============= Page 1 of 37 ============= n 0 0 0- 0 y 0 0 0 4 4J 0 0 0 n 0 c) 0 Sacdhs an EXH 061-00637 Truman Discussion Goldman, Sachs & Co. 17-Oct-2001 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT 3991 Crim. No. H-04-25 (S-2) ============= Page 2 of 37 ============= hsan I. Overview of Truman's Integrated Model 0 c N Overview of Truman's Integrated Model 3 EXH061-00638 ============= Page 3 of 37 ============= n 0 a C- H M n C C n 0 0 a 0 y n Waac seD Approach to Truman's Integrated Model  Deconsolidate historical numbers, 2001E and 2002P into major business units  Observe cost and growth trends to drive key income statement and cash flow lines  To the extent possible, develop revenue/gross profit drivers for business units  Incorporate Truman's strategic development objectives into projections for each segment  Analyze segment and consolidated financial statements over the review period  Provide flexibility to analyze various "what if"and sensitivity scenarios 0 0 to W Overview of Truman's Integrated Model 4 EXH061-00639 ============= Page 4 of 37 ============= n 0 CD CD a CD C r CD 0 0 a a y C) 0 C) 0 (o EGAS C- ^t 10 0.2% 0.011/0 711 562 566 102 125 3 125 Wind Mai Ad 8.0°h 9.9% 151 163 205 53 59 1 78 EES 350 1 861 EBS nm nm (126) 0 295 (543) (277) (3) 100 A rOt~TW~ Corporate / other 15.6% nm 56 64 99 (563) (644) (845) k tp;Q Consolidated It 5-wo , . IS 64 o edn' p c UM. I~-r, If CS 1'c r -Ad- bi 14.4% 21.9% 6,966 8,813 13,192 3,012 3,420 6,195 113 ! AND i ,vA ~. PFr~ c ~l ~r co~~rl vv ~ F ~ f'0 C ( III !h. Overview of Truman's Integrated Model 5 SactisaO Basis For Projections By Business Segment 02 - 05 Growth Gross Margin ($m) IBIT ($m) Segment Gross Margin IBIT 2001 2002 2005 2001 2002 2005 ETS 2.0% 4.1% $661 $674 $715 $361 $380 97. $428 PGE 4.3% 4.0% 619 636 722 189 222 S 249 Wholesale - Consolidated 13.9% 17.5% 3,967 5,360 7,921 3,242 3,206 79 5,199 a O 1~d~" Wholesale - NA O s + Pte. 13.6% 15.0% 3,369 3,765 5,525 3,570 2,768 4,211 VK af ~ Wholesale - Europe Fhb 2.5% 0.2% 924 679 732 309 200 201 Wholesale - Industrial Markets 47.7% 35.0% 71 107 343 43 125 308 ~ i 9Ap, Sam; Ca -4 Wholesale - Global Markets 15.0% 15.0% 475 719 1,094 237 300 457 . 1 G(d!„h~~ Mu }i~ tU Wholesale - Other , 36.4% nm (872) 89 227 (916) (187) 23 ~i F fr )S 04 a; i on u 25.4% 35.0% 928 1,354 2,670 173 EXH 061-00640 ============= Page 5 of 37 ============= C) 0 G. r+ -3 c n 0 a. 3 n P Ca C) 0 07 0) 0 0) U1 Sacnsa" Summary Model Output IBIT by Segment and Overall EPS Projections C< 6 26 $7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 F-- m 2,000 1,000 0 (1,000) $6,195 $6 5 4 m 3 (1) yr 2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 Wind -EBS -EGAS - EES -Wholesale ...r PGE ~ ETS -Corporate/Other --i --EPS Overview of Truman's Integrated Model 6 EXH 061-00641 ============= Page 6 of 37 ============= g°' ° aS Summary Model Output Wholesale IBIT by Business Unit ~/~O1elnle ~\~ NA d~~ves 5~w 'r I~-`~o ~'A~*~ ~3'7 r~ $6,000-1 5,000 4,000 3,000 I- m 2,000 1,000 0 (1,000) Cr~ SM~` J I Overview of Truman's Integrated Model 7 EXH 061-00642 Americas ® Global Markets  Europe ® Industrial Others ============= Page 7 of 37 ============= gold man Needed Input/Direction General Wholesale j~~~~, a, '  Recurring/non-recurring revenue breakout by segment 1 i`~ &C) \M  EnronOnline impact on wholesale (volumes and margin)  Methodology for building in Price Risk Management trades, assets/liabilities cc? Corporate/Other/General q` ( A  Capital expenditures allocation and resulting impact  Asset sales - Wholesale, EGAS or other (amount, timing, basis)  On balance sheet / off-balance sheet debt detail  Corporate overhead (including technology) and O&M targets  Taxes (current/deferred, utilization of credits/NOLs) Overview of Truman's Integrated