-blown
|
| 2 | rule of reason analysis or asking the question, well,
|
| 3 | what can economics do? And it seems to me we need to
|
| 4 | take into account the prior information that we sort of
|
| 5 | know from the theory, that boy, tying, as Michael has
|
| 6 | pointed out, can be used anti competitively only in
|
| 7 | limited circumstances, and the ability of the economists
|
| 8 | to identify those limited circumstances is not all that
|
| 9 | great.
|
| 10 | Having said that, no, I do not think that for a
|
| 11 | rule of reason case you always have to have a
|
| 12 | preexisting economic theory. In fact, I think a lot of
|
| 13 | economic theories actually come as a result of theorists
|
| 14 | trying to fit the theory to whatever case they happen to
|
| 15 | be working on or have heard about. So, I think so long
|
| 16 | as the economists can come up with a logical story based
|
| 17 | on economic evidence that there is -- I keep saying
|
| 18 | long-run consumer harm, if there is a consensus that it
|
| 19 | ought to be long-run social welfare harm, you know, that
|
| 20 | is peachy by me. But yeah, I mean, I think the
|
| 21 | economists can do that in a case. Whether they should
|
| 22 | do that, I am less sure about.
|
| 23 | MR. POPOFSKY: One further comment there. You
|
| 24 | know, one of the most puzzling comments I have read in
|
| 25 | an antitrust case in the last 15 years is Justice Scalia |
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| 1 | dissenting in Kodak, a tying case in part, back in 1993,
|
| 2 | where he said practices normal or ubiquitous in
|
| 3 | competitive markets can take on an exclusionary hue when
|
| 4 | practiced by a monopolist, and that comment has always
|
| 5 | puzzled me, but what you said, David Evans, I think puts
|
| 6 | it in a new light, which is what you need as a Section 2
|
| 7 | plaintiff is you need a story of exclusion that makes
|
| 8 | some economic sense, whether or not it is theoretical
|
| 9 | grounded.
|
| 10 | MR. EVANS: Um-hum.
|
| 11 | MS. LEE: If the per se rule is abandoned, if
|
| 12 | the rule of reason standard yields a sufficiently clear
|
| 13 | and objective rule to determine when a tie is unlawful?
|
| 14 | Let the record note there was a lot of laughter.
|
| 15 | Don, why don't we start with you.
|
| 16 | MR. RUSSELL: Well, I think the first issue that
|
| 17 | any counselor would look at under a per se analysis, I
|
| 18 | think, is do you have market power, are there separate
|
| 19 | products, are you forcing somebody to take both of the
|
| 20 | products? Those, of course, are the kinds of questions
|
| 21 | that are currently asked in deciding whether a tie is
|
| 22 | illegal under the so-called per se rule that we have in
|
| 23 | place today.
|
| 24 | I think those questions will give you the right
|
| 25 | answer most of the time in the real world. There will |
129
| 1 | undoubtedly be clients that would come to you who
|
| 2 | probably do have market power, who probably are trying
|
| 3 | to force customers to take two distinct products, and I
|
| 4 | think that the answer to your question -- that Bobby
|
| 5 | will forgive me for stating this out loud -- we do not
|
| 6 | have those answers today because we have been living
|
| 7 | under this bizarre per se rule of law for so many years.
|
| 8 | So, in terms of the legal answer to that
|
| 9 | question, I think at this point it is very hard to say
|
| 10 | other than the very general concept of the rule of
|
| 11 | reason that is out there and the kinds of factors that
|
| 12 | you would look at in any rule of reason case, but over
|
| 13 | time, quite likely, I think refinements of that will be
|
| 14 | developed and rules of thumb and maybe a more structured
|
| 15 | analysis will be adopted by the courts, but it is going
|
| 16 | to take a while to get there.
|
| 17 | DR. WILLIG: I would like to advance as a
|
| 18 | proposition that we really are very good as a community,
|
| 19 | even though after the per se rule in some sense we are
|
| 20 | in new waters, but I think old waters will be fully
|
| 21 | adequate for addressing the first part of the inquiry,
|
| 22 | namely, whether or not the tie, the alleged tie,
|
| 23 | actually does pose a threat or a harm to competition,
|
| 24 | where that phrase is understood in the usual way, as it
|
| 25 | has evolved in the merger domain and in other elements |
130
| 1 | of Section 2 analysis.
