| Figure 1: Probability Distribution of ΔP |
Graph shows a possible distribution for the values of ΔP. The peak of the distribution and the majority of the density are to the left of the vertical line marking zero in the center. This portion is labeled "allow." A much smaller portion of the total distribution appears to the right and is labeled "challenge."
Figure 2 depicts a decision tree of possible outcomes. The first node on the left has two choices: No challenge leading to Data Set 1, or Challenge, leading to another node. At this second node, the parties can abandon the deal leading to Data Set 2, or go to Trial. At the Trial node, DOJ wins, leading to Data Set 3, or DOJ loses, leadingto Data Set 4.