Model 8 EXH 061-00643 ============= Page 8 of 37 ============= an baths II. Summary Valuation of ETS Summary Valuation of ETS 9 EXH 061-00644 ============= Page 9 of 37 ============= ~aens8° Project Truman ETS Total Company Valuation li j~r~s cMS.T ~, S - S.S ~; I I I t ($ in millions) Multiples Implied Enterprise Value Value Public Market Private Market Public Market Private Market IA IBITDAI $429.8 9.5 11.5 8.0 11.0 $5,047 $6,110 $4,250 $5,844 IBIT2 360.7 10.0 12.0 - - 4,622 5,546 - - P\c5~' r^ /~ Net Incomes 193.0 16.0 22.0 - - 3,622 4,780 - - 5~~y- Book Value4 2,210.6 - - 2.0 3.5 - - 4,420 7,736 Summary Low $3,622.3 187.9 5 Mean , Median 4,913.8 High 7,735.6 it /yl f k•\ h j , r) l (I; 0 0) J EBITDA plus equity earnings from EOTT, Northern Border and Florida Gas Transmission- z EBIT plus equity earnings from EOTT, Northern Border and Florida Gas Transmission. s Enterprise value assumes third party debt of $534.2 million. Enron basis in ETS, which includes equity in unconsolidated subsidiaries. Summary Valuation of ETS 10 EXH 061-00645 ============= Page 10 of 37 ============= 9oWse° Project Truman ETS Sum-of-the-Parts ($ in millions) Northern Natural Transwestern Low $2,162 1,168 / Mean $3,097 1 91 Median $3,222 1 533 High $ 3,841 3,010 Total of Pipeline Assets $3,330 I $ 4,788 ($4,755) $6,851 Unconsolidated Subs • EOTT $ 128 $ 139 $ 139 $ 149 2 Northern Border 207 ! 223 223 238 Total MLP Ownership ® Citrus (50% ownership) $335 $ 823 $. 361 ~ $ 1,093 $36 $ 1,037 ~ $ 388 $ 1,580 Total of Unconsolidated Subs $ 1,158 $ 1,454 $ 1,399 $ 1,968 OR Equity Earnings in Unconsolidated Subs $910 $ 1,073 $ 1,073 1 $ 1,235 Implied Value of ETS $4,240 $ 6,052 $ 5,990 $ 8,819 07 0 c0 N 0 Summary Valuation of ETS 11 EXH 061-00646 ============= Page 11 of 37 ============= ~ e~" 1 "4-Ik~N~SS ~aachsan Project Truman a S loJ r ETS Analysis at Various Prices ($ in millions) I Enterprise Value 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 i Enterprise Value / IBITDA' 2000E $434.3 9.2 x 10.4x 11.55 X,- 12.7x IL tr 13 15.0 x 16.1x 2001E 429.8 9.3 10.5 11.6 12.8 14.0. 15.1 16.3 Enterprise Value I IBIT' 2000E $366.2 10.9x 12.3x 13.7 x 15.0x 16.4 x 17.7 x 19.1x 2001E 360.7 11.1 12.5 13.9 15.2 ~' 16.6 18.0 19 4 . Current Enron Debt: 6~3~ID1 $ 12,812 $ 12,812 $ 12,812 $ 12,812 $ 12,812 $ 12,812 $ 12,812 Paydown of Debt From Sale Proceeds 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 Pro Forma Enron Debt 8,812 8,312 7,812 7,312 6,812 6,312 5,812 Reduction (31.2)% (35.1)% (39.0)% (42.9)% (46.8)% (50.7)% (54.6)% % Pre-Tax Interest Expense Savings' $ 280 $ 315 $ 350.• $ 385 / $ 420 $ 455 $ 490 `- i o~ 5•~ock~)nt.e 'Based on Management estimates dated 30-Jun-2001. 'As of 30-Jun-2001. ' Assumes pre-tax interest rate of 7.0°6 Summary Valuation of ETS 12 EXH 061-00647 ============= Page 12 of 37 ============= oldman ~achs [Grey Page] 0 co N N Summary Valuation of ETS 13 EXH 061-00648 ============= Page 13 of 37 ============= fiaciisa° Project Truman ETS Sum-of-the-Parts Valuation ($ in millions) Metrics Implied Enterprise Values Value Public Market Private Market Public Market Private Market Northern Natural LTM EBITDA $308.2 9.5 x\ 11.5 x 8.0 x 11.0 x $2,928 $3,544 $2,466 $ 3,390 LTM EBIT 320.1 10.0 12.0 - - 3,201 3,841 - - Book Value 5 p~ P,~,r J) 1,081.0 C ,\ - - 2.0 3.0 - - 2,162 3,243 , n Transwestern \ LTM EBITDA $ 146.0 9.5 x 11.5 x 8.0 x 11.0 x $ 1,387 $ 1,679 $ 1,168 $ 1,606 LTM EBIT 121.6 10.0 12.0 - - 1,216 1,459 - - Book Value 1,003.3 - - 2.0 3.0 - - 2,007 3,010 C) Cn 0 N W Citrus (Enron 50% share only) LTM EBITDA $ 107.5 9.5 x 11.5 x 8.0 x 11.0 x $ 1,021 $ 1,236 $860 $ 1,183 LTM EBIT 82.3 10.0 12.0 - - 823 988 - - Book Value 526.8 - - 2.0 3.0 - - 1,054 1,580 EOTT' Do, to?a' t 57a-Qn - Common Units (shares) 6.6 m $ 17.51 $ 20.42 - - $115 $ 134 - - ShareofGPDist ° $1.1 - - 12.0x 14.0x 13 15 - - Total $ 128 $ 149 - - Northern Border Common Units (shares) 3.2 m 35.4 41.3 - - $ 113 $ 132 - 7 Share of GP Dist .loo $6.4 14.5 16.5 93 106 Total $ 207 - - $238 Equity Earnings In Unconsolidated Subs 2001E Equity Earnings $65.0 - 14.0 x 19.0 x - - $910 $ 1,235 - - (At Mv~~~`ej~.i7E) Uw\ ( Assumes conversion of sub-units and APIs at ratio of 0.45:1 (as submitted in recent filings). Summary Valuation of ETS 14 EXH 061-00649 ============= Page 14 of 37 ============= ~oldman achs Ill. Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of ETS and PGE Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of.ETS and PGE 15 EXH061-00650 ============= Page 15 of 37 ============= C) 0 0. 0 .n 0 C) 0 s 5 En r) C-) 0 ~eSe° Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of ETS and PGE A Preliminary Look at the Numbers ($m Except per Share Data) 2002 Disposals Proforma 2003 Disposals Proforma Gross Margin 8,813 (1,309) 7,504 9,999 (1,345) 8,654 IBITDA 4,165 (685) 3,480 4,915 (709) 4,205 IBIT 3,420 (602) 2,819 4,119 (623) 3,495 Interest Expense 685 (502) 183 739 (500) 238 Net Income 1,77 1,670 2,471 2-345 EPS (12.06 j'1.973 ($ 2.82 $2.68 Cash Flows from Operations 2,230 (627) 1,603 4,124 (651) 3,472 Net Debt 9,618 (7,173) 2,445 9,015 (7,149) 1,866 C) to 0 N 01 FF01 Net Debt 0.2 x 0.7 x 0.5x 1.9x Debt/ IBITDA 2.3x 0.7x 1.8x 0.4x IBITDA / Interest 6.1 x 19.1 x 6.7 x 17.7 x Note: Assumes (1) sale of ETS for $5bn; (2) Sale of PGE occurs at announced transaction volume; (3) pro forma net Income Is before Impact from a gain/loss on sale of assets; and (4) any taxable gain deferred or offset. Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of ETS and PGE 16 EXH 061-00651 ============= Page 16 of 37 ============= 9aGman Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of ETS and PGE A Qualitative Perspective Positive Factors Issues to Consider  Business Profile  Business Profile - Shed low growth segments - Pro forma asset base - De-lever the balance sheet - Ability to fund high growth trading activities  Market Implications  - Market expecting asset rationalization - Debt repayment will enhance the equity story - Focus on high growth new market development   Credit Implications  - S&P (1/2000): Anything open to be sold, including regulated pipes - Truman has outgrown reliance on those stable cash flows   Agencies are expecting additional asset sales - Dramatically improves credit ratios - Seen to be addressing agency concerns Market Implications - Do you benefit from some continuing ownership in the pipes business - Is business mix considered "riskier" How quickly does the market give you credit for new growth opportunities Credit Implications - Will need to strengthen ratios to compensate for loss of cash flow With announced write-downs S&P and Moody's focused on business - Management of the balance sheet going forward - Implications for further write-downs on the portfolio and balance sheet Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of ETS and PGE 17 EXH 061-00652 ============= Page 17 of 37 ============= C) 0 0 0. 2 Sac~nsa0 Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of ETS and PGE Beginning to Value the "New" Truman y ($ in millions, per share data) c 4 l^. PIE Multiple 12.0 x 14.0 x 16.0 x 18.0 x 20.0 x 22.0 x 24.0 x m r) y ~, Current 2002E IBES Median Estimate $2.15 $30.10 $30.10 $34.40 $38.70 $43.00 $47.30 $51.60 Implied 2003E IBES Median Estimate $2.52 $30.19 -.