|
| 2 | When it goes on to this next phase, namely,
|
| 3 | whether the good and the bad impacts of the tying
|
| 4 | practice should balance one way or the other, I think
|
| 5 | those are fresher waters, and as our colloquy suggests,
|
| 6 | we need to talk that through as a community more over
|
| 7 | the next few years.
|
| 8 | I would like to ask a subquestion on that
|
| 9 | proposition to the panel. Do we all agree that when it
|
| 10 | comes to assessing whether a tie does harm competition,
|
| 11 | do you all agree with me that the so-called diminution
|
| 12 | in consumer choice that is the result of the tie is not
|
| 13 | part of what we mean or should mean by "harm to
|
| 14 | competition"? I am talking about noncoincident markets.
|
| 15 | We are talking about in the Microsoft case,
|
| 16 | monopolization back at the level of the tying good. We
|
| 17 | are not talking about the fact that the consumer is
|
| 18 | being forced by the tie to choose the tied good that the
|
| 19 | owner of the tying good is imposing on the market. That
|
| 20 | is not part of the harm to competition. That is my
|
| 21 | position. I am ready to defend it, but I just wonder if
|
| 22 | we all agree on that.
|
| 23 | MR. EVANS: Your proposition is that the denial
|
| 24 | of consumer choice should not be what, under your
|
| 25 | terminology, is harm to competition? |
131
| 1 | DR. WILLIG: Right, it is not an element of it.
|
| 2 | It may cause it indirectly, but it is not -- yes.
|
| 3 | MR. EVANS: Putting aside my previous
|
| 4 | qualification that I do not think you have adequately
|
| 5 | addressed on harm to competition, yes, I agree with
|
| 6 | that.
|
| 7 | MS. LEE: Anyone else?
|
| 8 | DR. WILLIG: Well, don't be silent, members of
|
| 9 | the panel. Let's all agree on this.
|
| 10 | MS. LEE: Mike, do you have anything to say?
|
| 11 | DR. WALDMAN: Despite my setting antitrust
|
| 12 | policy back ten years, I still think that harm to
|
| 13 | competition is not the right way to think about it, so I
|
| 14 | am a little fuzzy on an answer to which I do not think
|
| 15 | is a relevant question.
|
| 16 | MR. EVANS: And in terms of -- since Michael
|
| 17 | just teed that up, I did not take that as my mandate in
|
| 18 | answering your question, but since you have teed up, you
|
| 19 | know, the use of the merger guidelines framework for
|
| 20 | thinking about harm to competition, I do not actually
|
| 21 | think for Section 2 that is how the courts do or should
|
| 22 | think about things. I mean, we allow monopolies, we
|
| 23 | allow them to do things that raise prices, we want them
|
| 24 | to do all sorts of things, and I am not sure that I
|
| 25 | would want to import a merger guidelines framework into |
132
| 1 | Section 2, but --
|
| 2 | DR. WILLIG: Well, we allow harm to competition.
|
| 3 | The question is, do we know it when we see it?
|
| 4 | MR. EVANS: Yeah, that is the question.
|
| 5 | DR. WILLIG: That is the question.
|
| 6 | MS. LEE: That is indeed the question.
|
| 7 | MR. EVANS: Yep.
|
| 8 | MS. LEE: Can we skip to page 9, Brandon?
|
| 9 | Antitrust law should treat ties where the tied
|
| 10 | product is used in variable proportions and ties where
|
| 11 | the tied product is used in fixed proportions with the
|
| 12 | tying product differently.
|
| 13 | Should the law make such a distinction? So,
|
| 14 | essentially when we are talking about tied products used
|
| 15 | in variable proportions, talking about instances such as
|
| 16 | metering, such as the issue in Independent Ink, examples
|
| 17 | of fixed proportions tying include Jefferson Parish and
|
| 18 | Microsoft.
|
| 19 | Mark, do you have any thoughts on this?
