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National Drug Intelligence Center

Title:

National Drug Threat Assessment 2004

Publication Date: April 2004

Document ID: 2004-Q0317-002

Archived on: January 1, 2006. This document may contain dated information. It remains available to provide access to historical materials.

This assessment addresses the status and outlook of the drug threat to the United States. It covers the trafficking and abuse patterns associated with cocaine, methamphetamine, marijuana, heroin, MDMA, pharmaceutical drugs, and other dangerous drugs.

Your questions, comments, and suggestions for future subjects are welcome at any time. Addresses are provided.

Contents

From the Director
Executive Summary

Scope and Methodology

Cocaine
   Availability
   Demand
   Production
   Transportation
   Distribution
   Key Developments
   Projections

Methamphetamine
   Availability
   Demand
   Production
   Transportation
   Distribution
   Key Developments
   Projections

Marijuana
   Availability
   Demand
   Production
   Transportation
   Distribution
   Key Developments
   Projections

Heroin
   Availability
   Demand
   Production
   Transportation
   Distribution
   Key Developments
   Projections
MDMA
   Availability
   Demand
   Production
   Transportation
   Distribution
   Key Developments
   Projections
Pharmaceuticals
   Narcotics
      Hydrocodone
      Oxycodone
      Hydromorphone
      Codeine
   Depressants
   Stimulants

Other Dangerous Drugs
   Club Drugs
      GHB
      Ketamine
      Rohypnol
   Hallucinogens
      LSD
      PCP
      Psilocybin

Inhalants

Money Laundering

Appendix A: National Drug Threat Survey 2003 Methodology

Appendix B: Selected National Substance Abuse Indicators

Sources

List of Figures

Figure 1. Six Regional Areas
Figure 2. Greatest Drug Threat
Figure 3. Greatest Drug Threat by Region
Figure 4. Regional Drug Availability
Figure 5. Primary Market Areas
Figure 6. Cocaine Flows to the United States
Figure 7. Primary Market Areas: Cocaine
Figure 8. Primary Domestic Methamphetamine Production Areas
Figure 9. Primary Market Areas: Methamphetamine
Figure 10. Outdoor Cannabis Cultivation Areas
Figure 11. Primary Market Areas: Marijuana
Figure 12. Primary Market Areas: Heroin
Figure 13. Primary Market Areas: MDMA

List of Tables

Table 1. POEs Along U.S.-Mexico Border With Marijuana Seizures of 1,000+ Kilograms, 2002
Table A1. NDTS 2003 Sample Design (3,354 of 3,488 agencies responding)
Table A2. NDTS 2003 Response Rates

Table B1. NSDUH: Percentage of Respondents Reporting Use of Specific Drugs in Lifetime, Past Year, and Past Month by Age Group, 2003
Table B2. MTF: Trends in Lifetime Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders, 1998-2003 (%)
Table B3. MTF: Trends in Past Year Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders, 1998-2003 (%)
Table B4. MTF: Trends in Current Prevalence of Use of Various Drugs for Eighth, Tenth, and Twelfth Graders, 1998-2003 (%)
Table B5. PRIDE: Percentage of Past Year Drug Use by Junior and Senior High School Students and Twelfth Graders, 1998-1999 through 2002-2003 School Years
Table B6. PRIDE: Percentage of Current Drug Use by Junior and Senior High School Students and Twelfth Graders, 1998-1999 through 2002-2003 School Years
Table B7. DAWN: Estimated Number of Emergency Department Drug Mentions and Mentions of Selected Drugs by Year, 1995-2002
Table B8. TEDS: Number of Treatment Admissions and Admissions by Selected Substances of Abuse, 1994-2000

From the Director:

I am pleased to present the National Drug Threat Assessment 2004. This annual report is designed to provide policymakers and law enforcement personnel with information to help in formulating counterdrug policy, establishing law enforcement priorities, and allocating resources.

The National Drug Intelligence Center produces the National Drug Threat Assessment in partnership with federal, state, and local agencies. To accurately and reliably depict the current domestic drug situation, the report integrates the most recently available reporting from law enforcement and intelligence agencies with the most current data from public health agencies regarding national substance abuse indicators. This year's report also draws on information from more than 3,300 state and local law enforcement agencies that responded to our National Drug Threat Survey 2003 as well as thousands of personal interviews with law enforcement and public health officials.

My thanks to all participating agencies and organizations whose contributions have made the National Drug Threat Assessment possible. Your continued assistance has been invaluable in producing this assessment annually.

I encourage you to review the National Drug Threat Assessment 2004 and provide feedback on the enclosed Reader Comment Card (pdf). Your views and opinions are important and help us to best meet the needs of our clients. I appreciate your past cooperation and look forward to collaborating on future projects.

Michael T. Horn
April 2004

Addresses

National Drug Intelligence Center
319 Washington Street, 5th Floor
Johnstown, PA 15901
Tel. (814) 532-4601
FAX (814) 532-4690
E-mail cmbwebmgr@ndic.osis.gov
National Drug Intelligence Center
8201 Greensboro Drive, Suite 1001
McLean, VA 22102-3840
Tel. (703) 556-8970
FAX (703) 556-7807

Web Addresses

ADNET: http://ndicosa
      DOJ: http://www.usdoj.gov/archive/ndic/
      LEO: http://home.leo.gov/archive/ndic/index.htm
      RISS: ndic.riss.net

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