$ 35.22 $40.2 5 1 $45.28 $50.31 $ 55.34 $60.37 Pro Forma 2002E EPS - Post Disposal $ 1.90 $22.80 $26.60 $30.40 `-) $ 34.20 $ 38.00 $41.8o $45.60 $1.95 $23.40 $27.30 $31.20 $35.10. $39.00 $42.90 $46.80 $2.05 $24.60 $28.70 $ 32.80 $36.90 $41.00 $45.10 $49.20 $2.15 $25.80 $30.10 $34.40 $38.70 $43.00 $47.30 $51.60 Pro Forma 2003E EPS - Post Disposal $2.40 $28.80 $33.60 $38.40 $43.20 $48.00 $ 52.80 $57.60 $2.50 $30.00 $35.00 $40.00 $45.00 $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 o $2.60 $31.20 $36.40 $41.60 $ 46.80 $ 52.00 $57.20 $62.40 $2.70 N $ 32.40 $ 37.80 $413.20 $48.60 $54.00 $59.40 $64.80 J $2.80 $33.60 $39.20 $44.80 $50.40 $56.00 $61.60 $67.20 Impact of a Hypothetical Sale of ETS and PGE 18 XH061-00653 ============= Page 18 of 37 ============= Goldman achs IV. Process Considerations for an ETS Transaction G) 0 CO N CO Process Considerations for an ETS Transaction 19 EXH 061-00654 ============= Page 19 of 37 ============= ~acns an Process Considerations General 0 U) O CO N tD a Preference for cash over stock as consideration  Appetite for smaller, strategically less important assets? - As part of larger sale package - Independently  Alternatives to sale for "orphan" assets e Separation Issues Process Sale of all assets to single buyer  Pre-emption rights / ROFRs over assets  Timing and process duration • Ability of larger bidders to acquire without significant anti-trust issues  Bidder appetites for physical assets (irrespective of apparent strategic fit) Benefits  Clean, simple, rapid process  Allows less attractive/saleable assets to be wrapped into larger sale Sale of all assets to joint  Retains benefits of single sale bidders/consortia  Reduces financing and regulatory issues for bidders  Increased buyer population Break-up sale  Allows maximum value to be achieved for each asset  Wider buyer population, with fewer financing constraints Issues  Fewer potential bidders able to finance bid for whole  Potentially lower / little value for smaller, "unwanted" assets  Potential FTC issues  Pre-emption rights on key Florida Gas pipeline?  Long, complex process with increased uncertainty  Lack of "natural" consortia?  May not result in maximum value  Additional complexity and duration of process  Separation issues?  Potential to be left with orphan assets Process Considerations for an ETS Transaction 20 =XH061-00655 ============= Page 20 of 37 ============= old man Preliminary Buyer List L Williams El Paso Duke Single Transaction Dynegy AEP Exelon Southern Entergy C Kinder Morgan Tractebel Market Cap/ 2002E Enterprise Value PIE Multiple $14,545/ 11.1x $24,727 $27,128/ 14.4x $44,494 $30,890/ 14.lx $46,883 $14,969/ 17.6x $19,380 $14,378/ 11.5x $30,337 $14,454/ 8.8x $28,789 $17,580/ 15.Ox $30,589 $8,388/ 10.8x $17,253 $6,036/ 20.9x $10,555 Subsidiary of Suez NA Multiple Transactions Market Cap/ 2002E Enterprise Value PIE Multiple TransCanada/TC $6,350/ 14.3x Pipelines $14,447 Enterprise Products $2,6541 20.1x Partners $3,397 Enbridge/EEP $4,695/ 16.2x $9,808 Plains All American $1,051/ 15.8x $1,519 TEPPCO $1,285/ 16.9x $2,105 Buckeye Partners $971 / 14.4x $1,237 BG $13,382/ 17.8x $14,219 Kaneb Pipeline $871/ 14.Ox $1,127 FPL $9,5081 10.8x $15,698 Private Equity NA NA Process Considerations for an ETS Transaction 21 =XH 061-00656 ============= Page 21 of 37 ============= r aa, an G) 0 [Grey Page] Process Considerations for an ETS Transaction 22 1 EXH 061-0065 ============= Page 22 of 37 ============= Samsa0 Alternative Structuring Options Sell Northern Natural to Northern Border Partners L.P. Description to 0 G) N Benefits Issues to Consider  Enron contributes Northern Natural to  Retain some upside (and market  Structuring transaction with a related Northern Border in return for cash or insight?) by keeping GP interest party - conflicts committee MLP units  Realize cash immediately  May not maximize value  Northern Border funds acquisition N Reduces size of remaining asset,  Ability of Northern Border to acquire through borrowings and issue of MLP potentially simplifying sale process for substantially all cash units/I-Share offering and enDgodlg value of GP interest Very Preliminary Analysis of Financial Capacity of Northern Border Partners Acquisition Value ($m) Multiple of Cash Flow 8.0x 9.0x 10.0x 11.0x 12.Ox Cash Flow 200 1,600 1,800 2,000: 2,200 2,400 Acquired .250 2,000 2,250 2,500 2,750 3,000 ($m) 300 2,400 2,700 3,000 3,300 3,600 350 2,800 3,150 3,500 3,850 4,200 Accretion to LP Distribution/Unit Multiple of Cash Flow 8.0x 9.Ox . 