|
| 20 | MR. POPOFSKY: You know, I think we are still at
|
| 21 | a point where, you know, one could argue there is no
|
| 22 | reason for differentiating under either the rule of
|
| 23 | reason or the applicable Section 2 test between them,
|
| 24 | but plaintiff is going to need a story of that magic
|
| 25 | thing called harm to competition. It does not seem to |
133
| 1 | me that whether the story makes sense is something that
|
| 2 | is cognizable, something that really sheds light on what
|
| 3 | is going to happen with the practice depends on what
|
| 4 | type of tie it is.
|
| 5 | As Bobby suggested, at the outset, you can
|
| 6 | imagine stories of variable proportion ties, where there
|
| 7 | is some anticompetitive aspect to it, and certainly you
|
| 8 | can imagine fixed proportion ties which are
|
| 9 | competitively benign.
|
| 10 | MS. LEE: Robin, I know you have to go shortly.
|
| 11 | Do you have any comments?
|
| 12 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: I do not have anything to
|
| 13 | add to what Mark said.
|
| 14 | MS. LEE: Michael?
|
| 15 | DR. WALDMAN: I mean, I think there is a
|
| 16 | distinction in the sense that the set of theories that
|
| 17 | apply are different, and so one has to be careful in
|
| 18 | that sense. So, from a -- the variable proportions
|
| 19 | case, there is the efficiency issues concerning
|
| 20 | monopoly, something to competition, trying to use tying
|
| 21 | to avoid these inefficiencies, on the other hand, there
|
| 22 | is price discrimination arguments, and that is only
|
| 23 | going to apply in the variable proportions case, not the
|
| 24 | fixed proportions case.
|
| 25 | So, as long as there is a clear understanding |
134
| 1 | that these two different types lead into different
|
| 2 | theories, and so you want to be sort of focusing on the
|
| 3 | relevant theory, then I think that is really the issue
|
| 4 | in terms of thinking about those two different types.
|
| 5 | DR. WILLIG: Yeah, I would much rather, if we
|
| 6 | are going to try to endorse the proposition, substitute
|
| 7 | for variable proportions the idea of price
|
| 8 | discrimination as a cause and motivation of the tie.
|
| 9 | Think about the radio, the prototypical radio in the
|
| 10 | automobile case. There is only one radio. You would be
|
| 11 | crazy to have two radios.
|
| 12 | But on the other hand, you could have a radio
|
| 13 | and CD player and MP3 player and super base speakers, or
|
| 14 | just the very simple stripped-down radio, with or
|
| 15 | without satellite. That is still economically variable
|
| 16 | proportions, but would the law recognize it if that were
|
| 17 | the phrase that we were to go with? So, I think the
|
| 18 | idea of price discrimination as a concomitant of the tie
|
| 19 | would be the right way to structure this sort of
|
| 20 | proposition.
|
| 21 | MR. SALINGER: If I can push you on that one, I
|
| 22 | think there is general agreement that the metering type
|
| 23 | of tying is often about price discrimination, but if you
|
| 24 | take the car and the radio example, that while the price
|
| 25 | discrimination might explain bundling, typically the |
135
| 1 | opportunities for price discrimination are greatest with
|
| 2 | mixed bundling, which would not be tying from a legal
|
| 3 | standpoint, and so you would -- if you observe tying,
|
| 4 | then at least if you are not careful about it, you might
|
| 5 | use the Ordover Willig type of test to say, look,
|
| 6 | therefore, go on your profit opportunity, it must be
|
| 7 | anticompetitive.
|
| 8 | DR. WILLIG: You are saying an important part of
|
| 9 | the whole stratagem would be offering the car without
|
| 10 | anything, a hole in the dashboard, at all, that would
|
| 11 | make it even more effective to price discriminate.
|
| 12 | MR. SALINGER: That is right.
|
| 13 | DR. WILLIG: Well, that is a possibility, but I
|
| 14 | think it is arguable whether that is actually true or
|
| 15 | not.
|
| 16 | MR. SALINGER: Well, Mike, do you disagree that
|
| 17 | in general the price discrimination argument pushes
|
| 18 | towards mixed bundling as distinct from tying?
