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National Drug Intelligence Center
National Drug Threat Assessment 2004
April 2004
Figure 1.
Six Regional Areas
Map of the United States broken up into the six regions.
The Pacific region consists of Alaska, Hawaii, northern and central California, Oregon, Washington, Idaho, Nevada, and the territories of American
Samoa, Guam, and the Northern Mariana Islands.
The West Central region consists of Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Colorado, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa,
Missouri, Oklahoma, and Arkansas.
The Southwest region consists of southern California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas.
The Great Lakes region consists of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, and Ohio.
The Southeast region consists of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina,
Tennessee, and the territories of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
The Northeast/ Mid-Atlantic region consists of Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode
Island, New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and West Virginia.
Return to Figure 1.
Figure 2. Greatest Drug Threat - Percentage of State and Local Agencies Reporting
Graphs of percentages superimposed over a U.S. map. Graphs reads:
Cocaine = 37.0%
Heroin = 8.7%
Methamphetamine = 36.2%
Marijuana = 13.1%
MDMA = 0.9%
Percentages given represent the proportions of state and local law enforcement agencies nationwide that identified a particular drug as their greatest threat.
Source: NDIC, National Drug Threat Survey 2003.
Return to Figure 2.
Figure 3. Greatest Drug Threat by Region - Percentage of State and Local Agencies Reporting
Graphs of percentages superimposed over a U.S. map. Graphs reads:
Great Lakes
Cocaine = 39.6%
Heroin = 5.2%
Methamphetamine = 29.4%
Marijuana = 19.7%
MDMA = 1.0 %Northeast/Mid-Atlantic
Cocaine = 39.1%
Heroin = 28.5%
Methamphetamine = 2.7%
Marijuana = 23.0%
MDMA = 1.7%Pacific
Cocaine = 5.3%
Heroin = 0.7%
Methamphetamine = 90.9%
Marijuana = 2.1%
MDMA = 0.0%Southeast
Cocaine = 61.9%
Heroin = 0.3%
Methamphetamine = 28.0%
Marijuana = 4.0%
MDMA = 0.5%Southwest
Cocaine = 30.9%
Heroin = 2.3%
Methamphetamine = 51.6%
Marijuana = 12.4%
MDMA = 0.8%West Central
Cocaine = 12.2%
Heroin = 0.9%
Methamphetamine = 80.2%
Marijuana = 4.2%
MDMA = 0.1%
Percentages given represent the proportions of state and local law enforcement agencies per region that identified a particular drug as their greatest drug threat.
Source: NDIC, National Drug Threat Survey 2003.
Return to Figure 3.
Figure 4. Regional Drug Availability - Percentage of State and Local Agencies Reporting High Availability
Graphs of percentages superimposed over a U.S. map. Graphs reads:
Great Lakes
Cocaine = 53.3%
Heroin = 8.0%
Methamphetamine = 34.0%
Marijuana = 90.3%
MDMA = 10.5%Northeast/Mid-Atlantic
Cocaine = 56.2%
Heroin = 36.1%
Methamphetamine = 5.8%
Marijuana = 85.6%
MDMA = 17.5%Pacific
Cocaine = 27.6%
Heroin = 19.0%
Methamphetamine = 89.1%
Marijuana = 91.4%
MDMA = 9.3%Southeast
Cocaine = 82.0%
Heroin = 4.7%
Methamphetamine = 50.0%
Marijuana = 90.1%
MDMA = 12.9%Southwest
Cocaine = 63.0%
Heroin = 14.4%
Methamphetamine = 66.8%
Marijuana = 86.5%
MDMA = 12.2%West Central
Cocaine = 40.0%
Heroin = 4.8%
Methamphetamine = 87.9%
Marijuana = 91.1%
MDMA = 5.0%
Percentages given represent the proportions of state and local law enforcement agencies per region that identified a particular drug as available at high levels.
Source: NDIC, National Drug Threat Survey 2003.