10.Ox 11.Ox 12.0x Cash Flow 200 32% 26% 21% 16% 11% Acquired 250 37% 30% 24% 18% 12% ($m) 300 46% 37% 29%. 21% 14% 350 56% 45% 35% 25% 16% Assumptions (10x CF Multiple, $200m CF) Current Unit Price $38.40 Current LP Distribution per Unit $3.05 Current GP Distribution per Unit $0.19 Interest Rate 7% DCF / Distribution coverage ratio 1.22 x Current LP Splits 75% Percentage Equity Financed 25% Proforma (assuming 70% GP Interest retained) Current ENE GP income ($m) 6.4 Proforma ENE GP income ($m) 22.1 2001 ENE Common income received ($m) 9.8 Proforma 2001 ENE Common income ($m) 11.8 Proforma total increase in annual income ($m) 17.8 Process Considerations for an ETS Transaction 23 EXH061-00658 ============= Page 23 of 37 ============= ~0 ice. z C Ey oev rd Confidential Treatment Requested by Goldman, Sachs & Co. GS 0833 N co Q U) w.. X U) z rn LO 0 0 CD 0 x ============= Page 24 of 37 ============= aachs a° Next Steps  Model - Refine valuation model - Layer growth drivers into projections  Process - Establish scenarios for evaluation - Consider additional alternatives  Impact - Get credit / equity judgments - Evaluate implications for stock price and credit ratings Next Steps 25 EXH 061-00660 ============= Page 25 of 37 ============= baacns an r) n n c in 0 co W Appendix A: Pipeline Valuation Pipeline Valuation 26 EXH 061-00661 ============= Page 26 of 37 ============= 9eensen Project Truman Comparison of Selected Companies ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Closing % of 52 Enter prise Value Catendarized 5-Year 2002 Price Week Equity Enterprise Multip les of LTM PIE Multiples ` EPS PEI5-Year LTM Marg ins' Dividend Company 16-Oct-2001 High Market Cap' Value' Sales EBITDA EBIT 2001 2002 CAGR' EPS CAGR EBITDA EBIT Yield Enron $ 33.84 40.0% $25.375 $ 41,754 0.3 x 12.2 x 16.8 x 18.8 x 15.7 x 17.0% 0.9 x 2.8% 2.1 % 1.5 % Enbrldge $28.49 98.9% $4,529 $9,642 4.0 x 129 x 20.9 x 18.2 x 16.2 x 11.0% 1.5 x 31.2% 19.3% 3.1 % TransAlla 13.96 85.7 2,362 4,318 3.9 7.6 12.0 16.1 13.6 --- --- 51.1 32.3 4.6 Duke 39.61 83.4 30,890 46,883 0.7 8.2 11.0 15.8 14.1 12.0 1.2 9.0 6.8 2.8 Dynegy 44.92 77.5 14,969 19,380 0.4 15.6 22.4 21.7 17.6 20.0 0.9 2.9 2.0 0.7 El Paso 52.52 70.5 27,128 44,494 1.3 19.0 26.3 15.9 14.4 15.0 1.0 6.9 5.0 1.6 Kinder Morgan 51.86 86.8 6,036 10,555 4.7 21.0 26.8 27.3 20.9 20.0 1.0 22.6. 17.7 0.4 Williams 29.99 65.3 14,545 24,727 2.3 6.7 8.6 12.8 11.1 15.0 0.7 34.2 26.8 2.0 Mean 73.2% $ 15,430 $ 25,092 2.2 x 14.8 x 20.9 1t~ 19.1 x 16.0 x 18.3% 1.0 x 16.8 % 12.1 % 1.3% Median 74.0 14,757 22,053 1.8 14.2 ( 21.6) 18.6 16.0 16.0 0.9 14.8 11.4 1.5 ' Source: Latest publicly available financial statements. Equity Market Cap based on diluted shares outstanding. z Source: IBES median estimates. Pipeline Valuation 27 EXH 061-00662 ============= Page 27 of 37 ============= ~aedhsa0 Common Stock Comparison Midstream MLPs ($ in millions, except per share amount) Closing % of 52 Enterprise Value Multiples of Calendarized 5 Year Price Week Equity Market Enterprise EBIT EBITDA PIE Multiples' EPS 2002 PIE I LTM Margins Company 16-Oct-2001 High Cap' Value' LTM LTM 2001E 2002E 2001 2002 CAGR' Growth EBITDA EDIT Enron $33.84 40.0% $25,375 $11,754 16.8 x 12.2 x 9.9 x 8.5 x 18.8 x 15.7 x 17.0% 0.9 x 2.8% 2.1% Midstream MLPs Buckeye Partners $36.08 95.2% $971 $1,237 13.0 x 16.9 x 12.1 x 11.7 x 14.9 