|
| 19 | DR. WALDMAN: I think that is right, but I am
|
| 20 | not -- I would have to go back and think about it some
|
| 21 | more. That is my best memory, but that is not something
|
| 22 | I reviewed right beforehand.
|
| 23 | MS. LEE: Let's go to the next proposition.
|
| 24 | Antitrust law should treat contractual ties and
|
| 25 | technological ties differently. |
136
| 1 | PROFESSOR FELDMAN: Well, since I am about to
|
| 2 | head out the door, and I have already commented on this,
|
| 3 | let me just add one thought. I think there is a real
|
| 4 | problem in doing that given the state of technology in
|
| 5 | many of our industries. You drive behavior towards
|
| 6 | technological ties, you just encourage people to change
|
| 7 | their products in order to avoid enforcement. So, you
|
| 8 | distort choices, and you are not effectively catching
|
| 9 | the behavior that you want to catch. So, I think it is
|
| 10 | a problem for that reason. There are product design
|
| 11 | issues you have to deal with when you are talking about
|
| 12 | technological ties, but I would be very wary of
|
| 13 | something that says we focus only on contractual ties
|
| 14 | and not technological ties.
|
| 15 | And as my last comment, I would like to point to
|
| 16 | the early 1900s. Treating contractual ties and
|
| 17 | technological ties differently is so close to the theory
|
| 18 | that the courts started out with, that is, antitrust
|
| 19 | enforcement only applies to contractually based
|
| 20 | behaviors and not to behaviors that are intellectual
|
| 21 | property based. That was such a disaster because
|
| 22 | suddenly everybody organized their affairs so that the
|
| 23 | anticompetitive behavior revolved around patents.
|
| 24 | Eventually the courts and Congress had to respond to
|
| 25 | that. I think we would be tempting the same kind of |
137
| 1 | behavioral changes now, a hundred years later.
|
| 2 | Thank you for having me. I am so sorry that I
|
| 3 | have to leave, but I do need to get back to California,
|
| 4 | and I appreciate being included in this panel.
|
| 5 | MS. LEE: Thank you for coming.
|
| 6 | David, I under --
|
| 7 | MR. EVANS: Yeah, so three quick comments. If
|
| 8 | you adopted the kind of structured rule of reason
|
| 9 | approach that I suggested with a high hurdle for
|
| 10 | plaintiffs, then no, I would not make technological ties
|
| 11 | different from contractual ties. I would have the same
|
| 12 | high standard for both of them. So, that is point
|
| 13 | number one.
|
| 14 | Point number two, if you told me that the --
|
| 15 | that it was going to be an unstructured rule of reason
|
| 16 | analysis but I had the possibility of making a
|
| 17 | distinction between technological ties and contractual
|
| 18 | ties, then yes, I think my prior would be that
|
| 19 | technological ties are even more likely to be
|
| 20 | anticompetitive and more likely to lead to errors than
|
| 21 | contractual ties, so then I would make a distinction.
|
| 22 | But third, and this would be my caveat to that,
|
| 23 | I have not looked at these cases for a long -- for a
|
| 24 | while, but my impression of the technological tying
|
| 25 | cases is that you basically have courts that really do |
138
| 1 | not like the Jefferson Parish test and have tried to
|
| 2 | figure out ways out of it, and I swear that I have
|
| 3 | looked at some of these cases, and I cannot for the life
|
| 4 | of me figure out why it was a technological tie and not
|
| 5 | a contractual tie.
|
| 6 | MR. POPOFSKY: Let me make a couple of comments
|
| 7 | before Bobby hits them back over the plate, which are
|
| 8 | these:
|
| 9 | You certainly, as Professor Feldman said, worry
|
| 10 | about inefficient substitution and other practices, if
|
| 11 | you condemn one thing under a higher standard than
|
| 12 | another, I mentioned that in my talk.
|
| 13 | On the other hand, to answer David's point, I
|
| 14 | have looked at the technological tying cases and what is
|
| 15 | really striking to me about them or you know aside from
|
| 16 | Microsoft saying we should have the rule of reason and
|
| 17 | not Jefferson Parish, is that those that were trying to
|
| 18 | deal with the issues universally condemned the
|
| 19 | technological tying only when there really was nothing
|
| 20 | on the other side to show any good in it.