Return to Figure 4.
Figure 5. Primary Market Areas
U.S. map showing the Primary Market Areas. These indicate:
Atlanta, GA = Cocaine
Boston, MA = Heroin
Central States = Methamphetamine
Chicago, IL = Cocaine, Heroin, and Marijuana
Dallas, TX = Marijuana
Houston, TX = Marijuana and Cocaine
Los Angeles, CA = Cocaine, Heroin, Methamphetamine, Marijuana, and MDMA
Miami, FL = Cocaine, Marijuana, and MDMA
New York, NY = Cocaine, Heroin, Marijuana, and MDMA
Phoenix, AZ = Methamphetamine and Marijuana
San Diego, CA = Methamphetamine and Marijuana
San Francisco, CA = Methamphetamine
Seattle, WA = Marijuana
Tucson, AZ = Marijuana
Primary market areas for cocaine, methamphetamine, heroin, and MDMA were determined through analysis of public health data and law enforcement reporting regarding use in these areas and the extent to which wholesale quantities are distributed from these areas to other markets. Primary market areas for marijuana were determined based on distribution alone.
Source: NDIC, National Drug Threat Survey 2003.
Return to Figure 5.
Figure 6. Cocaine Flows to the United States
Map showing the Mexico-Central American Corridor providing 72% of the cocaine flow into the United States and the Caribbean Corridor providing 27%. There is 1% direct to CONUS.
Source: ONDCP, 2002 Annual Assessment of Cocaine Movement, March 2003.
Return to Figure 6.
Figure 8. Primary Domestic Methamphetamine Production Areas
U.S. map showing Primary Domestic Methamphetamine Production Areas.
Map highlights the majority of counties in California, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, and Missouri. The map also shows that four counties in Illinois, Iowa, and Missouri and numerous counties in California had superlabs.
Laboratory capacity by county summary (Drug Enforcement Administration and state and local laboratories only calendar year 2003).
Source: Drug Enforcement Administration, El Paso Intelligence Center, National Clandestine Laboratory Seizure System as of March 9, 2004.
Return to Figure 8.
Figure 9. Primary Market Areas: Methamphetamine
U.S. map showing Primary Market Areas: Methamphetamine. These areas are:
Central States including:
Arkansas
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Missouri
Los Angeles, CA
Phoenix, AZ
San Diego, CA
San Francisco, CA
Return to Figure 9.
Figure 10. Outdoor Cannabis Cultivation Areas
U.S. map showing Outdoor Cannabis Cultivation Areas. These areas are:
Pacific Northwest including
California
Cleveland National Forest
Mendocino National Forest
San Bernardino National Forest
Sequoia National Forest
Sierra National Forest
Six Rivers National Forest
Hawaii
Oregon
Washington State
Appalachia including
Kentucky
Daniel Boone National Forest
Tennessee
Cherokee National Forest
Return to Figure 10.
Figure 11. Primary Market Areas: Marijuana
U.S. map showing Primary Market Areas: Marijuana. These areas are:
Chicago, IL
Dallas, TX
Houston, TX
Los Angeles, CA
Miami, FL
New York, NY
Phoenix, AZ
San Diego CA
Seattle, WA
Tucson, AZ
Return to Figure 11.
Formula 1.
Nonresponse Adjustment Factor
Graphic showing the formula for calculating the nonresponse adjustment factor for each stratum j.
The nonresponse adjustment factor for each stratum j is equal to the sum of the base weight times the poststratification factor for each of the
responding and nonresponding agencies in stratum j divided by the sum of the base weight times the poststratification factor for only the
responding agencies in stratum j.
Return to Formula 1.
Formula 2. Final Weight for Responding Agencies
Graphic showing the formula for calculating the final weight for each responding agency.
The formula is: the final weight is equal to the base weight times the poststratification factor times the nonresponse adjustment factor.
Return to Formula 2.
End of page.