x 14.4 x 5.0% 2.9 x 51.8% 43.1% Enterprise Products Partners' $51.51 100.0% $2,654 $3,397 11.9 x 10.2 x 12.7 x 10.1 x 22.8 x 20.1 x 10.0% 2.0 x 9.5% 8.2% EOTT Energy Partners $21.55 92.1% $592 $786 21.8 x 11.2 x 10.8 x 10.3 x 23.7 x 19.8 x 5.0% 3.9 x 0.6% 0.3% Kaneb Pipeline Partners $42.94 100.0% $871 $1,127 15.9 x 12.4 x 12.0 x 11.4 x 14.3 x 14.0 x 5.0% 2.8 x 49.8% 36.9% Kinder Morgan Energy Partners $37.90 100.0% $2,459 $4,805 10.2 x 8.2 x 5.1 x 4.6 x 24.5 x 22.7 x 14.0% 1.6 x 25.1% 20.2% Northern Border Partners $40.61 99.2% $1,690 $3,294 16.0 x 12.1 x 10.6 x 9.6 x 16.2 x 13.8 x 7.5% 1.8 x 70.0% 53.0% Plains All American Pipeline $27.40 92.9% $1,051 $1,519 26.0 x 19.2 x 13.3 x 11.5 x 18.3 x 15.8 x 7.5% 2.1 x 1.3% 0.9% Teppco Partners $33.05 98.8% $1,285 $2,105 14.4 x 11.3 x 11.0 x 10.5 x 16.5 x 16.9 x 8.5% 2.6 x 5.4% 4.2% Mean 97.3% $1,447 $2.259 16.2x 11.9x 11.0* 10.ox 18.9x 17.2x 7.6% 2.5x 26.7% 21.1% Median 99.0% 1,168 1,812 15.1 11.3 11.5 10.4 17.4 16.4 7.0% 2.4 17.3% 14.2% +n - High 100.0% $2,654 $4,605 26.0 x 19,2x 13.3 x 11.7x 24.5 x 22.7 x 14.0% 3.9 x 70.0% 53.0% N Low 92.1% 592 766 10.2 B_2 5.1 4.6 14.3 13.8 5.0% 1.8 0.6% 0.3% 0 Do 14 r Source: Latest publicly available financial statements. Equity Market Cap based on diluted shares outstanding. Z Source: IAES median estimates. 3 Not pro forma for acquisitions of various pipeline assets in 1Q2001 due to insufficient information. Pipeline Valuation 28 EXH 061-00663 ============= Page 28 of 37 ============= ~ac~san Comparison of Selected Midstream Transactions ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Market Premium (%) Price to Earnings (x) Lev Mult. of EBITDA (x) Date Value ($) Previous 30-Day Current Next Current Next Market I Announced Effective Acquiror 1 Target Equity Levered Day Average LTM Year Year LTM Year Year Book (X) 5/912001 Pending EnCap Investments I Plains Resources 149 149 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA YO 3112/2001 5/7/2001 Northern Border I El Paso Corp. 100 100 NA NA NA NA NA NA 8.3 NA NA ` 1013112000 12113/2000 Cinergy, Vectren/NiSource (Miller) 68 68 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1/18/2000 1/29/2001 El Paso / Coastal 9,739 15,208 26.8 34.0 21.1 20.3 16.6 11.3 10.1 8.4 2.5 2/28/2000 11/112000 NiSource / Columbia 6,069 8,194 22.3 28.4 22.4 20.6 17.4 10.3 9.7 8.3 2.9 7/8/1999 10/7/1999 KN Energy / Kinder Morgan Inc. 521 664 na na 14.9 NA NA 10.2 NA NA NA 3/15/1999 10/25/1999 El Paso / Sonat 3,934 5,911 31.8 40.7 NM 26.3 21.3 9.5 8.9 8.1 3.0 2/22/1999 1/28/2000 Dominion !CNG 6,353 8,268 26.3 33.3 26.7 19.3 16.7 10.0 8.7 7.8 2.6 1/26/1998 7/211998 TransCanada / Nova 4,969 8,561 6.3 13.2 15.5 10.0 6.6 6.1 NA NA 1.2 12/18/1997 1130/1998 KN Energy / Mldcon (Oxy) 3,490 3,990 NA NA NA NA NA 9.7 NA NA 5.0 10/22/1997 11/26/1997 Koch / USX- Delphi 198 762 21.2 27.5 33.1 59.5 27.8 14.9 14.1 11.9 1.0 912311997 1/12/1998 RD-Shell 1 Tejas Gas 1,450 2,375 23.0 NA 37.2 33.0 22.4 12.3 15.0 NA 3.1 11/25/1996 6/18/1997 Duke Energy /PanEnergy 7,553 9,989 18.3 25.6 21.7 21.3 19.2 9.9 9.1 8.4 3.1 Asset 1/29/2001 1/29/2001 Enterprise Products / El Paso Energy NA 112.0 NA NA NA NA NA NA 21.9 13.4 NA n+ 12115/1999 1/20/2000 Kinder Morgan E I Kinder Morgan Inc. 743 779 NA NA NA NA NA 8.4 8.0 8.1 1.1 U 12/20/1999 12120/1999 Kinder Morgan Energy I Trailblazer 38 66 NA NA NA NA NA 7.5 6.2 6.4 1.4 5/411999 7/1/1999 TransMontaigne / Amerada Hess NA 66 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 11/2/1998 3/29/1999 CMS Energy / Duke Energy (Panhandle) 1,900 2,200 NA NA 16.6 NA NA 9.3 NA NA 1.3 312/1998 811411998 El Paso ! Leviathan (Deep Tech) NA 450 NA NA NA NA NA 8.3 NA NA NA 6/19/1996 12/12/1996 El Paso / Tenneco 879 3,879 NA NA NA NA NA 9.0 13.6 12.4 0.7 0 G,) CO 1/30/1996 Mean Median 10/8/1996 PanEnergy