|
| 21 | When you go back to the peripheral cases with
|
| 22 | the mainframes Bobby mentioned, the CalComs case, all
|
| 23 | the way through Microsoft, those courts have said, this
|
| 24 | is anticompetitive, have really concluded it is
|
| 25 | anticompetitive because we see nothing good there. We |
139
| 1 | see only bad. And the cases where it has basically been
|
| 2 | mixed, the defendant has won. And whether or not the
|
| 3 | legal rule is going to be a profit sacrifice, a
|
| 4 | structured rule of reason, I think that is really
|
| 5 | telling as a descriptive matter of when those ties get
|
| 6 | condemned.
|
| 7 | MR. RUSSELL: My view is that what Mark just
|
| 8 | described is almost inevitable, because I think judges
|
| 9 | feel quite comfortable in saying we will not let you
|
| 10 | enforce this contract. They feel extraordinarily
|
| 11 | uncomfortable in saying you should have designed a
|
| 12 | product that would -- they feel perfectly qualified to
|
| 13 | do one and completely unqualified to do the other, and I
|
| 14 | think the difference that is perceived by most courts
|
| 15 | and judges is not so great in reality as what they are
|
| 16 | perceiving, but I think inevitably they will perceive
|
| 17 | that, and they will treat them differently, whether they
|
| 18 | articulate a formal rule for doing so or not.
|
| 19 | MS. LEE: Bobby?
|
| 20 | DR. WILLIG: Thank you.
|
| 21 | I think at bottom the intellectual framework for
|
| 22 | judging both can be the same, but I think the facts will
|
| 23 | inevitably come in somewhat differently, because in
|
| 24 | part, along with a technological tie comes a product
|
| 25 | design decision which is far more apt to have an |
140
| 1 | efficiency rationale or excuse attached to it as opposed
|
| 2 | to lawyers saying, oh, I just had to write the contract
|
| 3 | that way, and inevitably there is more efficiencies that
|
| 4 | the court has to deal with, and I think that is part of
|
| 5 | what Mark was just saying.
|
| 6 | Also, from the point of view of social policy, I
|
| 7 | think there is more at stake, because I do think
|
| 8 | innovation is more delicate or more vulnerable to
|
| 9 | suppressing it than we are to a suppression of the
|
| 10 | writing of complex tying contracts, and so it is right
|
| 11 | to give more respect to the implementation of the tie
|
| 12 | through product design.
|
| 13 | But I do want to say that the right intellectual
|
| 14 | framework will give us the ability to avoid the abuse of
|
| 15 | the respect given to innovation, the false product
|
| 16 | design. It may be a little bit new, but still the main
|
| 17 | point is to exclude. In the situation like that, the
|
| 18 | test that I have suggested, and I think we are all
|
| 19 | pretty much on the same page with trying to uncover that
|
| 20 | kind of innovation, that we should proceed right to a
|
| 21 | real systematic look at the exclusion that takes place,
|
| 22 | even if it is driven technologically.
|
| 23 | MS. LEE: Did you have anything?
|
| 24 | MR. SALINGER: No.
|
| 25 | MS. LEE: Okay. Can we go back to slide seven? |
141
| 1 | Exclusive dealing is a rule of reason offense,
|
| 2 | requiring a plaintiff to show that the defendant has
|
| 3 | significant market power, the exclusivity arrangement
|
| 4 | serves to deny market access to one or more significant
|
| 5 | rivals, and that market output to consumers is lower (or
|
| 6 | prices higher) as a result. Perhaps the Supreme Court
|
| 7 | will see fit to put tying law on the same course.
|
| 8 | So, do the panelists agree with this statement
|
| 9 | as it applies to tying? I think this is very close to
|
| 10 | what David Evans suggested in a structured rule of
|
| 11 | reason.
|
| 12 | David, do you want to start?
|
| 13 | MR. EVANS: Well, I do not know if that is a
|
| 14 | structured rule of reason, but --
|
| 15 | MS. LEE: No?
|
| 16 | MR. EVANS: -- but certainly it is a better rule
|
| 17 | of reason, I guess. So, I do not think I have anything
|
| 18 | more to say on that other than that there is a very
|
| 19 | interesting 1956 paper by Justice Stevens before he was
|
| 20 | Justice Stevens on precisely that topic that is
|
| 21 | interesting to read.
|
| 22 | MS. LEE: Bobby, what do you think?
|
| 23 | DR. WILLIG: I am a little worried about the
|
| 24 | middle of it, the one that --
|
| 25 | MS. LEE: Okay. |
142
| 1 | DR. WILLIG: -- the part that says the
|
| 2 | exclusivity arrangement serves to deny market access to
|
| 3 | one or more significant rivals. As long as the second
|
| 4 | part of that sentence is really treated very seriously
|
| 5 | and endemically, then I am feeling somewhat comfortable
|
| 6 | about it, but just denying market access itself does not
|
| 7 | strike me as anticompetitive or as creating harm to
|
| 8 | competition, but if it does, then -- excuse the phrase,
|
| 9 | gentlemen -- but there is harm to competition, if as a
|
| 10 | result of the denial of access competition is harmed,
|
| 11 | the sign of that is output is lower and/or price is
|
| 12 | higher, and so we are definitely in the framework of
|
| 13 | having found that there is a problem.
|
| 14 | We are still, then, looking at the next step,
|
| 15 | which is to decide whether the process is essentially a
|
| 16 | competitive one or is it an anticompetitive one. So, we
|
| 17 | are not done. But I guess that is what Hovenkamp has in
|
| 18 | mind here.
|
| 19 | MS. LEE: Don, do you have any reaction to the
|
| 20 | statement?
|
| 21 | MR. RUSSELL: I agree with the statement.
|
| 22 | MS. LEE: Okay. Anyone else?
|
| 23 | (No response.)
|
| 24 | MS. LEE: Okay.
|
| 25 | MR. SALINGER: I mean, just to follow up a |
143
| 1 | little bit, I mean, what the statement seems to be
|
| 2 | saying is that tying should be treated comparably to
|
| 3 | exclusive dealing. One might argue that exclusive
|
| 4 | dealing is a more problematic practice from an antitrust
|
| 5 | standpoint. So, is there agreement here that tying is
|
| 6 | at least as problematic a practice as exclusive dealing?
|
| 7 | DR. WILLIG: No.
|
| 8 | MR. EVANS: No.
|
| 9 | DR. WALDMAN: I do not necessarily see it that
|
| 10 | way. It is a question of is the evidence there, is the
|
| 11 | price going to be higher, is the output going to be
|
| 12 | lower? So, it could be the case that it is less
|
| 13 | problematic because it is less likely to cause the price
|
| 14 | to go up and supply to go down, but that the test is
|
| 15 | still the same. So, I think you want to be a little
|
| 16 | careful in terms of kind of that sort of analogy, the
|
| 17 | way you are flushing out the analogy.
|
| 18 | MR. POPOFSKY: One further comment on that,
|
| 19 | Michael. In all these vertical restraint cases, these
|
| 20 | labels, exclusive dealing, tying, bundled discounts,
|
| 21 | they are all imperfect ways of describing what Barry
|
| 22 | Nalebuff has described as a unitary phenomena where you
|
| 23 | are just changing it slightly. So, I think we want to
|
| 24 | be a little careful in saying one is inherently more
|
| 25 | problematic than the other, one is more benign than the |
144
| 1 | other. As was just said, you have to look at what is
|
| 2 | going on in a particular segment.
|
| 3 | MS. LEE: David?
|
| 4 | MR. EVANS: Let me push back on that just a
|
| 5 | little bit. I think this is a view that Bill Kovacic
|
| 6 | and other people have as well, that we ought to get rid
|
| 7 | of these categories and recognize that there is
|
| 8 | substitution -- I think you are right about that,
|
| 9 | Mark -- that there is potential substitution between
|
| 10 | these practices, and if we have different legal
|
| 11 | standards, we will observe companies substituting
|
| 12 | between them, and I think you are quite right that that
|
| 13 | is a concern.