I Mobil 307 307 NA 22.0% 22.7% NA 28.9% 28.4% NA 23.3 x 21.7 NA 26.3 x 20.9 NA 18.5 x 18.3 NA 9.8 x 9.7' NA 11.1 x 9.4 NA 9.3 x 8.3 NA 2.2 x 2.5 Source: J. S. Herald, Company announcements. Pipeline Valuation 29 EXH 061-00664 ============= Page 29 of 37 ============= ~aehsa° Comparison of Selected Midstream Transactions ($ in millions, except per share amounts) Market Premium (%) Price to Earnings (x) Lev Mult. of EBITDA (x) Date Value (S) Previous 30-Day Current Next Current Next Market I Announced Effective Acquiror I Target Equity Levered Day Average LTM Year Year LTM Year Year Book (x) Gas Gathering & Processing Corporate 3/16/2001 Pending Enbridge I Midcoast Energy Resources 351 598 7.1 NA 10.1 14.4 12.3 9.5 NA NA NA 1/24/2001 3130/2001 Northern Border /Bear Paw Energy 270 370 NA NA NA NA NA 9.3 NA NA NA n , 3/10/1999 6/1/1999 Leviathan I El Paso 21 108 NA NA NA NA NA 8.1 NA NA NA QJ 311211997 4/15/1997 PacifiCorp I TPC Corp 288 437 20.5 26.0 49.7 22.7 16.2 NM NA NA 2.8 113111997 1/1/1997 PGRE / Valero Energy 723 1,500 NA NA NA NA NA 10.6 NA NA NA 51911996 6/611996 Teas Gas / Transok (Unit of CRS West) 690 882 NA NA 27.2 NA NA 10.5 10.7 NA 2.1 4/15/1996 8/5/1997 Texas Utilities / ENSERCH 550 1,700 41.1 NA 20.4 NA NA NA 9.2 NA NA Asset 1/31/2000 1212212000 El Paso Energy / PGRE 279 840 NA NA NA NA NA 8.4 6.0 4.9 NA 4/20/1999 9120/1999 Enterprise Products / RD-Shell (Tejas NGL) NA 422 NA NA NA NA . NA 8.2 NA NA NA 11711999 6/111999 El Paso Energy I Leviathan (Viosca Knoll) 85 117 NA NA NA NA NA 6.5 NA NA NA ~ Mean 22.9% 26.0% 26.8 x 18.6 x 14.2x 8.9x 8.6 x 4.9x 2.5x C CQ r t 7 Median Refined Product Pipelines Corporate 11/24/1997 3/30/1998 illiams Cos. /MAPCO ,552 ,368 20.5% 34.3 26.0% 38.8 23.8 22.2 18.6 . 24.3 14.2 18.8 8.9 8.8 9.2 11.0 4.9 9.3 2.5 3.9 Asset 8/28/1995 12130/1995 TransMonlalgne /Mobil NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 0 W Liquids Pipelines Corporate 10/20/1997 3/6/1998 Kinder Morgan I Santa Fe Pacific 971 1,288 23.4 28.0 NM NA NA 12.4 NA NA 3.7 Asset 11/3011998 11/30/1998 Kinder Morgan / GATX NA 1,150 NA NA NA NA NA 7.5 NA NA NA 6117/1998 8/15/1998 Kinder Morgan /RD-Shell NA 110 NA NA NA NA NA 6.4 NA NA NA Mean 28.8% 33.4% 22.2x 24.3x 10.8x 8.8x 11.Ox 9.3x 3.8x Median 28.8% 33.4% 22.2 24.3 18.8 8.2 11.0 9.3 3.8 For All Transactions Minimum 0.2% 0.3% 10.1x 10.0x 6.6x 6.1x 6.0x 4.9x 0.7x Mean 17.8% 21.2% 24.1 23.7 17.4 9.4 10.4 8.4 2.4 Median 21.2% 26.8% 22.3 20.9 17.4 9.3 9.3 8.3 2.5 Maximum 41.1% 40.7% 49.7 59.5 27.8 14.9 21.9 13.4 5.0 ' Source: J. S. Herold, Company announcements.. Pipeline Valuation 30 EXH 061-00665 ============= Page 30 of 37 ============= Sacdhsan Recent Acquisitions of GP Interests Acquisition Date GP Aggregate Consid. At Time of Acquisition Multiple of GP Cash GP Cash Flow Flow IDR Tier at Acquisition LP Distribution per Unit Current GP Cash Flow Current LP Marginal LP Distribution I GP Split per Unit Buckeye / Management I March '96 $ 63.0 $ 4.2 15.0 x 75%/25% $ 1.50 $ 17.9 55%/45% $ 2.40 Enron Liquids / Kinder Morgan Feb. '97 9.5 0.7 13.6 x 98%/2% 1.26 250.0 50%/50% 4.20 Santa Fe ! Kinder Morgan Oct. '97 84.4 4.0 21.1 x 70%/30% 3.00 N.M. N.M. N.M. Leviathan / El Paso . March '98 267.5 15.9 16.8 x 50%/50% 2.00 24.8 50%/50% 2.10 Ferrell Companies / Ferrell ESOT July'98 23.1 1.3 18.1 x 98%12% 2.00 1.3 98%12% 2.00 PLX I Investor Group 2 May '01 75.0 1.3 60.0 x 85% 115% 1.90 1.3 85%/15% 1.90 Mean 24.1 x Median 17.5 x Other GP Transactions Petrolane / CSFB Suburban / Hanson Plum Creek (MLP to REIT) Borden Chemicals I KKR Polaris (MLP to C-Corp) SunSource / Lehman ' BPL management buyout from America Financial. Management vehicle actually command $1 million of equity to the purchase price. The $63 million balance was financed through an ESOP loan, the cost of which