|
| 14 | I think as a practical matter, certainly for
|
| 15 | economists and I suspect the courts, I think there are
|
| 16 | sufficient differences between these different practices
|
| 17 | that it is actually useful to think about them
|
| 18 | differently, recognizing that they intersect in various
|
| 19 | places. So, when I think about the economics of tying,
|
| 20 | while I recognize that there are overlaps with bundled
|
| 21 | discounts, you know, they are different considerations,
|
| 22 | and the way we think about the models and the way we
|
| 23 | think about efficiency effects and so forth, they are
|
| 24 | different, and they educate the analysis.
|
| 25 | I think my concern in just saying, well, there |
145
| 1 | is just this stuff out there and we just need to look at
|
| 2 | competitive effects and that is what we should do, I
|
| 3 | think that is problematic because that kind of puts us
|
| 4 | back into this rule of reason stew where, you know,
|
| 5 | everything just goes into it, and we think that juries
|
| 6 | will come out with the best result.
|
| 7 | So, I think we actually do need to pay attention
|
| 8 | to the kinds of practices, make some progress with the
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| 9 | economics, come up with some priors and some
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| 10 | understanding of what the rules should be, recognizing
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| 11 | that Mark is right, that there is going to be some
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| 12 | substitution if we have different standards in different
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| 13 | parts of Section 2, but I do not see losing the
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| 14 | distinctions as being a practical thing to do either for
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| 15 | economists or for the courts.
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| 16 | MR. POPOFSKY: And let me just interject, I
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| 17 | actually agree, David, with everything you have said.
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| 18 | My only concern is --
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| 19 | MR. EVANS: My God, I must have said something
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| 20 | wrong.
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| 21 | MR. POPOFSKY: No, for once everything is right.
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| 22 | We just have to recognize, as you said, the linkage
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| 23 | between these various practices. That is all.
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| 24 | MS. LEE: Okay, I want to give the panelists a
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| 25 | last opportunity to say anything if they like before |
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| 1 | concluding. Anyone? Bobby, you do not want the last
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| 2 | word?
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| 3 | DR. WILLIG: Oh, I would like the last word. I
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| 4 | am still worried about the Hovenkamp --
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| 5 | MR. EVANS: Could I suggest you not go first if
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| 6 | you want the last word?
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| 7 | DR. WILLIG: Oh, I see what you mean. I would
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| 8 | like to hear your reaction.
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| 9 | It does sound in the Hovenkamp proposition like
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| 10 | there is an engagement of a consumer welfare meter. It
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| 11 | reminds me of the situation which is simpler but still
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| 12 | maybe imponderable to us, a competitor innovates, is
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| 13 | very successful, the innovation knocks out competitors,
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| 14 | so a year later, the competitors are gone because they
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| 15 | have been beat by the innovator, whereupon the
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| 16 | monopolist really has the monopoly position, at least
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| 17 | for a while, until the next generation of competitors
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| 18 | come along.
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| 19 | We honor the process. We like innovation. If
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| 20 | we compare consumer welfare before the innovation to
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| 21 | consumer welfare a year later, after the competitors are
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| 22 | gone, it could be that prices are up and output is down,
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| 23 | although that happened through a process that we
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| 24 | basically honor and we expect another few years will go
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| 25 | by and the world will be a better place. That is a very |
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| 1 | real sort of scenario, I think, and I think applying the
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| 2 | consumer welfare meter to that situation would be
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| 3 | telling us wrongly that innovation is destructive.
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| 4 | I am kind of worried that when we are talking
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| 5 | about Section 2 and all of these kinds of practices,
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| 6 | exclusive dealing and/or tying, that the Hovenkamp
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| 7 | formulation would be condemning the process, and I think
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| 8 | in a way that would be unfortunate for antitrust.
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| 9 | What do you think?
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| 10 | MR. POPOFSKY: Well, I am going to go next,
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| 11 | because one of the great things about hiring Bobby as an
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| 12 | expert, which I have, is I can go after him and not give
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| 13 | him the last word.
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| 14 | DR. WILLIG: Redirect, recross?
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| 15 | MR. POPOFSKY: Your concern is well founded,
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| 16 | Bobby, why don't courts condemn monopoly pricing? After
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| 17 | all, a court could argue we are better off having lower
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| 18 | prices today even if it deters innovation tomorrow.
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| 19 | There are in the law safe harbors. There are in the law
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| 20 | ways of structuring the analysis, whether it is
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| 21 | structured rule of reason, Ordover-Willig or other
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| 22 | things, that will filter out, at least in my view, the
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| 23 | most troubling scenarios, such as designing the better
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| 24 | mousetrap being found anticompetitive, something we
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| 25 | should not have done, and the challenge is to really, in |
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| 1 | a particularized way, as David Evans was suggesting, to
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| 2 | figure out what those are.
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| 3 | DR. WILLIG: Well, let's do it.
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| 4 | MR. POPOFSKY: The next panel.
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| 5 | DR. WILLIG: Oh.
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| 6 | MS. LEE: Anyone else? Yes?
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| 7 | DR. WALDMAN: I actually want to go back to
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| 8 | something David was saying I think similar to what I
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| 9 | have said, which is in terms of the case, I think what
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| 10 | is very important is not to just have an existence group
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| 11 | that some smart economist sat somewhere and came up with
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| 12 | a theory that this sort of matches on the surface. I
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| 13 | think that really, given the prevalence of efficient
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| 14 | tying, I think you really want to make sure that the
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| 15 | facts of the case fit the theory. Otherwise, you are
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| 16 | likely to make lots of mistakes, and I think that when
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| 17 | you go to a rule of reason approach, that is really
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| 18 | something that needs to be emphasized.
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| 19 | MR. EVANS: I will just make one sort of
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| 20 | technical comment, which probably is not a good way to
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| 21 | end my discussion, but we have kind of gone back and
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| 22 | forth in the discussion between consumer welfare and
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| 23 | total welfare, and probably for this area and lots of
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| 24 | other areas in Section 2, I mean, it really makes a
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| 25 | difference whether you are talking about consumer |
149
| 1 | welfare or total welfare, and it also makes a difference
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| 2 | in whether you are talking to economists, because,
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| 3 | Michael, you are probably in a better position to tell
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| 4 | me whether this is true or not, but my sense is that
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| 5 | almost all the theories talked about social welfare, and
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| 6 | the courts talk about consumer welfare, and the
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| 7 | connection between the social welfare results and the
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| 8 | theory and the consumer welfare results that the courts
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| 9 | presumably care about are not quite as tight as we might
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| 10 | like them.
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| 11 | So, maybe another panel someday, another topic
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| 12 | ought to be should there be a total welfare standard
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| 13 | instead of a consumer welfare standard? It would make
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| 14 | it easier for the economists.
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| 15 | MS. LEE: Please join me in thanking our
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| 16 | panelists for their presentations and our discussion.
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| 17 | (Applause.)
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| 18 | (Whereupon, at 12:56 p.m., the hearing was
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| 19 | concluded.)
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| 20 |
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| 21 |
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| 22 |
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| 23 |
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| 24 |
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| 25 | |
150
| 1 | C E R T I F I C A T I O N O F R E P O R T E R
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| 2 | DOCKET/FILE NUMBER: P062106
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| 3 | CASE TITLE: SECTION 2 HEARING
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| 4 | DATE: NOVEMBER 1, 2006
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| 5 |
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| 6 | I HEREBY CERTIFY that the transcript contained
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| 7 | herein is a full and accurate transcript of the notes
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| 8 | taken by me at the hearing on the above cause before the
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| 9 | FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION to the best of my knowledge and
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| 10 | belief.
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| 11 |
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| 12 |
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| 13 |
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| 14 |
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| 15 |
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| 16 | | | SUSANNE BERGLING, RMR-CLR |
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| 17 |
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| 18 | C E R T I F I C A T I O N O F P R O O F R E A D E R
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| 19 |
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| 20 | I HEREBY CERTIFY that I proofread the transcript
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| 21 | for accuracy in spelling, hyphenation, punctuation and
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| 22 | format.
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| 23 |
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| 24 |
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| 25 | |
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