was borne by the BPL LPs and offset by immediate cost reduction- 2 Acquired a 52% interest in PLX. Pipeline Valuation 31 EXH 061-00666 ============= Page 31 of 37 ============= an baths Appendix B: Buyer Detail 0 co Buyer Detail 32 EXH 061-00667 ============= Page 32 of 37 ============= a _rt y ~aedt>ISa~ Sale to Single Buyer c Potential Buyers Analysis Financial Capacity Strategic Regulatory Acquisition Cash Stock Fit Issues Focus Williams ~ • . . El Paso Duke Dynegy AEP Exelon Southern Entergy • • V V Kinder Morgan. Tractebel • O Cf O V O 07 N Key: O =Low (J = Moderate • = High Buyer Detail 33 EXH 061-00668 ============= Page 33 of 37 ============= ~achsan Sale to-Single Buyer Primary Interest G) 0 W Market Cap I LTM 2002 Enterprise EBITDA PIE Northern Trans- Northern Company Value Multiple Multiple Natural Western Florida Border EOTT Williams $14,545/ 6.7x 11.1x . • V O $24,727 El Paso $27,128/ 19.Ox 14.4x V • O $44,494 Duke $30,8901 8.2x 14.1x V O $46,883 Dynegy $14,9691 15.6x 17.6x O $19,380 AEP $14,378/ 7.6x 11.5x ( () C 0 $30,337 Exelon $14,454/ 8.Ox 8.8x V V 0 $28,789 Southern $17,580/ 8.2x 15.Ox 4 E a O $30,589 Entergy $8,388/ 6.9x 10.8x 4 O $17,253 Kinder Morgan $6,036/ 21.Ox 20.9x • • 4 E O $10,555 Tractebel Subsidiary of NA NA (4 (4 (4 O O Suez Buyer Detail 34 EXH 061-00669 ============= Page 34 of 37 ============= n 0 c -a Samsan Sale in Parts / To Consortia C) Financial Capacity Strategic Regulato ry Acquisition Cash Stock Fit Issues Focus TransCanada/TC Pipelines Enterprise Products Partners h Enbridge/EEP Plains All American C, O V TEPPCO • • C, O C7 Buckeye Partners C) C O BG • C1 C) O O Kaneb Pipeline C) C' V O C' U) FPL C) . C) C V Private Equity • O • O V 0 w Buyer Detail 35 EXH 061-00670 ============= Page 35 of 37 ============= n O y Gold''" Sacks Sale in Part I To Consortia C C CD C V o Market Cap / LTM Primary Interest Enterprise EBITDA 2002 PIE Northern Trans- Northern Company Value Multiple Multiple Natural Western Florida Border EOTT y TransCanada Pipelines $6,3501 7.9x 14.3x O y $14,447 ~n Enterprise Products $2,654/ 10.2x 20.lx P t (\ • V O o ar ners $3,397 Enbridge $4,6951 10.6x 16.2x (' C C, $9,808 Plains All American $1,051/ 19.2x 15.8x C, U Pipeline $1,519 TEPPCO Partners $1,285/ 11.3x 16.9x (\ ~I C) C\ V O $2,10 5 Buckeye Partners $971/ 10.9x 14.4x (\ ~I () (I\ ~/ O $1,23 7 BG $13,382/ 9.4x 17.8x V V O Gl .$14,219 Kaneb Pipeline $871/ 12.4x 14.Ox O O O C) O Partners $1,127 FPL $9,508/ 6.6x 10.8x O O O O $15,698 0 Private Equity NA NA NA O O O V C) .A Buyer Detail 36 EXH 061-00671 ============= Page 36 of 37 ============= !~1 a) a a) L 2 y C CO Ey to ow c~ Confidential Treatment Requested by Goldman, Sachs & Co. GS 0846 m CU a) 0 L a) m N O O O ;D- (D I x w ============= Page 37 of 37 ============= 9°acnsa0 Kinder Morgan Very Preliminary Analysis of Financial Capacity Acquisition Value ($m) Assumptions Multiple of Cash Flow Current Unit Price $34.69 8.0x 9.Ox 10.Ox 11.Ox 12.Ox Current LP Distribution per Unit $2.31 Cash Flow 400 3,200 3,600 4,000 4,400 4,800 Current GP Distribution per Unit $1.48 Acquired 450 3,600 4,050 4,500 4,950 5,400 Interest Rate 7% ($m) 500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 DCF / Distribution coverage ratio 1.00 x 550 4,400 4,950 5,500 6,050 6,600 Current LP Splits 50% Accretion to LP Distribution/Unit Multiple of Cash Flow Percentage Equity Financed 25% 8.Ox 9.Ox 10.Ox 11.Ox 12.Ox Cash Flow 400 17% 13% 9% 5% 2% Acquired 450 18% 14% 10% 6% 2% ($m) 500 22% 17% 12% 7% 2% 550 27% 20% 14% 8% 3% Accretion to LP Distribution/Unit Multiple of Cash Flow Percentage Equity Financed 0% 8.Ox 9.Ox 10.Ox 11.Ox 12.Ox CO Cash Flow 400 23% 19% 16% 12% 8% .4 Acquired 450 26% 22% 18% 14% 9% ($m) 500 32% 27% 22% 17% 12% 550 40% 34% 28% 21% 15% Buyer Detail 38 EXH 061-00673